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Everything posted by thurst44
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We have the worst cap situation in the league?
thurst44 replied to Virgil's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Actually in some cases, there is. For example, SI wrote an article the other day which used the 168m payroll number as the reason they were way over the cap. Multiple sources have used the higher payroll or the lowest possible salary cap (which is unlikely to happen) to exaggerate the Bills situation because dire is more dramatic. The most likely situation is that they will be flush against the cap. They won't be players in free agency, but they aren't likely to lose players they'll miss (considering the way Mario was playing), and could very well emerge a better team. -
Could Easley be a decent backup safety for the Bills?
thurst44 replied to simpleman's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I would also miss Easley, but wish he could have stayed healthier. All the late news about Aaron Williams sounds cautiously optimistic to me. They seemed to think it was 50/50, and implied that if it swung in one direction, the injury did not make it any more dangerous to play, but if it leaned in the other direction, he would wisely retire. Hopefully, Whaley's assessment from a few weeks ago was knowing. He's a solid leader and an underrated defender -- it was right around when he and Kyle went down that the running d fell off a cliff. However, I agree, if there's any doubt, he should walk away. This is just based on social media posts and interviews, but I'm a huge fan of Aaron Williams, the person, as well as the player. -
Could Easley be a decent backup safety for the Bills?
thurst44 replied to simpleman's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
George Wilson was 26 when he did exactly that, and he had a couple very good seasons for us, before dropping off a cliff, skillswise. That said, I highly doubt Easley will be doing that, nor do I think he should. If anything, if he comes back, he should be exclusively ST. Honestly, when I've been messing around with that sportstrac salary cap tool, I've pretty much written him off (not that i know anything )...hopefully, that's wrong. -
Should the Bills tag Glenn?
thurst44 replied to EmotionallyUnstable's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Get it, can't win, don't try. Seriously, we have a QB who is top 10 in a ton of categories in his first season (including most accurate on the deep throw), and that's not even worth a chance. So, let's just let a guy who by most national standards is top ten at his position (PFF for one), one of the hardest to come by in the league. Bills had one of the best seasons of any team in the last decade running over the right side. I'd be shocked if he's not considered a cornerstone. You lose him and/or Incognito and the line could be an absolute disaster. And I'm so tired of all the crying broke here when if you actually look at it instead of whining "Bills suck," it's not as bad as it looks. Sportrac has them at 90k over the limit with the Top 51 considered, and there's so many places to save money. They're not going to be players, obviously, but Whaley's been pretty transparent; we're gonna focus on signing our own guys, and maybe one defensive signing (I'd guess Damon Harrison). As for Glenn, we should not pretend to know what's on his mind. But it's true, players always heed their agents and only seek the best money possible...that's why Jerry Hughes wound up leaving us last year after so many people here made the same arguments. Let's just see how this plays out, why don't we? You may be right. History would suggest we sometimes sign our players, we sometimes don't. Ditto the franchise tag...we used it on Byrd a couple years ago. Based on your arguments, 13.5m is a reasonable price since he would clearly get so much more elsewhere. At very worst, tag and trade. -
It's not a coincidence that the running defense suddenly disappeared when Kyle got hurt. I highly doubt Kyle Williams is going anywhere, certainly not to make room for Quentin Coples. He loves it in Buffalo, and would probably renegotiate his contract, and there are many other places for them to find space (McKelvin, Boobie, Clay restructure, Urbik, Easley). Let's not hope the Bills make the same mistake they made when they released Pat Williams at roughly the same age.
