HardyBoy
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Dion Dawkins is latest to rave about Bills DE A.J. Epenesa
HardyBoy replied to wppete's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Well said...I think people are still stuck in the old frame of mind of what failing to sign a free agent meant in the past. As someone else mentioned, Bills were the top competitor to the Cardinals. They offered the least of all the named teams. This tells me Watt wanted to come to buffalo, and the bills decided that the value they placed on the position was better spent on rookie DEs high in the draft, which likely accounts for the gap between the contracts. Yes, they literally failed to sign Watt...this is not the same as Gilmore or Woods not wanting to sign here being the cause for failing to sign someone. The bills controlled the outcome and it was their choice. Still they tried, just the non-monetary benefits didn't sound like they quite made up for the business side. -
Hard Knox: Dawson Knox Watch
HardyBoy replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Do you think something that could help with that would be designing plays where the best way Knox could turn the play into a 30yd yac is if he attacks the ball as a way to use the defender's momentum against him? Seems like what you're describing doesn't happen if he attacks the ball to make the catch. If you're sitting out there waiting for the ball, I could see your hips start turning early, leading to your head to turn a fraction of a second early. I guess, is it it possible to attack the ball more even on a seam route, where he is bending his route a bit to give Allen a better throwing angle? No football relevant experience, but I played striker in soccer and we would bend runs all the time to create more space, give our teammates a wider passing angle and most importantly, allow us to be able to come back to the ball with suddenness...you wait for a ball in soccer instead of attacking it at the high point basically, your coach is gonna bench you pretty quick. Should the coaches say we love that you're being aggressive, you need to make sure that starts with the catch as well...attack the ball knox...go catch it instead of letting the ball catch you. Hopefully that's what he's doing this summer. With a ping pong ball, you don't wait for it...you figure out where it's going to be and you catch the fing ball. You reach out and hit the ball into your palm and use that momentum to keep control of the ball while you close your hand around it...if you're letting the ball hit your palm and then try and catch, it's most likely bouncing off before your hand can register and close. Hope that makes sense, my youngest is getting all four canine teeth and the last week and a half have been a trip, but gives me a chance to post on here at 4am! -
NFL Will End “Race Norming” in Concussion Settlements
HardyBoy replied to K-9's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Agree the analogy I used was flawed, but it highlights the larger point that my guess is a lot of people saying this is a companies right to do, would quickly change their tunes if it was something like a 2A issue...not saying you would at all, but it sort of reminds me of free speech should be protected at all costs...unless it's NWA putting out a rap album, then pearl clutching. The whole point of systemic racism is that institutions are taking advantage of once explicitly racist laws and policies in the past to save money. It's the fruit of the poisonous tree argument basically. If I buy stolen property from someone and have a reasonable expectation it is stolen ($100 PS5s aren't a thing), I don't get a pass because I was trying to save some money. -
NFL Will End “Race Norming” in Concussion Settlements
HardyBoy replied to K-9's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
If it came out that people were charging more for health insurance for people who owned guns, because they could point to increased accidental death risk...Would that be an attack on gun rights or a company saving money? -
Interesting, thought this interview would get more engagement. Someone like Norman coming to, and saying nice things about the culture within the Bills locker room is massive in my opinion. If he thought it was a negative place he would have said so/or at least not said something positive. Dude is not a fluffer who just follows cliche talking points.
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Probably part of a larger pr strategy if I had to guess. Give their network the ability to prime a story, maybe start working on some subtle change management, test out some different word combinations to see what drives engagement through some AB testing, etc. Actually, they're probably reading this right now...
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You can hire for potential as well though, no? I know potential falls into best for the role, but is often discounted when talking about situations like this. When I hire people, I typically look for skills that the person has no business having given their previous experience and job titles. Shows they are curious and eager to grow, learn and expand their skill set with all the tools available in their sphere, not just what is handed to them. Also tells me they likely have a chip on their shoulder because most likely they had to ignore people saying "why can't you just do it the way you're told" and likely have been undervalued for promotions and such because they try to solve root cause problems, not just do the minimum. Nit involved in too many hires, but have helped hire several incredible people that way, where I had to fight to get their resume out of a garbage can and bring them in for an interview and they blew everyone away.
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Christian Wade [Mod edited] has a groupie
HardyBoy replied to Milanos Milano's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
That's what I think too, he's trying to set up an american football program in the UK as a long term vision. -
Cardinals still showing the “Hail Murray”
HardyBoy replied to Jerry Jabber's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Oh no, not the pink hats! -
What's your top 4 pass rush package?
HardyBoy replied to Royale with Cheese's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Not just tipped balls, but since he's so tall, wonder if he'll be getting tips while he's still in the motion of getting his arm up, causing more tips to go up high in the air instead of just getting batted down. -
Is Jerry Hughes a future Wall of Famer?
