Tiberius Posted September 8, 2020 Author Share Posted September 8, 2020 Florida: Trump vs. Biden NBC News/Marist Biden 48, Trump 48 Tie Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden Susquehanna Biden 44, Trump 42 Biden +2 Ohio: Trump vs. Biden Rasmussen Reports Biden 49, Trump 45 Biden +4 Missouri: Trump vs. Biden WeAskAmerica Trump 49, Biden 44 Trump +5 New Jersey: Trump vs. Biden Emerson Biden 55, Trump 38 Biden +17 New Jersey Senate - Mehta vs. Booker Emerson Booker 52, Mehta 28 Booker +24 Missouri Governor - Parson vs. Galloway WeAskAmerica Parson 54, Galloway 41 Parson +13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SectionC3 Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 (edited) Kind of interesting that Booker is running so far ahead of Biden in NJ. Not sure what to make of that. Probably insignificant in presidential race. But still interesting. *** Looked again. He’s not running head. Spread is weird. But still a strange spread. Edited September 8, 2020 by SectionC3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unforgiven Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 (edited) Lol. Edited September 8, 2020 by Unforgiven 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER DOT COM Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 14 minutes ago, Unforgiven said: Lol. You should be willing and prepared to show your work, back up your opinions and analysis by engaging in an actual discussion of the topic. That means sticking around to have an adult conversation, not just throwing bombs or insults then fleeing the scene. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 1 hour ago, wAcKy ZeBrA said: You should be willing and prepared to show your work, back up your opinions and analysis by engaging in an actual discussion of the topic. That means sticking around to have an adult conversation, not just throwing bombs or insults then fleeing the scene. It is funny you make this comment to anyone when his analysis and research is what he linked. His point is polls are trash and skew towards Democrats until election day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted September 8, 2020 Author Share Posted September 8, 2020 Just now, Buffalo Timmy said: It is funny you make this comment to anyone when his analysis and research is what he linked. His point is polls are trash and skew towards Democrats until election day. The polls say Trump is losing. You have a melt down. Thats all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SectionC3 Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 1 hour ago, wAcKy ZeBrA said: You should be willing and prepared to show your work, back up your opinions and analysis by engaging in an actual discussion of the topic. That means sticking around to have an adult conversation, not just throwing bombs or insults then fleeing the scene. Agreed. Solid application of Rule #2. 5 minutes ago, Buffalo Timmy said: It is funny you make this comment to anyone when his analysis and research is what he linked. His point is polls are trash and skew towards Democrats until election day. I’m gonna Rule #2 this. Why are polls trash? And how do they skew toward Democrats until Election Day? 1 hour ago, Tiberius said: Florida: Trump vs. Biden NBC News/Marist Biden 48, Trump 48 Tie Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden Susquehanna Biden 44, Trump 42 Biden +2 Ohio: Trump vs. Biden Rasmussen Reports Biden 49, Trump 45 Biden +4 Missouri: Trump vs. Biden WeAskAmerica Trump 49, Biden 44 Trump +5 New Jersey: Trump vs. Biden Emerson Biden 55, Trump 38 Biden +17 New Jersey Senate - Mehta vs. Booker Emerson Booker 52, Mehta 28 Booker +24 Missouri Governor - Parson vs. Galloway WeAskAmerica Parson 54, Galloway 41 Parson +13 MO is interesting, too. Trump running well behind R governor candidate. One or two more points of uptick for Biden might convince me to drop a little cash in STL, KC, and maybe Columbia and make them play some defense. Especially in the KC market if it might help the Senate candidate in KS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 (edited) So............if you don't support his "law and order" agenda (pushing it lol), what exactly do you support? Wouldn't it be the opposite, ladies? Does "anarchy and violence" resonate better with Americans? They're in a panic over Biden's poll numbers Edited September 8, 2020 by Big Blitz 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted September 8, 2020 Author Share Posted September 8, 2020 7 minutes ago, Big Blitz said: So............if you don't support his "law and order" agenda (pushing it lol), what exactly do you support? Wouldn't it be the opposite, ladies? Does "anarchy and violence" resonate better with Americans? They're in a panic over Biden's poll numbers Are you personally afraid of the protesters? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 Just now, Tiberius said: Are you personally afraid of the protesters? The ones storming neighborhoods or the ones that come up to you while you're out at dinner and demand you put your fist up in solidarity with their "movement?" I'm not afraid of protesters. Why would you be? But what's happening in places like Portland or Rochester isn't protesting. I'm sure I have a greater chance of walking downtown and getting hit by a brick then I do of being killed by Covid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted September 8, 2020 Author Share Posted September 8, 2020 Just now, Big Blitz said: The ones storming neighborhoods or the ones that come up to you while you're out at dinner and demand you put your fist up in solidarity with their "movement?" I'm not afraid of protesters. Why would you be? But what's happening in places like Portland or Rochester isn't protesting. I'm sure I have a greater chance of walking downtown and getting hit by a brick then I do of being killed by Covid. So a small group, and you are voting for president based on that? