
djp14150
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Official Playoff Possibilities Thread
djp14150 replied to eball's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
common games is the flip of non common games..... Bills played KC (L) and @ JAX Jets its @ TEN (L) and later OAK both going 1-1 or 0-2 means the common game record is the same. Between Bills and Jets... H2H---split Divisional play....BUF has MIa 2 NE, JETS have H &H with MIA BUF wins out they are 4-2, JEts split they are 3-3...tiebreaker to BUF. That is why BUF need the Jets to lose to MIa once. \ After that they need one more additional lose by the Jets and then BUF wins out they will pass the Jets in the standings. barring a major colapse by either club they should be safe as one winning the division and the other as seed #5. If KC beats SD--- SD cant pass KC in the standings. The magic number for eliminating OAK from passing them is 1 (either another KC win or OAK loss ---which could happen on sunday). I think there is a scenario where KC and DEN clinch WC spots with a win and a bunch of teams losing/tying. remember---they need to win the division first. Their rematch against DEN is important. DEN wins that means a sweep and DEN having the first tiebreaker on KC. I honestly dont see the Pats at 13-3. I see them losing to DEN, losing @ MIA, and @ BAL thus potentially creating a BUF-NE division title game in week 17. -
If you were GM for a week, what would you do?
djp14150 replied to 13player's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Glad you aren't GM.... You keep SJ....WR depth is important. You can go out and sign a G for not much as a FA. Resgn Byrd Keep Pettine Use the 1st on Mack Use your 2nd -4th on WR with height , TE, and OL You can draft a RB late 5,6,7 G, RB, and CB/LB -
The Significance Of Our Win Over Carolina
djp14150 replied to johnwalter's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
If Buffalo was able to tie with NE for the division title at 9-7....here is how it matters. If Ne loses to DEN, and BUF beats then in week 17..NE needs to lose 2 of their other 4 to end up 9-7 against @ hou, @ bal, CLE, @ MIA First tiebreaker H2H which would split Second tiebreaker is division record which I am hoping MIA beats NE in week 15. Third tiebreker is common games. This is the flip of non common games Buffalo should go 1-1 (beat JAx, lose to KC) NE has DEN, @ HOU left....if they go 2-0 then BUF wins the tiebreaker, if they go 0-2 then they win the tiebreker if they go 1-1 then its a push Fourth tiebreaker is conference record which is the flip of record agisnst NFC. NE is 3-1 against NFC South...If BUF wins out they will be 3-1 as well so conference record is the same. Fifth tiebreaker is STRENGTH OF VICTORY (IF NE loss to DEN, beats HOU, lose CLE lose BAL, beats MIA, loses to BUF ) If BUF wins out: MIA, MIA, NYJ, NE, TB, CAR, ATL, BAL, JAX for NE MIA, MIA, BUF, NYJ, PIT, TB, ATL, NO, HOU this simplifies to: BUF BAL(4) CAR (7) JAX (1)= 12 NE PIT(4) NO (8) HOU (2) =14 So who comes out ahead in wins between these 3 pairs is the difference for the division title -
Official Playoff Possibilities Thread
djp14150 replied to eball's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
To add on what you said.... remember placement matters..... Baltimore or Pittsburgh will be in 2nd place... If its Baltimore then Buffalo has the tiebreaker because of a H2H win while Pittsburgh has the thie breaker with a H2H win With the Jets...the split...then its divisional play. If Buffalo beat NE and MIa they are 4-2 in division play. If Jets lose one to Miami Buffalo wins that tiebreaker. The next 4 weeks are key. Buffalo doesnt play other teams they are competing with while all the other teams do---thus they will kill each other off. For buffalo to win out and get to 2nd place..... 1. they need to win out (duh) 2. They need the fins to beat the Jets once 3. they need the fins to lose an additional game 4. They need the Jets to lose an additional game. for Buffalo to play for the division title against New England in addition to above they need: 1. Miami to beat NE in week 15 2. They need NE to lose 2 of their other 4 games (DEN, @ hou, CLE, @BAL) ---DEN and @ BAL are likely. I see Pittsburgh losing to BAL and either CIN or GB With BAL...@ DET and @ CIN (CIN likely would have a bye to play for)---with BAL ----BUF only needs them to lose one game because they have H2H tie breaker on them. Buffalo has by 4 the easiest 4 game stretch coming up in the league. If they can get back to 7-7 then anything can happen. I feel they likely are in the drivers seat of control their own fate. -
did you see the video of what happened with Stamkos last weekend?
