Super Bowl Winners in Week One

[Gugny]

Not great news.

 

In the past 21 seasons, Super Bowl winners are 18-3 (7-1 in the past eight seasons) in Week One the following season.

 

In the last 20 seasons, only the Patriots after Super Bowl 51, the Ravens after Super Bowl 47 and the Giants after Super Bowl 46 have lost Week 1.

 

https://www.nationalfootballpost.com/best-bets/bet-against-super-bowl-losers-in-week-1/

 

Looks like it'll be 18-4 after this year's season opener!

 

GO BEELS!

 

[Greg S]

The Bills will feed off their home crowd at Sofi Stadium to get the win. I am sure the Rams entire fanbase ( all 6 of them) will do their best to support their team but it won't be enough.

[Royale with Cheese]

6 minutes ago, Greg S said:

The Bills will feed off their home crowd at Sofi Stadium to get the win. I am sure the Rams entire fanbase ( all 6 of them) will do their best to support their team but it won't be enough.

 

 

[Greg S]

5 minutes ago, Royale with Cheese said:

 

 

 

I understand why the league wanted to go back to LA and they make tons of money with 2 teams playing at Sofi. But from a fan perspective LA will always be a Lakers/Dodgers town. Maybe they care about USC and UCLA but they really don't care about the NFL. 

[Mr. WEO]

1 hour ago, Greg S said:

 

I understand why the league wanted to go back to LA and they make tons of money with 2 teams playing at Sofi. But from a fan perspective LA will always be a Lakers/Dodgers town. Maybe they care about USC and UCLA but they really don't care about the NFL. 

 

SoFi averaged 71,598 (100.1% capacity) for the Rams and 70,240 (98.2%) for the Chargers.  Bills had 67,816 (94.7%) at home.

 

http://www.espn.com/nfl/attendance

[The Red King]

Bills laid an egg hard against Pitt last year, and will be there for a pennant drop they know could have been theirs.  No, I expect them to come out on a rampage.  I'd more fear a Week 2 drop off after that but the schedule gods left us a vengeance game in that spot.

[Greg S]

1 minute ago, Mr. WEO said:

 

SoFi averaged 71,598 (100.1% capacity) for the Rams and 70,240 (98.2%) for the Chargers.  Bills had 67,816 (94.7%) at home.

 

http://www.espn.com/nfl/attendance

 

If I remember correctly the visiting team ( and it didn't matter who it was) had a decent percentage of the crowd rooting for them. When SF went there it was a sea of red all around the stadium. 

1 minute ago, The Red King said:

Bills laid an egg hard against Pitt last year, and will be there for a pennant drop they know could have been theirs.  No, I expect them to come out on a rampage.  I'd more fear a Week 2 drop off after that but the schedule gods left us a vengeance game in that spot.

 

I doubt they have a letdown against the Titans. They will want payback for last year. They could lose but It won't be because of a letdown especially since its the home opener.

[The Red King]

2 minutes ago, Greg S said:

I doubt they have a letdown against the Titans. They will want payback for last year. They could lose but It won't be because of a letdown especially since its the home opener.

 

Oh, I doubt it too.  Reread my reply.  I said I might be worried if not for the fact that it was a vengeance game. ^.^

[Greg S]

Just now, The Red King said:

 

Oh, I doubt it too.  Reread my reply.  I said I might be worried if not for the fact that it was a vengeance game. ^.^

 

My bad on that. 

[LeGOATski]

23 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:

 

SoFi averaged 71,598 (100.1% capacity) for the Rams and 70,240 (98.2%) for the Chargers.  Bills had 67,816 (94.7%) at home.

 

http://www.espn.com/nfl/attendance

Oh, Mr. Weo....

[Mr. WEO]

Just now, LeGOATski said:

Oh, Mr. Weo....

 

 

facts

[Logic]

37 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:

 

SoFi averaged 71,598 (100.1% capacity) for the Rams and 70,240 (98.2%) for the Chargers.  Bills had 67,816 (94.7%) at home.

 

http://www.espn.com/nfl/attendance

That doesn't say anything about the LOCAL support, though. 

LA is a popular destination for opposing fans to go to see games.

Obviously, the league doesn't care WHO is in the seats, so long as the tickets are being bought.

Just pointing out that sold out games don't necessarily equal hardy local fan support.

Edited July 22, 2022 by Logic

[Greg S]

3 minutes ago, Logic said:

That doesn't say anything about the LOCAL support, though. 

LA is a popular destination for opposing fans to go to see games.

Obviously, the league doesn't care WHO is in the seats, so long as the tickets are being bought.

Just pointing out that sold out games don't necessarily equal hardy local fan support.

