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BADOLBILZ

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Everything posted by BADOLBILZ

  1. Probably 6-7 different people who were "best friends" at a time growing up from age 5 thru college that drifted apart from for various reasons. Usually because they moved away or they just got into different things than I was interested in. I can't relate entirely to the one best friend every day for years thing.....that much familiarity seems destined for contempt.......but I have seen the story a lot in movies(and that's often the theme). I had different groups of friends within different grades and different social cliques of the schools I attended, different groups of friends in the different neighborhoods around the village I lived in, kids who lived by my grandparents, kids who only visited in summer etc.. I certainly miss all of those friends, we had great times. Sometimes I/we try to round some of them up for parties or games(usually with little success). Still tightest with all of the guys from my catholic school from grade 1-8 and their families.
  2. Yeah I think that's the kind of per play impact you would expect/want........but given the Bills situation wrt cap and having Singletary as a UFA(and Hines with too big of a cap number).......I think they also LIKELY have a higher need for Cook to be well into the 200's on touches in 2023-2025. Which gives him a chance to not just be impactful in limited use(which might be fine by McBeane) but also on the field for a relatively high % of snaps and put up the kind of numbers you expect from an early round RB.
  3. First of all........there will likely be 10 RB's that hit 1500 total yards this season so you are intentionally using a soft number. IMO the league looked at the contracts WR were earning........realized they were getting too expensive.........and stopped calling PI/holding/obstruction penalties and now RB's are getting more action. That's the league James Cook entered. But as for being realistic? About 50% of 1st rounders don't even get their 5th year option exercised.......abject failures mostly. I don't think you are actually talking about the difference between what is considered success and what is actually "realistic"..........the bar is quite low for "realistic". The math on RB's is pretty simple........only a few get picked in the first 2 rounds most years(3 this past year)..........and the new tipping point for durability and production for most is about 26 years of age. So basically every 4-5 years it's almost a complete turnover at the top end of the position. If you are picked early and you aren't one of the very best on your first contract then you didn't pan out.
  4. Daytime high of 56 degrees in Cinci on Monday...........low of only 39........but 40% chance of rain.
  5. If Payton takes that job there will have officially been a complete re-set on the high end of coaching salaries. That ain't a place he's going to go to without a lot of coaxing. Given the success of Brock Purdy and Baker Mayfield in recent weeks I'd suspect anyone tied to the Shanny tree is going to be a hot commodity. Jets might even lose their LaFleur brother.
  6. No he's quite different. James Cook is A LOT faster than Jones but doesn't have the same center of gravity/balance. Production-wise though.......there isn't any reason Jones should be more productive than Cook. Aaron Jones was a nice 5th round pick. That's ideally where you find your RB's.
  7. Yeah it would be a shock if he ever got the near requisite 300 carries in a season to reach the lofty heights of 1500 yards rushing like his fellow second round pick bro did in 2020. More like 200-240 carries and 60-80 receptions.......280 touches......for his style of back. I doubt he will get there but when you use a second rounder it's a full notch higher than a 3rd.......and a 3rd you still expect an RB1 with that pick.
  8. There are plenty of free agents that won't come to Buffalo whether the Bills are a likely playoff team or not. You can not buy it all day but it's fact. Josh Allen badly wanted Christian Kirk to be his slot receiver this season........went on vacation with him to woo him.........and Kirk was full pfffft to the idea of playing in the cold in Buffalo. And he's turned out to be a much better slot WR than even peak Beasley. Then there are the WAG's..........Kyle Jusczyk had a better deal lined up with Buffalo but his GF burst into tears at the notion and he signed with SF instead. Bills even got seconds on a fullback. Not wanting to play in Buffalo is still going to be a thing for some of the best talent........even if Josh leads the Bills to a SB........and especially for WR's so the Bills are going to have to keep addressing that in the draft or taking the seconds on the market and trying to elevate them.
  9. I'd say James Cook needs to become a 1500 yard per season producer between years 2-4 of his deal for the selection to be a modest success on it's own merit. That's not to say they won't be able to find a RB1 late in the draft or UDFA or off a scrap heap somewhere and then have Cook instead be a useful change of pace back and come out unscathed by the selection anyway..........but you don't take a RB in round 2 to not be a big time producer.
  10. Credit where credit is due. Excellent work by the Jets.......they could have tried to re-sign Adams but instead moved him for great value. A big part of Miami's re-stock has also been the trade where they fleeced Houston for Tunsil. And look at the Seahawks..........stupidly traded for Adams.......and then found their QB in their own recycle bin and fleeced Denver out of a haul of picks. I'd like to see Beane find some stars in the mid-late rounds like Seattle just did with Tariq Woolen...........but first Beane has to stop trying so hard by drafting for need after round 1.........that leads you to lower ceiling players.........which Beane has accumulated a few too many of. Not sure where James Cook falls in that equation yet..........for a 2nd round RB pick.......ideally you get at least a 1500 yard per year RB1 producer.