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Fan fell from 300 level to 200 level
djp14150 replied to Luvbills's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I remember the Aud being very steep up in the oranges where it felt like I could fall. -
Bills contact NFL about scheduling disadvantage
djp14150 replied to Simon's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
This was brought up in the summer. It is a disadvantage if the teams you are playing are coming off extra time to prepare to play you. Teams would have been screaming if one team had to play Thursday on short rest from Sunday while their opponent was coming of a bye. As the stats showed...Buffalo played 6 teams who had extra time while they only had an advantage 1 time and that was when they played thursday night. The week after their bye Atlanta plays thursday of their bye week so the advantage they could have had was wiped out. So each team would have an advantage when they played thursday and the week after their bye. -
Are you renting a car? driving to the stadium? driving there that early traffic wouldnt be a problem. When you leave http://www.buffalobills.com/news/article-1/Change-to-parking-exit-process-will-improve-postgame-traffic/40fb5838-e38b-480d-826b-91e2227f0d4e http://prod.static.bills.clubs.nfl.com/assets/pdf/stadium-egress.pdf When you exit the stadium from there you will need to go south to Big Tree....assuming you need to go back to the airport....the easier way would be to go Left on Big Tree 219 north I-90 east rte 33 airport an alternate if traffic was seriously backed up there is to stay on Big Tree to Buffalo rd (240) and make a left and this will will fork..take the right fork for Union to 400 to I-90
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I think Stefan Charles is the next Wake..
djp14150 replied to D521646's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
A concern with him could be the gas/motor..... He could be great for 10-15 plays that are spaced out but he may not be able to play 75%+ of the defensive snaps. -
Are you going to the game in full Jets apparel ??? Be respectful. Cheering for your team is fine.....taunting is not....trash talking is not. come 3rd and 4th quarter fights can break out. The big difference in Ralph wilson Stadium compared to elsewhere.... The stadium is built in a suburban residential area. Foxboro may be similar (unsure of the surrounding area there). Around the stadium you have people and some small businesses allow people to park on their property for a fee. There are not many roads to the stadium thus traffic can be bad. Usually the traffic is bad from 930-1100 because fans want to get there early to tailgate and cook lunch and drink some beer. Around 12:00-12:30 people head to the stadium. After the game traffic is worse because people arrived from 9am-12pm and then all want to leave right after. Plan on waiting for about 45 minute to an hour after the game before you try to leave Some opt to set up the grill again and do dinner. Parking at the houses can be fun...over the season you develop friendships there and you have a group party before or after the game. If you make friends with 3 other cars you may coordinate on food and what to bring.
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Hockey has the same problem being row 1 or 2. section 116 is the side end zone...the right end zone on the TV screen. A pass/run to that side of the end zone you would be on TV. From there you will have blind spot on the near sideline to you at the far end of the field. You view will be blocked by the visitors bench area and the players/people on that sideline. From roughly mid field on down you will have trouble seeing sideline plays. When looking that way you will see the video screen right in front of you that is the broadcast camera feed of the game as seen on TV Because of your low angle its hard to get depth perception on yardage plays. http://www.channel1media.com/bills/seatviews/
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The Bills and the last wildcard spot
djp14150 replied to 1billsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
At 9-7 Buffalo will have a much harder team because of H2H and conference record. The Jets dont play well on the road. They hit Buffalo when they were without their top 3 CBs and basically played the game of throw deep and maybe we will get lucky. Buffalo needs to get to 2nd place forst before any playoff talk can happen. The way they do that is by beating the Jets and Dolphins at home and then have the Jets and Fins split their season series. Thos two things happen and Buffalo wins out they will be in 2nd place (and could be in 1st) -
The Bills and the last wildcard spot
djp14150 replied to 1billsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
As I said in my other thread.... Buffalo beats the Jets, Jets lose once to Miami.....and Buffalo beats Miami then Buffalo passes the Jets. To get the WC you need to be in 2nd place.... -
Want a point of reference---look at Washington last year. Thjey started 3-6 with 8 of 9 games one score games that were decided in the 4th quarter. They had a rookie QB They started to turn it around mid season.... this isnt stars coming together this is having the easiest schedule remaining before the finale where they play @ PIT 2-6 NYJ 5-4 bye ATL 2-6 at TB 0-8 at JAX 0-8 MIA 4-4 at NE They should beat the two winless teams...... They should beat MIA and NYJ at home Its not that much of a logical stretch to say they cant beat ATL and PIT.
