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Everything posted by GoBills808
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So I have no problem quoting you😂😂just to clarify- comp% is not the QB statistic most correlated to winning, that would be ANY/A looking at historical data and NY/A for predictive (future) purposes Explained here, data is old but he has newer stuff that makes similar findings https://www.footballperspective.com/correlating-passing-stats-with-wins/
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The missing info is the quality of the pass catchers I think... obviously if you have a back comfortable catching passes and productive in YAC targeting him at a higher rate would make sense My guess in increasing specifically the Bills' rate of targeting RB would be more in service of system-specific results...keeping a back in on pass downs to leak out for check down occupies a LB or safety, setting up wheel motion to disguise something, etc I don't think there's any real need to get the ball in the hands of RBs near the LOS otherwise, esp in our offense
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Hopkins released by Arizona (7/16: signed by Titans)
GoBills808 replied to HappyDays's topic in The Stadium Wall
Pretty sure Tannehill's cap hit is like 2x Allen's for 2023 -
Awesome so assuming this is all accurate the conclusion I draw is that Bills targeted RB at about the appropriate rate (in league winner context) in 2022? maybe even a little too high? They were very different but I liked it tbh I think leaning into Allen's singular ability to get the ball to all areas of the field is the right approach imo Dorsey is being innovative, maybe lacking a few pieces but he clearly has an identity for the offense
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Hopkins released by Arizona (7/16: signed by Titans)
GoBills808 replied to HappyDays's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yes I agree it's not a perfect analogy, that's reasonable I just think it's silly to say oh this guy doesn't care about winning because he's only after the bag Every player goes everywhere because of the money -
i guess its important, i mean its as important as anything i might else be scrolling through on a Sunday lol i think one of us left in special teams and safety points lol it does look that way on a per drive basis but i still maintain 2022 was more productive...maybe that a better word than 'better'
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In terms of YPG which is how defenses are generally ranked (and appropriately imo) 2021 average DEF rank faced by Bills: 17.76 2022 average DEF rank faced by Bills: 16.19 (higher ranked, more difficult defenses faced in 2022) Can you check that points/drive figure for 2022 because I have a different one
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Hopkins released by Arizona (7/16: signed by Titans)
GoBills808 replied to HappyDays's topic in The Stadium Wall
Fair on the trade but he did want out of a good situation -
Hopkins released by Arizona (7/16: signed by Titans)
GoBills808 replied to HappyDays's topic in The Stadium Wall
silly way of looking at it imo maybe he believes in the Titans like how Diggs believed in the Bills -
I mean yes lol if you had said up from that 2021 PLAYOFF offense was better than 2022 I would have agreed...because 2021 playoffs was one of the best offensive performances in NFL history😂😂😂 But people are talking about 2022 regular season vs 2021 and they don't have any evidence except how 'it looked'
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Allen crushes Mahomes in first round of amateur golf tourny
GoBills808 replied to Captain_Quint's topic in The Stadium Wall
no lies told -
team offense specific stats 2021 3rd down conversion%: 47.33 2022 3rd down conversion%: 50.23 think i already did netYPP but surprise 2022 was better lol there's overwhelming evidence that 2022 offense was superior to 2021 this is a totally different conversation obviously I would prefer a Super Bowl and my thoughts on McDermott have been made already
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incorrect 2021 YPG: 381.9 2022 YPG: 397.6 2021 PPG: 28.41 2022 PPG: 28.43 that's regular season totals obviously, playoffs will be better in 2021 as Allen went on one of the best postseason runs in NFL history...but I think regular season totals are more representative of how the offense a whole functioned over the course of the season 2022 was better, and against better competition. 2021 yards/play 5.7, 10th in the league 2022 yards/play 6.1, 2nd in the league
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Hopkins released by Arizona (7/16: signed by Titans)
GoBills808 replied to HappyDays's topic in The Stadium Wall
that is the unfortunate reality