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By the percentages - The Bills likely 1st round playoff opponent based on the Miami game


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Disclaimer: I know how to copy and paste like a champ! 

 

If the Bills beat Miami in week 17

  • 37.5% chance of playing Miami
  • 25% chance of playing Baltimore
  • 25% chance of playing Cleveland
  • 6.25% chance of playing Tennessee
  • 6.25% chance of playing Indianapolis

If the Bills lose to Miami in week 17

  • 50% chance of playing Baltimore
  • 25% chance of playing Cleveland
  • 12.5% chance of playing Tennessee
  • 12.5% chance of playing Indianapolis
  • 0% chance of playing Miami
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These are not even close to accurate. These numbers are probably assuming every possible scenario has an equal chance of happening.   If buffalo and pittsburgh lose which they most likely wi

Disclaimer: I know how to copy and paste like a champ!    If the Bills beat Miami in week 17 37.5% chance of playing Miami 25% chance of playing Baltimore 25% chance of p

These are not even close to accurate. These numbers are probably assuming every possible scenario has an equal chance of happening.

 

If buffalo and pittsburgh lose which they most likely will playing backups, we are basically guaranteed to play Cleveland. 

Edited by Process
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Just now, Beast said:

Could you copy and paste the link you got that from or are you more of a third place guy when it comes to that?

 

Got it off of a work Slack room named #bills. So yeah. Go bronze team! (I'll look for a link)

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4 minutes ago, Process said:

These are not even close to accurate. These numbers are probably assuming every possible scenario has an equal chance of happening.

 

If buffalo and pittsburgh lose which they most likely will playing backups, we are basically guaranteed to play Cleveland. 


I agree. The percentages in the OP seem way off.  It would be nice to see what it looks like based on a weighted chance of success by each team. 

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Just now, gobills404 said:

If we beat miami, we need either the jags to beat the colts, the Bengals to beat the ravens, or mason rudolph to beat the browns if we wanna face miami in the playoffs.

Why do ppl insist on playing a division opponent in the playoff's? That is not what you want to hope for, not at all...

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Just now, Miyagi-Do Karate said:


I agree. The percentages in the OP seem way off.  It would be nice to see what it looks like based on a weighted chance of success by each team. 

Yea, all I know is Cleveland is definitely the most likely opponent. 

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1 minute ago, Gene1973 said:

Why do ppl insist on playing a division opponent in the playoff's? That is not what you want to hope for, not at all...

Worked well for the Bills during the Super Bowl years.  We always owned Miami, no matter when we played them.

 

 

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14 minutes ago, Draconator said:

Disclaimer: I know how to copy and paste like a champ! 

 

If the Bills beat Miami in week 17

  • 37.5% chance of playing Miami
  • 25% chance of playing Baltimore
  • 25% chance of playing Cleveland
  • 6.25% chance of playing Tennessee
  • 6.25% chance of playing Indianapolis

If the Bills ALLOW Miami to Win in week 17

  • 50% chance of playing Baltimore
  • 25% chance of playing Cleveland
  • 12.5% chance of playing Tennessee
  • 12.5% chance of playing Indianapolis
  • 0% chance of playing Miami


FIFY

If the Bills ALLOW Miami to Win in week 17

Edited by SlimShady'sSpaceForce
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Just now, Process said:

Yea, all I know is Cleveland is definitely the most likely opponent. 


I am not good at math, but if I had the time, I would probably base my predictions like this (chances of winning):

 

1) Bills/Dolphins: (60/40 bills)

2) Browns/Steelers (50/50)

3) Colts/jags (100/0 colts)

4)titans/Texans (70/30 titans)

5) ravens/Bengals (80/20 ravens)

 

 

 

 

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Thad Brown posted earlier...

 

Assuming BAL, TEN and IND win (which I think are safe assumptions), here’s who our Wildcard weekend opponent would be:

 

PIT W & BUF W - Dolphins 

PIT W & BUF L - Ravens 

PIT L & BUF W - Colts 

PIT L & BUF L - Browns

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