  11. Brother of a current star NFL RB 5 star recruit Played in the spotlight in SEC and on a national championship team 2nd round pick at a time when RB's rarely get picked before the 2nd round
  12. The other 3 AFC East have lost a combined 10 straight.
  13. Josh Allen wasn't great at Wyoming in the slightest either. Players are picked on potential. I didn't think Wilson was an elite prospect but you gotta' take chances at QB. The Jets otherwise talented roster is proof that you can literally waste two top 3 overall picks on QB's in a 4 year span and still stockpile talent. The most overrated personnel chip in football is a #1 pick NOT used on a QB.
  14. He's slippery and made some nice plays. The Bills really need to find a useful DL that they didn't have to buy in UFA or use a 1st or 2nd round pick on.
  15. That is totally false. The Bears had one good run to the right.............on the first drive of the game..........and it was the first play that Kingsley Jonathan was inserted for Rousseau. Jonathan got totally engulfed and Montgomery went like 30 yards to the goal line.
  16. The thing is.........they shocked and exasperated Bills fans and media by keeping him that entire offseason. Chan and Buddy said they wanted to use their first season to evaluate the roster that was left behind rather than make changes to the terrible roster they inherited. I think they lost their first 8-9 games as a result. What a clownshow. They were probably the least pro-active new regime in the history of the NFL.
  17. Bengals are on a longer win streak.......they have won 7 straight. Also 8 of 9. Chiefs have been similarly hot since the loss to Buffalo they've only lost to Cinci. Bills have had a more recent poor stretch of games/multiple losses than the other contenders for the #1 seed. I don't believe "odds" matter much in this situation.........running off 11 straight wins in meaningful games at some point is not *that* unusual for a SB contender..............and Vegas still has Buffalo and Philly as the teams with the best chances to win the SB at 19%...........but even if odds mattered Buffalo is by no means "due" to lose to one of those teams that have been on longer hot streaks.
  18. He looked like "Soggy"the 8th dwarf out there with that goofy 10 gallon winter hat in the pouring rain. Still sure you are going to play the Bills again this season, Robert?
  19. Rodon was a great pickup.........but WTF are they doing about their lack of left handed bats and LF situation? Hal got the yips when he saw that market was $15M aav..........whether it was a rental type or a 5 year deal type. Then they let Carpenter walk as well...........which makes no sense for $6M per year for 2 years. Meanwhile........the Mets payroll(with luxury tax penalties) is $495M. ($384M = $111M tax) I'm glad Cohen is pushing Hal but the bar wasn't $300M.........the bar is whatever it takes to field a balanced lineup that could beat the Astros.
  20. Jerry signed a two year contract. If he'd give back the $1.25M in unamortized bonus money that the Texans are on the hook for then *maybe* they'd cut him loose. Doesn't seem like A LOT of money for someone who has earned with Hughes has.........but I HIGHLY doubt he'd give any money back. That doesn't happen. Without that the Texans have zero to gain from cutting him and cap space to lose............so right now the Texans have a productive pass rusher under contract on the cheap for the 2023 season.
  21. Yeah artists are always trying to draw Josh Allen with more chiseled features.........it's OK that he has kind soccer mom eyes. It's part of what makes him broadly endearing even though he's abusing opponents on the field. Who are they drawing him for? @Sherlock Holmes?
  22. They only get to wear the smurf suits........blue shirt/white pants........at home.
  23. 17 looks like Chris Evans........nothing like JA. Tre White looks nothing like Tre either. Rest are reasonable facsimiles.
  24. Meh? Yeah I guess this was a sneaky Groot-shade thread. I gave you the benefit of the doubt with my original response and then with your follow up it became clear that you had created a stat driven argument only for confirmation bias purposes.........Phillips was your guy and you are standing by it.
  25. I thought we had a graph on here recently that illustrated that Rousseau had one of the very highest pressure rates in the league in addition to his impressive counting stats? I don't assume that playing more snaps won't decrease down-by-down production........but if Groot has the prorated 13 sacks on the 684 snaps that Phillips has.......while Phillips himself has 7.......do you still think Phillips goes first? I don't think it's that cut and dried. There is no denying that Phillips LOOKS like an elite pass rusher and GR does not. But we aren't unfamiliar with that concept here. Jerry Hughes looked like an elite pass rusher and had the pressure rates to back it up.........but he simply didn't make a high volume of plays. Phillips is better at making plays than Jerry was but he doesn't produce the volume of plays that end in essentially fruitless downs that GR does when he is on the field........sacks, forced turnovers, TFL, PD, run stuffs. It's not even that close.
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