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Miami was supposedly in cap hell last season and went out and signed Suh to an absurd contract (and seemed to be linked to every free agent)
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McCoy's nightclub fight and the ongoing investigation
thurst44 replied to lowghen's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yep, b/c that's what happened when Ray Lewis was in a group who stabbed two people to death. No, wait, he stayed with the team and was the Super Bowl MVP, and would go on to have over a decade's worth more seasons with the same team, becoming a beloved team leader feted by the league and the media upon retirement. Not saying it's right, just that it's probably not that simple, nor should it be (for the record, I can't stand Lewis), nor am I not bothered by this story, and disgusted if he did it. Just b/c he is charged doesn't mean he did it, and the team should probably stick by him until it's fully clear what he did. Hopefully, the story turns out to be much different than it may seem now. Aaron Hernandez may have been released before proven, but at that point he was pretty much suspected of murders at a serial killer level. -
NFL Thursday night broadcasting rights adding to the cap...
thurst44 replied to Big Turk's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
That would still be 14m worth of cap space, b/c otherwise you'd be taking the money from the savings gained by cutting (or in the unlikely scenario, renegotiating and extending) Mario. In this scenario, that 13-14m can be spent on someone else. However, as you and others have said, this may be a moot point as this money may not apply to the cap this year. Anyway, while they're right up to the cap as it looks now, there is at least some wiggle room between Mario's likely cut and a bunch of contracts (Clay, McKelvin, Wood, etc.) which can be renegotiated. Again, last year, the Dolphins were right up against the cap and were somehow players in FA. The Bills are not in a dire situation, as the "doooomed" chorus here would have everyone believe; it's just not really a fun situation where they can go on a spending spree. They can probably sign their own where they want (Glenn, Incognito, maaaybe Bradham), add some role players, and if one big ticket item is out there that they really want, they'll just do a ton of fancy restructuring if they can. That being said, I do agree that Whaley is not counting on these savings, and saw this reply after posting, so sorry to pile on. -
19: R1P19 ILB REGGIE RAGLAND ALABAMA 49: R2P18 DT ANDREW BILLINGS BAYLOR 80: R3P17 WR BRAXTON MILLER OHIO STATE 114: R4P19 CB BRIEAN BODDY-CALHOUN MINNESOTA 144: R5P17 G GREG PYKE GEORGIA 174: R6P17 DE CHARLES TAPPER OKLAHOMA
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NFL Live: Bills teams worst Super Bowl opponents as per Jaws
thurst44 replied to K D's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Talley, Bennett, Conlan, Odomes, Kelso, Hansen, etc.?!?!?! So, now we're even getting unnecessarily negative about the glory days of the team. The yardage stats are a bit deceptive b/c they were on the field by design more than any other defense, but they had an above average if not dominant defense, although, ok, they were "not good" in the Super Bowls, if that's what you mean. Yes, they got outcoached (and were also unfocused) for the Giants. They had a terrible start in the second, were definitively overmatched in the third, and started well and fell apart in the fourth. On balance, the AFC was the weaker conference, but the Bills more than held their own at that time (weren't they something like 13-3 against the NFC in the regular season), and the team deserves to be considered one of the better teams of all time (and probably would be if they had just won the first SB). -
They really are not at all. There's a lot of room for cuts which put them in a not great, but not impossible, situation (Mario cut/restructure, Clay restructure, bump in salary cap alone would likely put them 20-30m under). They are in almost exactly the same situation the Dolphins were last year when they went and signed Suh. Salary cap hell is when a team enters free agency 10-60m over and has to cut players they don't want to lose. Bills are clearly not in that situation. They are also not in the situation where they can be players. They will likely not be major players in free agency, as Whaley has openly said. They will likely try to re-sign Glenn, Incognito...others like Bradham, if their price tags are not overinflated, a few Ryan-friendly bargain guys (of the DeMario Davis variety), and I wouldn't be surprised if we signed one major defensive free agent, despite Doug's comment about not doing anything the first week, as he also said (if i am not mistaken, correct me if i'm wrong) one top-level defensive signing but no more is possible. But, yes, as others have said, they will probably mostly pick up role players after the market calms down, when you can get better value deals, and I'm sure there will be 2 or 3 major underachievers as that's clearly Whaley's stock-in-trade (check out the rivals top 100 recruit lists from 2003-12 and see how many current bills were on there). Vernon Davis would be unlikely too...terrible value at this point in his career and as one poster pointed out, he's not necessarily that connected to Roman.