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What to do with TJ Graham?
djp14150 replied to BuffaloBillsForever's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
they trade up to draft him. WRs drafted in the 3rd round or later are viewed as projects....you cant expect them to step up and start as a rookie. Scouting on him was that he was raw---but the parts that were raw were believed to be teachable. I see him being on the team through next years trainging camp and see what happens. He could be cut if he doesnt show improvement. -
I take an OLB over a TE in my sleep in the 1st round. good TE's can be found later in the draft. Its harder to get a top notch OLB later in the draft.
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How can Buffalo make the playoffs.... the last wild card is wide open with 10 teams in the AFC having 4-6 loses. Step 1 for buffalo is to get to 2nd place.... How can they get to the point to control their fate..... 1. They beat Jets and fins at home 2. Jets and fins split their 2 games left to play ....they give them all 6 loses.....the first tiebreaker is combined head to head. Buffalo would have the edge. 3. for the division if they can also have Miami beat NE in Miami in week 15 then Buffalo would have the edge in divisional record in tiebreakers. 4. To get the division if they can win out and get to 9-6 and New England lose 3 of their next 6 games till the finale (one at miami must be one of them, then 2 of their other 5 games--DEN, @ BAL, @ CAR, @ HOU, CLE--in order of the most loseable to least loseable). then the final becomes a winner take all for the division title. If they were to beat Miami and lose another game then it will come down to common record and conference record. BUf looks like they will be noncommon 1-1 If New England lost to both HOU and DEN then they will have the edge there if division record was tied. 5. With the wild Card----due to tiebreakers they have the edge on Baltimore, lose to Cleveland, Cincinnati, and KC. The best they can do in conference record would be 7-5 which will make tie breakers potentially tough with other teams. I think many of the other teams will end up 9-7 and 7-9 so getting to 10 wins could mean the wild card.
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I like Polian's take on EJ's return
djp14150 replied to Kellyto83TD's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Last year the team went 12-2 losing at NC State(glennoin was the QB who threw a last second TD for the win) and hosting a top 5 team in Florida. this years team has something like 14 of the 22 starters are 5th yr seniors. -
Ifsmith covered his man like he was supposed to Graham was open for the slant pass. Could the CB have come up from behind and hit hit him when the ball got there---sure. He wasnt wide open as Stevie was.
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surprised it was the foot---I thought it was the knee since on that pass the thing he landed on was his knee.
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the team is playing 2 winless teams, 2 2 win teams, and two division rivals at home that they should beat before the finish at NE. this team should finish at least 8-8 but 9-7 is a realistic finish.
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What is a catch in the NFL?
djp14150 replied to TallskiWallski83's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
This was a catch if you need to be consistent throughout the league. If this wasnt a catch then TJs fumble wasnt a catch. -
Hackett not situationally aware in terms of the big picture
djp14150 replied to Big Turk's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Go back to the Cincinnati game...similar situation. 2nd down and goal inside the 2. They ran it on 2nd, 3rd, and 4th and didnt get points. This time they decide to do a pass. The ball was picked because of a DB mistake. Going with an empty backfield from inside the 2 is not a wise play to try. It creates a clogged endzone that is very difficult for a rookie QB to read in terms of trying to look off a DB to open up the field for a pass. If you plan on running You have 5 DBs/LBs on the 5 receivers and then 6 LBs/DLs inside against the OL and QB. Such a play works better if a team is a good short yardage/power running OL. that isnt Buffalo's running style. They arent good on short yardage runs when the defense is all playing within 10 yards of the line. passing plays you do either fades or quick slants. The quick slants are a release on blitzes and hot reads. You have to assume the defense actually plays as they should in their assignments for a play to work. A hot read slant is actually an easy play for a QB to throw. -
Generally they have not put CJ and Freddie on the field at the same time. I dont understand why that is not done. Actually Gailey would line both Jackson and Spiller on the same play. Usually one is out wide and the other in the backfield. CJ is more of a scat back not a power back. He isnt designed to play in the short yardage plays--especially a 3rd and gola on the 1 or 4th and inches. In short yardage plays you are going against bigger players. Today he isnt 100% so him getting caught in a pile like this is a risk and he doesnt have the strength given the ankle sprain to do a leap over pile. If you are talking of having CJ and Freddie in the backfuield in a short yardage play ---who will block for who? You want the second back a blocking back to lead the way on a designed run.