YattaOkasan

Josh is #7 in pressure rate per PFR. That includes Lawrence and Mac Jones so Bills OL is just outside the top 5. Additionally, they seemed to be getting lost schematically early and gave up pressures that have since been rectified. I know they run a lot of extra OL but they also run a lot of 5 man protection. PFR doesnt have those stats but this is def a good pass protecting line. Opponents! Your line seems to be we havent beaten anyone. Our Strength of Victory is 0.448 and Broncos is 0.394. Den SoV is also boosted by that silly game against KC last week too. Only Chargers and Commanders have lower SoV in the playoffs. Were 6th for SoV in the playoffs but much lower with regard to SoS suggesting we beat some of the harder teams on our schedule (Lions and KC as has been pointed out to you multiple times).

Going into yesterday’s slop fest Keon Coleman had 27 catches on 47 receptions. Which is….. 57%. That is also not just Gabes rookie catch % but his best catch %. The drops are a problem for Keon but are correctable. Separation can even be increased (it’s not only speed). Get the drops under control and he’s a 60%+ player if you’re not just hucking the ball up there with Mike white.

He played Hamlins spot against the Jets when Rapp was back. He def competed with Hamlin some.

Agree. Also I think Dolphins with Tua are an above 0.500 team. As you mentioned Cardinals are right there along with IND coincidentally. We only played 6 teams with a winning record and went 3-3. But going 4-0 against 8-9 teams (with an average diff of +10) make this stat seem very different. Also all those losses are on the road.

Cast the game to a TV from your phone? I do this routinely if I cant get the game. I would do this in a hotel room as I cant be seen in public while watching a game.

Im hoping we drop a safety and play 3 LBs (Taron becomes second safety effectively) against Bal. Basically i hope they are cooking something special up lol.

Great write up. I appreciate how you note how release packages are coachable, as you have seen many Bills WR working on hand fighting over the years. One of the traits the organization desires out of topics is coachability so I think Keon has a good chance to improve on his ability to release (Cooper could be a great resource for this if he sticks around). This game likely tells them hes not ready this playoffs for outside work cause hes cant release. But he still seems to be a great run blocker to spell cooper some and hes pretty decent with the ball in his hands. Also agree next years plan cant be to hope he becomes a #1 but I think Cooper has really liked his time here and will be up for an extension. I think Keon has shown he still has a really high ceiling because of his athleticism but needs refinement (not shocking considering he played basketball into college and WR became the main thing recently) before he has a chance of reaching that ceiling.

Agree this is sorta what I expect at this point

lol this thread misses what Bernard does. Coverage. He has a sub 80 rating against and a low missed tackle rate. Is he a great run stopper? No but that’s not what the Bills want. Saying he’s a below average LB shows people don’t consider coverage like at all. Additionally the part that people don’t seem to appreciate is how often he knows the play that’s coming and gets the defense set. Against the Pats he audibles the defense on the TD. Last year that was a huge play on their GW drive. I assume these folks love Dorian as well. Who does Dorian look to every play something goes sideways (Devante’s Adam’s TD for example)? He’ll be ready for the playoffs and I’m happy with the dude even if he does come with some injury risk.

Not debating if the offense is working or not but that’s the signature play of Josh not just 2024. Thus the blame is not on Brady for getting him hit. It’s Josh going to the well a bit too much with refs not calling RTP enough. The data from your argument last year was persuasive (as I still remember it) but I don’t agree with the logic for this year on Brady getting Josh hurt. I appreciate your takes. Keep em coming.

Someone corrected me in another thread and it might have been singeltary but I also thought Jones had a drop on a play designed for him. I’m too lazy to look it up

Really only the trick play stands out as on Brady. As noted he is running and getting hit less as tracked by PFR. I agree he’s had some nasty hits. I think your story for Brady getting Josh hurt had more merit last year if I remember. He’s using Josh way less than that as this season is one of the lowest contact. So many of these hits are out of Brady’s control. He calls the play (and yeah the Baltimore one was a terrible one) but he can’t protect Josh from the booth if Josh puts on the cape (again this is happening less often). Maybe there’s a per snap part to it cause all volume stats are sorta thrown by the ~1 game less in snaps Josh has played.

Can you provide the evidence for the beating Allen has taken? Last year you did a good job talking about it with stats but I’m not seeing similar data. PFR has Josh taking fewer “hits” than any year 2018 (lower pressure %). Additionally Allen has less rushes than other year (plus Allen has slid better than before). It seems he has protected Allen better over the whole season (your analysis of last year still being correct)

You and @JohnNord didn’t mention the true Waldo of the defense last game, Spector. They targeted those guys but the one that was truly getting picked on was Spector before he went out. Unsurprisingly the defense played a lot better when he went out. Worked out great for US. Pretty sure he helped us in the comp pick formula (didn’t net us a pick but negated a UFA signing). I would happily take that from Hamlin and consider the pick a big success (7th round iirc). If you’re saying Hamlin should stay in buffalo on a modest contract I think that’s still a W for us cause he’ll be proven backup on a modest contract.

I said to my wife they did their homework and def watched bills lions like the rest of us.

I love the wild variance in the metrics. espn has KC as the second best line in all of football. On the flip side SIS has Miami as 3rd? i think PFF seems the best ranking to my eye which is wild.

Finally get to use the Mega meter term ive been saving for so long.

Wow were really playing Justin Jefferson out of position. But yes I agree Quinton would be the cut if we were able to get calais somehow.

Best play design is a good one. I knew my answer before watching the QB school video but on Josh's second rushing TD there is absolutely noone near him. Dawkins pulls and he looks confused cause he aint got nobody to block. The fake to the RB plus the Gilliam flare just separated that defense. overall a great plan from Brady and Josh to attack their 2nd level players.

To see that throw is really insane. JT osullivan was gushing over it even though he thought it was living on the edge some.

lol apparently i do. thanks. he cant just join anyone so i just did not read that right and thought you meant he should be able to.

Since its his previous contract thats picked up, its not an if he would sign. Hes technically still signed (same as unvested vets). hes not unsigned until he clears waivers. he would have to be on the roster for the team that picks him up.

After trade deadline all are subject to waivers.

Why. You would see all sorts of stupid ring hunting if you let players do this. You want more players to drop to play for the chiefs or the Brady Pats? Nah Im good with them not being able to get more cheap talent (yes i know this hurts us cause JA17, but it would still make the game worse imo).

The quoted post was about the Rams which yes is weird for this thread.