 

Also Buffalo is known for being a hardcore football mad city. LA is known for nice weather and beaches. Its definitely not passionate about football.

[Mr. WEO]

36 minutes ago, Greg S said:

 

If I remember correctly the visiting team ( and it didn't matter who it was) had a decent percentage of the crowd rooting for them. When SF went there it was a sea of red all around the stadium. 

 

I doubt they have a letdown against the Titans. They will want payback for last year. They could lose but It won't be because of a letdown especially since its the home opener.

 

2 minutes ago, Logic said:

That doesn't say anything about the LOCAL support, though. 

LA is a popular destination for opposing fans to go to see games.

Obviously, the league doesn't care WHO is in the seats, so long as the tickets are being bought.

Just pointing out that sold out games don't necessarily equal hardy local fan support.

 

I guess we can make any assumption we want as to who's fans are in the stands from here.  But it's not a phenomenon unique to SoFi, obviously.

 

"The Chargers and Rams are not only contending with lost time in their bid to attract fans. With the proliferation of apps like SeatGeek and StubHub, through which customers can easily buy and resell tickets, the away fan takeover has become ubiquitous – and not just in Los Angeles. Fans of the Minnesota Vikings flooded Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday for the team’s away game against the Kansas City Chiefs, generating as much noise as the home supporters and performing their signature “skol” chant with impunity. New England Patriots fans turned out in droves for the team’s road game last month against Washington; they did the same two weeks later when the Patriots played at the New York Jets. When iconic teams like the Patriots, Steelers, Packers or Dallas Cowboys come to town, whether in Los Angeles or elsewhere, the home fans are always at risk of being outnumbered. Resale ticket prices are an average of 53% higher than a typical game when the Packers are visiting, according to figures provided by SeatGeek. They are 55% higher for Cowboys road games. That can be enticing for a season-ticket holder, looking to resell a ticket."

[Greg S]

2 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:

 

 

I guess we can make any assumption we want as to who's fans are in the stands from here.  But it's not a phenomenon unique to SoFi, obviously.

 

"The Chargers and Rams are not only contending with lost time in their bid to attract fans. With the proliferation of apps like SeatGeek and StubHub, through which customers can easily buy and resell tickets, the away fan takeover has become ubiquitous – and not just in Los Angeles. Fans of the Minnesota Vikings flooded Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday for the team’s away game against the Kansas City Chiefs, generating as much noise as the home supporters and performing their signature “skol” chant with impunity. New England Patriots fans turned out in droves for the team’s road game last month against Washington; they did the same two weeks later when the Patriots played at the New York Jets. When iconic teams like the Patriots, Steelers, Packers or Dallas Cowboys come to town, whether in Los Angeles or elsewhere, the home fans are always at risk of being outnumbered. Resale ticket prices are an average of 53% higher than a typical game when the Packers are visiting, according to figures provided by SeatGeek. They are 55% higher for Cowboys road games. That can be enticing for a season-ticket holder, looking to resell a ticket."

 

I remember last year Bills fans invading MetLife. Granted the Jets were terrible but that was largest turnout for Bills fans at the Meadowlands that I could remember. Crowd was at least 50-50 and maybe slightly favoring the Bills. 

[Awwufelloff]

Not worried 20-0 this upcoming season. 

[Logic]

The first six weeks of the Bills schedule are tough. The team will also be adapting to a new offensive playcaller, adding to the challenge.

I see it like this:

@ Rams L
Titans W
@ Dolphins W
@ Ravens L
Steelers W
@ Chiefs L

3-3 to start the season.

After the Bye week, however, I see them going 9-2 to finish 12-5 and win the East.

[Logic]

6 minutes ago, ScottLaw said:

12-5 for a team with first round BYE aspirations is a bit disappointing. 

No argument here.

I think the Bills will be fine in the long term with regard to the offensive coordinator change, but I expect there to be an adjustment period coming out of the gates. That period will happen to coincide with the toughest part of the schedule.

I could see either the Ravens or Chiefs games being a win instead of a loss, in which case the Bills wind up 13-4, and that may be good enough for a first round bye, particularly considering what dogfights the three other AFC divisions appear to be.

[Process]

Bills could definitely lose the first game. It would be as close to meaningless as you can get. 

 

Weird things always happen week one. Two of the best teams in the league. On the road. Non conference opponent. 

 

A win over the champs would be a nice way to start the season. But stomping the Titans on MNF the following week will be sweet regardless. 

 

[FilthyBeast]

I think the bills probably lose the opener and still think it's an odd matchup for the defending SB champ who almost always faces a conference foe in their opener so this is a big departure from that.

 

Yes there will likely be a large contingent of Bills mafia on hand but they aren't going to outnumber Rams fans who will be amped up in hopes their team launches a successful repeat campaign.