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Quirk in NFL Schedule according to professor
thurst44 replied to bobobonators's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The schedule is nowhere near as brutal as people here are making it out to be. We tend to look tend to look at the next year's schedule with the best possible versions of our opponents. Hence, no good team is going to tank, the Raiders, Jags, and Rams are "definitively on the upswing," yet the Ravens were somehow an aberration. You never know what your schedule is going to entail until it happens, until you know which teams catch the injury bug. Even now, I don't quite get the horror...yes, we play the Cardinals and Seahawks, but we also play the Browns and 49ers, who look like absolute train wrecks at this point in time. Steelers and Bengals were great this year, but the Ravens were terrible, and the Rams were falling apart by year's end (and who knows how they react to the hubbub of L.A.). The Raiders and Jags have a lot of hope, but it's the same sort of hope that an outsider might see in the Bills -- a lot of young talent, which doesn't always come together. It may turn out to be a nightmare schedule -- or it could be a cake schedule. We shouldn't pretend to know. -
You might feel differently if you lived in NYC, surrounded by obnoxious Jets fans (in fairness, they were friendly when i went to the game this year)
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They also had a decisive win against last year's second best AFC team. Every game is different. And what they've shown that makes one believe they can beat a good team (maybe well-coached, definitely not complete), is their defense is tireless, and only getting better. Yesterday, they were on the field for something like 75% of the first half, yet only allowed one short-field TD. They were missing their top 2 rbs and top wr, and will likely have two of them back. Also, it's telling they cut down on the penalties, particularly the stupid, unsportsmanlike penalties.
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Barbarian, I think you owe us this.
thurst44 replied to Offside Number 76's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yes, agreed, but I have watched your comments, you're cool to judge Bills based on this many games in a year. -
Bills Trade Cassel to Cowboys
thurst44 replied to 26CornerBlitz's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Dallas was the team in immediate need of a QB and they didn't have a 2016 5th round to give. They traded it for Brice Butler. -
CONTEST: Guess First Offensive Play - Win a Hat!
thurst44 replied to BringBackFergy's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Tyrod hands off to LeSean up the middle for 9 yards. 23 first downs -
Dareus Signs Six Year Extension with Bills
thurst44 replied to 26CornerBlitz's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Maybe we should be a bit hasty about announcing the end of the career of a defensive tackle who's still playing at the top of his game (2014 pro bowler, 1st team all-pro) b/c he's 32, and perhaps flashback a decade to the 2005 off-season and check the conversations here re: a certain other DT who went on to play six more solid years, the first three going to the pro bowl. We have one of the all-time defensive lines -- let's not be so swift to architect its break-up. If the Dolphins can be flush against the cap and figure out a way to sign Suh, I'm pretty sure the Bills can find a way to keep KW in the fold. -
Remember early last year when David Yankey and Cyril Richardson were thought to be likely two top guards off the draft board, then they dropped to the 5th round...and within a year, both released around the same time (next to each other in that link). What a diff'rence...
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They're still there as of now, so...
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1st String O line immensely improved but NO DEPTH!
thurst44 replied to ScrewyLouie's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Baby steps: having 6 solid o-linemen is way better than what was expected going into the pre-season -
And then there were 75. Make your 22 cuts to get to 53
thurst44 replied to Pete's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Am I missing another Henderson, b/c I doubt that the confirmed starting Right Tackle is about to be released. Did you mean Carrington? -
You missed quite a few: John Miller is the likely starter at RG If Cujo is not the starter at RT, it's because Seantrel Henderson is starting Preston Brown will again be a starting LB Duke Williams could still start at safety (although probably not) Ok, so you do mention the other rounds, but what does it matter where in the draft they get them...
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Bills training camp practice 8/11
thurst44 replied to Canadian Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
That actually compliments everyone involved...Gilmore had him covered well, EJ stuck it in the spot where Woods could make the play.