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I think James Cook is what makes this a hard decision. On one hand, I’d say that his relatively light load in college and the NFL makes him a decent investment as far as availability goes. conversely, that same low usage also speaks to whether or not he offers enough value above replacement to deserve the contract he is looking for. i think it is a rare case among running backs where fans/the bills don’t want to pay him not because there is concern he will wear down, but more so because his production is likely replaceable for less money. to put it plainly, I think most people on this board feel like ray davis plus a 30 mil receiver like DK is better than Palmer + Cook.
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$12.5M was my "Beane top number". I think Beane sticks to it. Cook will test the market in March and end up taking that deal. His 2026 cap hit would be manageable and in 2027 Knox and Samuel come off the books. That's the year I see them starting to push Josh's money way out too. IMO FWIW.
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Jerry Butler was great - it’s a shame he got hurt early in his career.
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Los Angeles under military attack
JDHillFan replied to Joe Ferguson forever's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Better luck next time! -
Hah!!! I like that proviso a lot!! Smart.
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animotion. today this clip reads so cliche look at she in her cute side ponytail LOL and his hair Is PERFECT better than hers. that's funny to me LOL obsession
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Insurrection Riots: Finding The Funding
BillsFanNC replied to BillsFanNC's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
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Los Angeles under military attack
SCBills replied to Joe Ferguson forever's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
This seems like a perfectly reasonable personal experience post that doesn’t, at all, make you look like the problem. -
What you aren't accounting for is that James Cook is not an every down RB like Todd Gurley was. If he were an 825 snap RB like Gurley in 2018 instead of the 485 snap guy like Cook in 2024 then there *might* be an argument to be made. But in the same way that if your aunt had balls she'd be your uncle sorta *might*. Because that's not who Cook can be at this point. Here are the numbers: Gurley had exactly 1.7x the usage. The cap has gone up 1.58x since 2018. So $14M would be worth $8.25M of 2018 cap dollars at the mere 48% of snaps that Cook played. The snaps matter. Being able to keep Gurley in on the most important down was a huge benefit to the offense. He caught a bunch of passes at about a 10 yard per clip rate and was a tremendous pass blocker. That $8.25M figure that Gurley's snap adjusted contract would equate to is $13M today. So basically.........at $15M you would be paying Cook considerably more than Gurley was earning on a per snap/adjusted cap basis. You can hope to keep getting a rookie and cheap vet to handle the other 50% of snaps but if you are going to do that........let "everybody eat" at RB instead of paying one 8-10x more than the other two.
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From Germany in 2016: …Germany’s domestic intelligence agency said in its annual report that Iran has a “clandestine” effort to seek illicit nuclear technology and equipment from German companies “at what is, even by international standards, a quantitatively high level.” The findings by the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution, Germany’s equivalent of the FBI, were issued in a 317-page report last week. German Chancellor Angela Merkel underscored the findings in a statement to parliament, saying Iran violated the United Nations Security Council’s anti-missile development regulations. “Iran continued unabated to develop its rocket program in conflict with the relevant provisions of the UN Security Council,” Merkel told the Bundestag....The German report also stated “it is safe to expect that Iran will continue its intensive procurement activities in Germany using clandestine methods to achieve its objectives.” https://www.cfr.org/blog/iran-cheating-nuclear-deal
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Bills Diggs is absolutely ahead of the Bills version of Lofton. It’s not close. One was the guy and the other was a role player. If you want to argue Reed over Diggs, okay, but no chance on Lofton. Moulds is in an interesting one as well but I’d probably have Bills Diggs over him. In my lifetime (at least that I remember): Reed, Diggs, Moulds, Stevie, Lofton, Beasley
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Selective Justice: The Hypocrisy of MAGA
Doc replied to Homelander's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
LOL! What "demonstrable lies"? -
Recession is upon us - disastrous economic data
Doc replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Rub some dirt on it... -
I like how the writer paraphrases Beane as saying, "Nothing is earned." That made me laugh.
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Feel the same way about Ukraine - where there are ZERO deals unless you use it to launder money. And no, it wasn’t an arms control deal. It’s about nuclear weapons. There shouldn’t be a sunset clause. Our government changes and they know that. Theirs does not. If it was such a great deal - sign a treaty. Iran never had any intention of following the agreement. They never did. There would be zero repercussions if they didn’t outside of sanctions by the U.S. - which we’d be doing anyway bc of their constant attacks on Israel. That’s not the main issue. Just one problem of many. It was such a great deal. They were never not enriching uranium. “More than ever.” Do you hear yourself. NO ENRICHMENT. THATS THE DEAL. Allowing 3 percent is all they need to get to a bomb. That’s what they were doing.
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Selective Justice: The Hypocrisy of MAGA
leh-nerd skin-erd replied to Homelander's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
My wife has freckles, and I'm glad she does. -
Tre was signed for some insurance before the draft. If he is willing to go to the PS after camp, I think his signing will be worth it.
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If you took a Kelly/Hurts conversation to an Eagles message board, 90% would side with Hurts. “He was great in the Super Bowl when they lost and won the other.” That’s what makes it a reasonable argument. Each fan base would argue for their guy. Reasonable Eagles fans wouldn’t try to make the case that Hurts is over Allen (and yes I see the vocal minority on the internet that think Hurts should be 1). Those aren’t the reasonable ones.
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By that standard Moulds shouldn't even make it then. Lofton was important but he wasn't the WR1 was like Diggs. Allen and his connection were the engine that drove the best four years of consistent offensive performance we've ever had. Plus, he was absolutely vital to Josh's development. To me four pro bowl caliber years leading to your team at minimum winning the division title four times in a row and going 2-2 in the Divisional round in what was a tougher conference now compared to the 90's is more impressive. Lofton only went over 1,000 yards once in the first three Super Bowl years. I'd put Diggs ahead of him.
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So, we don't want to follow the pack? Instead, we want to pay more than we have to? Yeah, when it comes to contracts, going out of your way to not follow the pack by overpaying? Count me out. I get you're playing around some here. The last sentence shows that. Not clear exactly what you're trying to say about receivers there. But you seem to be somewhat serious about overpaying being a good strategy because it's zigging when they're zagging. Me? No, thanks. This. He's right that the values are changing. It's likely that's due to the effect of analytics and smarter decision-making. As Matt_in_NH pointed out, analytics tends to show that RBs have shorter shelf lives. And fewer snaps than WRs. And a lot more production in terms of yards and TDs per touch. If we pay Cook around $11M or so, we'd be making him the 7th highest paid in AAV. 7th? That's about right, I think. Second contracts often rank a guy higher than his actual value. But not contracts given a year early, generally. The player has to give up a bit for the early payday. And early paydays are even more valuable to RBs than most positions. I think you're right that this is market efficiency we're seeing.