GoBills808

'nobody's more objective than me!' 😂😂

I dispute this Allen is significantly more responsible for the Bills success than McDermott similarly McDermott will be fired before Allen because he's more replaceable, not because he's singularly responsible for victory or defeat

Of course I'm biased against McDermott, I think he's a fraud and at least I can admit it. You go around accusing people of being biased' as if you ask for citations and peer reviews on opinions you happen to agree with. You are not some arbiter of objectivity.

'Sean McDermott is unlikely to ever win a Super Bowl because no HC/QB combo ever has after their first five seasons together'...you need an independent statistics department review to make that analysis 'Sean McDermott is a great head coach because he has a high win%...applause

It is less likely that Allen's success is due to former defensive coordinator Sean McDermott's coaching than it is McDermott's 'best coach this century' title is due to Allen imo

I guess I see it as a valid comparison. w weather we look at all different climates, elevations, latitudes etc and you still get pretty reliable data from the past to make determinations about what might occur in the future. In the NFL we have different teams from different eras with different HC/QB combos, different locker rooms and different ownership but all with the same 5 year threshold for winning a Super Bowl...that would be enough for me to make a determination and feel fairly confident

Your contention is that in this particular data set, the 5 year threshold for winning the Super Bowl is an independent variable? You are saying there are no external factors on a football team/HC QB relationship/lockerroom politics/overall NFL landscape that might influence this 5 year threshold?

Why isn't it a good comparison? We are talking about sets of data points modelling outcomes, they're alike in that regard

I mean yes but that's what predictive models do, analyze past data and trends to assess likelihood of future outcomes Like we might double our expected annual rainfall next year but I'm not going to bet my crop on it

It's not that complicated I think No team that has ever started the same HC/QB combo for more than 5 years w no SB has seen them go on to win a championship

Have you read this from 538 https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-coaches-and-qbs-should-divorce-after-five-years-of-not-winning/

I mean it doesn't do us any good to say well, it took Reid 21 years because that was with another team. If McDermott wins a Super Bowl after 15 years w a different franchise that would be meaningless for the Bills

The point is it happens almost immediately after they get their guy at QB You should look at it from the team's perspective imo and not the coach's

We do it w RB a lot Injuries or effectiveness following a 370+carry season, 1800+ carries overall...lots of data on RBs

it's going to be ok deep breaths

NFL offenses w highest net YPA 2022 Chiefs Dolphins Eagles Niners Lions Bills These are all very good offenses, best in the league for the most part. Offenses w lowest net YPA 2022 are all the bad ones: Bears Cards Colts Texans Rams Yes, throwing the ball downfield is a recipe for success.

There's always room for improvement? Lol it's not a difficult concept

Longevity

Urlacher was very good defending the pass played safety in college

I guess they're not that bold tbh😂😂 my bold Bills related predictions are mostly negative so ill keep them to myself lol

Steelers make playoffs Vikings first to worst Niners/Cowboys NFCCG

I'm just saying if they take out the checks that dictate QB run they're going to have to sign a couple different receivers to get open underneath unless Kincaid is miraculously up to reading NFL defenses at that level

What pocket

No I disagree w that assessment Coaches know how to put out fires. There are only about 10 words in the English language that would have exacerbated the situation there and he chose 2 of them

No, McDermott created this He had the opportunity to say literally anything in the entire world about the situation and he chose 'very concerned' followed by 'very concerned'