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 16 minutes ago, SectionC3 said: Agreed. Solid application of Rule #2. I’m gonna Rule #2 this. Why are polls trash? And how do they skew toward Democrats until Election Day? Polls that end up outside there margin are error are poorly done and Dems always do better in polls than they do in elections. Anyone with an ounce of intelligence knows I am correct, which is reason you are confused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 24 minutes ago, Tiberius said: The polls say Trump is losing. You have a melt down. Thats all Tibs please stop with the stupidity of me having a "meltdown" over pathetic polls. You are the one who told me FU when I showed you what garbage they are. I know you say you were in the military, but I question it because your taunts are so weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SectionC3 Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 4 minutes ago, Buffalo Timmy said: Polls that end up outside there margin are error are poorly done and Dems always do better in polls than they do in elections. Anyone with an ounce of intelligence knows I am correct, which is reason you are confused. Rule #2, FYI, is the “show your work” rule. Not the “restate your baseless opinion” rule. I’ll politely ask again for Rule #2 compliance. Thank you in advance for your anticipated cooperation. Just now, Buffalo Timmy said: Tibs please stop with the stupidity of me having a "meltdown" over pathetic polls. You are the one who told me FU when I showed you what garbage they are. I know you say you were in the military, but I question it because your taunts are so weak. This may be a second meltdown. FYI, I satisfied Rule #2 here by quoting your prior post. Also, I’m not sure that you “showed . . . what garbage they are.” That gets us back to our prior issue with Rule #2 compliance. Thank you, again, for your anticipated compliance with that Rule #2 request. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 4 minutes ago, SectionC3 said: Rule #2, FYI, is the “show your work” rule. Not the “restate your baseless opinion” rule. I’ll politely ask again for Rule #2 compliance. Thank you in advance for your anticipated cooperation. Margin of error is not an opinion it is a mathematical principle. The fact that you don't understand that says you should not be in this discussion. Please feel free to do a little research before coming back so you can respond like you have a high school degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SectionC3 Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 14 minutes ago, Buffalo Timmy said: Margin of error is not an opinion it is a mathematical principle. The fact that you don't understand that says you should not be in this discussion. Please feel free to do a little research before coming back so you can respond like you have a high school degree. I anticipated your cooperation with Rule #2. It looks like I was wrong. Non-compliance with Rule #2 requires the conclusion that your contention that polls are “garbage” and that they always skew in favor of Democrats until Election Day is nothing more than a hoax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 NEWS YOU CAN USE: Your Definitive Guide to Understanding Polling (and Why Most Polls Are Garbage). “When reviewing polls in 2016, I came across bad poll after bad poll as a result of oversampling problems as well as push-poll lines of questions or questions that are framed in a way to influence the way someone answers. For instance, if a polling firm asked a question ‘Do you agree with Joe Biden’s call for all Americans to unite?’, it doesn’t leave any room for someone saying they disagree with the premise of the question, that is, Joe Biden even having that ability in the first place. Another example of a push poll question is ‘Do you support Donald Trump’s divisive rhetoric?’ Maybe the respondent doesn’t believe Trump’s rhetoric is divisive. Maybe the respondent thinks the Democrats’ rhetoric is divisive. Either way, a respondent is less likely to respond in the affirmative to supporting divisive rhetoric and therefore would lead to a skewing of the results.” Read the whole thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 2 hours ago, Tiberius said: So a small group, and you are voting for president based on that? So an extremely small chance? You're destroying the development of our kids by shutting their schools based on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unforgiven Posted September 8, 2020 Share Posted September 8, 2020 (edited) 2 hours ago, Tiberius said: Are you personally afraid of the protesters? I'm incensed at the cow who came in and stole the guys beer. Highly offensive. Edited September 8, 2020 by Unforgiven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 If Trump can peel off about 5 to 10% of female suburban voters, its over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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