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Everything posted by hondo in seattle
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Week 9 - Dolphins at Bills Game Week Thread
hondo in seattle replied to BillsFan619's topic in The Stadium Wall
Damar is out there because the defensive coaching staff decided he's the best option available. I'm not sure why we'd want to bench him only to field a player who's worse. -
I might be able to do $64.
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I doubt if it's even just McD. I'll guess it's the consensus of the defensive coaching staff. These are smart guys who know football. I admit I was very wrong about this season. I penciled Edwards in as the starter, opposite Rapp. And I thought Hamlin might not make the final 53. But, like you, I trust our defensive coaches.
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Josh and Hailee had a Halloween Party in OP. (Just Fluff)
hondo in seattle replied to The 9 Isles's topic in The Stadium Wall
I hate to confess that I don't really care much about Josh's personal life. I guess it's kind of cool that he's dating an actress and showing her around Buffalo but, in the big scheme of things, it doesn't matter much. As an empathetic human, I hope they're happy just as I hope all good people are happy and all evil a-holes learn to become good people. As a fan, though, I just hope his personal life never distracts from his dedication to the Bills and his craft. -
I'd love Josh to become more... I hate to say it... Brady-esque: make a good presnap reads and get the ball out quickly to the open guy. But, you're right. That's not Josh. And if he's going to throw into tight coverage, you might as well find a big, strong wideout who excels at contested catches in tight windows.
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Didn't know him personally, but he was one of my favorite posters. RIP.
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I don't actually. I'm just saying its possible to have receivers who don't get separation and still produce in the passing game if your QB is a stud - which Josh is. Prior to Cooper's arrival, however, it was disappointing to see how little separation we were getting downfield. Although that group (Coleman, Shakir, and Hollins) were hardly an all-star trio, I did sometimes think the fault was more Brady's than anybody else's. But the offense looked beautiful (minus the pick) against Seattle.
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Or Josh is just amazing talented doing so well with talentless receivers who don't get open. But I agree that I don't trust the metrics.
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This is another one of those charts that look professional and pretty. But those qualities don't mean the data are worth a damn. I don't disagree with the general notion that our receivers aren't creating a lot of separation, but I don't need a chart to tell me that. PFF is one of the most respected data generators out there. And they rated Geno above Josh last week. The subjectivity involved in these "advanced" metrics is often too much to overcome. How do you even measure separation? Do you measure it at the time the ball was actually thrown? Or when it was supposed to be thrown? If the latter, how do you know? Do you measure & track separation only for the guy being targeted? Or all the receivers running routes, even those whose assignment is to rub a defender or clear a zone? Let's say a receiver is well-covered at first, but later as the QB scrambles, jukes the defender out of his jock strap and scores a game-winning 80 yard TD. Do you grade him as being covered on his initial route? Or do you give him credit for the great work he did later?
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I'm with you. I was probably in my 40s when I learned the derivation of the word spaz. It was commonly used when I was a kid, too, in a mildly offensive way. We didn't say, "You spaz!" to our enemies as a serious insult, only to friends jokingly. I was surprised when I later learned that some people considered it deeply offensive.
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Agree. When I'm in Buffalo, I eat mostly wings, beef-on-weck, pizza, and Polish food. Buffalo excels at these. When in Seattle, I tend to eat Asian food - in all its amazing diversity. And for some reason, Seattle has a lot of great gourmet ice cream shops, too. When in Kansas City, I eat KC barbecue. And so on. Once on a visit to Davao, my wife's hometown in the Philippines, her friends decided they wanted to treat me to lunch at an American restaurant. It was a kind, thoughtful gesture. But the place had pizza, burgers, tacos, and so forth and unsurprisingly none of it was very good. I, of course, expressed my appreciation but, in truth, when in the Philippines, I want to eat what they're good at: lechon, adobo, crispy pata, Addidas, etc.