HardyBoy replied to Royale with Cheese's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The feeling I had reading this in the past tense...that said, I don't think that feeling really exists...everytime I think it does something like the Cards game happens! -
Are sports’ drafts fair to the players?
HardyBoy replied to Tipster19's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Safe to say the majority of your skills were gained through on the job training? That's not the case for nfl players. The skills that makes them able to join the league are developed prior to joining the league. Also, I do believe there is a difference between gov't jobs and jobs in the private sector. And yes, the military and the nfl both do a bad job preparing their employees for post career life. -
Are sports’ drafts fair to the players?
HardyBoy replied to Tipster19's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
There are viable alternatives for those career paths (private contractors, etc.). The nfl used non-competative means through anti-trust law exemptions to eliminate or aquire other competitive leagues...same with all the major sports in the USA. -
Athletic article on JP Losman
HardyBoy replied to Ed_Formerly_of_Roch's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Tannehil was on the verge of breaking out imo the year he tore his acl in training camp. He ended the season before super strong, he just should have gotten the knee repaired, and instead tried to rehab, and nope. https://dolphinstalk.com/2018/07/22/ryan-tannenhill-and-the-ghosts-of-acl-injuries-past/ -
Gabriel Davis - Post TD Celebration
HardyBoy replied to ChevyVanMiller's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I'm right around episode 18 of season 2 of DS9 and reason I'm watching is I heard it turns into some of the all time best sci fi starting in season 3 (and it already has been great). Very very very pumped (I started watching in early April too, so that's a lot of DS9...with a 16 month old and a just turned 4 year old, this is pretty much literally the first tv I've watched for myself in almost a year. Their stuff during the day if tv is on and catching up on work I put off watching them part of the day. DS9, at least so far, sneaky good show to watch with a 4 year old (only skipped a few episodes because of violence). Between watching DS9 and moving from South Florida to Raleigh last fall and experiencing a real spring for the first time in 8 years, I feel like a fog is coming off...so yeah, thinking the last year might have caused some lasting impacts... What's this thread about again? -
I heard someone somewhere talking about how this is a super shallow DT draft and a deep draft at other positions, so we shouldn't take a DT, which I thought was opposite. You take the DT early, because there are only a few worth drafting and then you draft one of the depth positions later and you get a player who is taken much higher most drafts (Gabriel Davis is the perfect example). Like it's potentially ok to draft a guy a round or two early, so you don't have to trade back up, and use those other picks to draft the depth players. That said, position scarcity absolutely plays into the opportunity cost of drafting a player at a position with more depth early, and is part of the value calculation.
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Miami considering trading down from 6
HardyBoy replied to BuffaloBills1998's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Is it possible the value of the sixth pick goes up on draft day though? Also, there is a benefit of knowing who is available at six, and then deciding to trade down, that opportunity to have that knowledge is valuable in itself. -
Miami considering trading down from 6
HardyBoy replied to BuffaloBills1998's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I know this is shocking to some, but it's possible the dolphins view Tua as a better draft prospect with a higher ceiling than any of the qbs they could have had at #3. Like if they were all coming out this year, they would have Tua rated above the guys likely available. -
Absolutely, and likely the best approach is the vary the strategy based on the maturity of your development pipeline. In my example I said it takes a player 3 years to be fully developed. If you draft three developmental players a year, you will have 9 at any given time. Actually, theoretically that would work with the practice squad and bottom of the roster (with my constraint that you have to keep a developmental player for at least three years), but that prevents you from signing any developmental players as FA. My thought it likely goes in waves. One year you largely restock developmental players, then the next year focus on trading up and getting top 100 picks...and you do that all within the same draft as things unfold, it's just you need to be mindful and have a plan for both buckets, and have full faith the Bills FO most certainly does.
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Totally hear ya. Was planning on ending that with agree that Beane is a total wizard and has all that stuff built out for sure, and the model will continue getting better each year with more info. Ha, my phone was on the verge of running out of battery and I was about to lose everything I wrote if I tried to add another sentence (made it with literally 30 seconds to spare).
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So I hear what you're saying, and especially in this draft there is a very good chance players are misscouted and legit talent drops a lot more than usual. That said, and let's say ceilings are all equal...say something like 50% of first round draft picks bust. Then let's say 5% of 5th or lower draft picks become starters, that's a 95% bust rate (let's exclude kickers and punters and such). Even if my numbers are off a bit, the point is, it takes a lot more late round picks to equal the value of a first round pick in terms of odds. Low in the first round, the cost in salary in my mind, where that player is real close to not being in the top 51 anyway would take a ton of later round picks to make me want to take the gamble. Also, you gotta think a lot of those players will need to develop, so even if you say something crazy like 50% of people taken in late rounds develop into a starter year 4 if you let them sit on your bench. You simply don't have enough roster spots to make it work. All that said, the answer really lies in between there, and includes factors such as specific position, upcoming years positional draft depths, free agent classes, salary value ranges by position, scheme both immediate and where you see the league evolvong, etc.