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Rookie WR Separation win-rates thru week 5
hondo in seattle replied to Big Blitz's topic in The Stadium Wall
I love charts like this. They're so informative and look so pretty and professional. But I don't trust them because I don't trust the data behind them. Who's determining win rate? I can't imagine this is any more accurate than PFF grades. Not entirely useless, maybe, but not something we should take too seriously. Interesting though that Gabe Davis is below average both versus zone and man. And Keon is better versus man coverage than either Diggs or Davis. (It's one of those things... I love the chart when it tells me something I like. Hate it otherwise). -
Never Followed PFF..After This, Never Will
hondo in seattle replied to Rich Stadium Original's topic in The Stadium Wall
Passer rating is better, IMHO, than QBR or PFF grades. But it also has flaws because it measures efficiency rather than production, For example, if a QB goes 10 for 15 for 150 yards in a game, he'll be rated exactly the same as a QB who goes 20 of 30 for 300 yards. I would argue the second QB deserves a higher rating because: (1) he contributed twice as many yards to the team's offense. (2) because he threw twice as much, the defense probably probably played more pass D. But both QB completed 67% of their passes for 10 yards per attempt - statistically equivalent if you ignore actual production. -
I live near San Jose, CA, now. My wife flew to Seattle from San Jose the Friday before the game to visit friends. She said the first class section of the plane was dominated by Bills fans flying up from San Jose. We're everywhere.
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Never Followed PFF..After This, Never Will
hondo in seattle replied to Rich Stadium Original's topic in The Stadium Wall
I agree with the bolded. When we acquire a new midlevel FA, for example, I look at PFF scores because that data is better than the nothingness of my own knowledge. But I don't trust PFF at all. The Smith-Allen grades are crazy. J.J. Watt once said, "The system is terrible. Do they watch a different film than we do?" He also said on McAfee that he's sat with coaches and compared PFF grades with coachs' grades and they were "not even close." -
Never Followed PFF..After This, Never Will
hondo in seattle replied to Rich Stadium Original's topic in The Stadium Wall
I never trusted PFF grades for a host of reasons. But didn't thinking their rating system was this bad. -
The next 6 games will be interesting.
hondo in seattle replied to SoonerBillsFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I'm not sure who the 2024 Buffalo Bills are just yet. Sometimes we're awesome and execute at a high level. Sometimes we look just awful. Dr. Jeckyll and Mr. Hyde. Will the real Buffalo Bills please stand up! Maybe some of the inconsistency has to do with two new coordinators and a bunch of new starters. I think the Lions game will tell us a lot. All the newness issues should be worked out by then. It'll be interesting to see how we perform against the team that might be the best in the NFC. Are we contenders or pretenders? -
Have Bills ever won a game on a Hail Mary?
hondo in seattle replied to pennstate10's topic in The Stadium Wall
One of my favorite Bills moments. Hooks was a hero on that final drive. My favorite backup Bills RB. This game cemented his place in my Bills nostalgia. -
65 years. 2 AFL Championships. No Super Bowl victories. Yet.
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I'm not disagreeing and am sure you are corrrect and can find good sushi inland. But my fish-loving friends (personally, I hate the squirmy things) would disagree about the fish in the Pacific Northwest. Better Seattle restaurants (sushi and otherwise) do sell locally caught fresh fish. I used to buy my wife dungeness crab, and some other goodies, directly from a fisherman. And I've talked to chefs about the quality of NW seafood which they praise. The other part of sushi is, I think, competition. When there are a lot of restaurants selling a certain type of cuisine, the competition heats up, often bringing out the best of the owners/chefs. Sushi is big on the west coast, and some other places, so the quality tends to be better. The competition is fierce. Evolve or die.
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A lot of Asians live in Seattle. The Asian food scene there, while not quite as good as LA or San Francisco, is solid. Plus the seafood industry in Seattle is also strong with a sizeable fishing fleet.
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Week 8 - Bills @ Seahawks - post game thread
hondo in seattle replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
I'm not surprised you liked Tom Brady today. He praised McD, Allen, the Bills culture, and the Bills mafia - and almost sounded like he was a secret Bills fan. -
This is a great chart. And it illustrates our curse. We have the bad fortune of being very good during the Chiefs dynasty when they are even better. There are no prizes for #2.
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AI is your friend... In summary, in college he was a four-time member of The Athletic's "Freaks List," ranking as high as No. 4 overall and No. 1 among offensive skill player. 6'1", 207 lbs 4.40 forty Signed with the Broncos as a UDFA. 2 receptions for 75 yards. Later waived. WR and return guy.
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Week 8, Bills v. Seahawks, PREDICT THE SCORE!
hondo in seattle replied to Freddie's Dead's topic in The Stadium Wall
Bills... 27 Hawks... 20