Bills Analyst Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 If it hasn't been mentioned in this thread yet, try running through the ESPN Playoff Machine system for the scenarios (http://espn.go.com/n...layoffs/machine). I selected the default for teams with better records beating their opponents throughout. That leaves a few games for teams with the same records. Notably, if you have Baltimore beat Pittsburgh and the Dolphins sweeping the Jets, the Bills get the final playoff spot at 8-8. Odd but true. Even Better if you select Defensive Rank as the criteria on who wins, then we win the division as the #3 seed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lt. Dan's Revenge Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Likely Scenario: The Bills, Jets, and Dolphins all implode the rest of the season. Likely Scenario: YOU'RE going to implode the rest of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeSpeed Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 When was the last time a Bills team 'had' to win a game and came through for us? Seriously does anyone remember? Yes last week against the Jets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dorkington Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 I can see the Jets imploding... I'd say they are one ugly loss away from it. Bills and Dolphins? I likely see them going .500ish through the end of the year. Neither team is necessarily bad, but both teams need to shore up some weak spots and play more consistently. I think the Steelers and the Chargers have the best chances of making it. But I really hope the chips fall our way, and the Bills play lights out through the end of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bisonbrigade Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 here's my guess at the of the season. Titans 7-9 Steelers 8-8 Ravens 8-8 Chargers 8-8 Jets 7-9 Miami 7-9 Raiders 5-11 Browns 6-10 THE BUFFALO BILLS 9-7! PLAYOFFS!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DefenseWinzChampionshipz Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 To state the obvious, after this week at least 2 of the teams that currently have a 5-6 record will also become 6-6. Oakland and Cleveland hold the tiebreaker over Buffalo, so I see those games as being most critical. None the less, both of those teams have a very difficult finishing schedule, particularly Oakland. To a degree, I think the Bills control their own destiny here. Just win is an understatement. I didn't think Oakland would hold the tiebreaker on us. I was thinking the Steelers and Browns since we lost to both of them. After this week, things will definitely look clearer as far as who we need to lose what game, but we can only worry about that if we beat the Falcons. I honestly didn't want to talk about us and playoff chances after we lost to the Steelers, but ever since then, things have been going our way as far as teams we are chasing, are losing and making us catch up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewildrabbit Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 here's my guess at the of the season. Titans 7-9 Steelers 8-8 Ravens 8-8 Chargers 8-8 Jets 7-9 Miami 7-9 Raiders 5-11 Browns 6-10 THE BUFFALO BILLS 9-7! PLAYOFFS!!!!! Gotta love the eternal optimism of Bills fans never lose it! The realist in me can see the Bills beating the Falcons up in Toronto as the have the 28th ranked run defense. Their O line is porous, and their best offensive weapon is on IR. Plus the Bills get WR's Stevie & Woods back this week. 5-7 @ Tampa Bay against an improved 3-8 Buc's team that just beat the Lions at Detroit. 5-8 @ Jacksonville against the 2-9 Jags that just beat the Texans at Houston 13-6. Still 6-8 Miami at home, and the Bills play so much better at the Ralph. 7-8 @ New England, and the Bills don't play so well on the road, and against the best team in the AFC 7-9. Which is still better then Gailey, and better then I had previously thought. "IF" the Bills can fix the run game, give EJ better protection on the road...then 9-7 is an actual possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1billsfan Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 (edited) Gotta love the eternal optimism of Bills fans never lose it! The realist in me can see the Bills beating the Falcons up in Toronto as the have the 28th ranked run defense. Their O line is porous, and their best offensive weapon is on IR. Plus the Bills get WR's Stevie & Woods back this week. 5-7 @ Tampa Bay against an improved 3-8 Buc's team that just beat the Lions at Detroit. 5-8 @ Jacksonville against the 2-9 Jags that just beat the Texans at Houston 13-6. Still 6-8 Miami at home, and the Bills play so much better at the Ralph. 7-8 @ New England, and the Bills don't play so well on the road, and against the best team in the AFC 7-9. Which is still better then Gailey, and better then I had previously thought. "IF" the Bills can fix the run game, give EJ better protection on the road...then 9-7 is an actual possibility. I think the "bridge to far" will be the Pats game. I think the Pats (predicting 13-2) will be fighting with the Broncos (predicting 14-1) for the #1 seeding spot. A Pats win and Broncos loss would make the Pats the #1 seed due to the head-to-head tie breaker. The Bills/Pats game is early and the Broncos/Raiders game is late so the Pats would no doubt give it their full effort. It wouldn't be impossible for the Bills to beat them in this scenario, just improbable. I could see the Bills winning their next four and losing at New England and finishing with a record of 8-8. Edited November 26, 2013 by 1billsfan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DefenseWinzChampionshipz Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 I think the "bridge to far" will be the Pats game. I think the Pats (predicting 13-2) will be fighting with the Broncos (predicting 14-1) for the #1 seeding spot. A Pats win and Broncos loss would make the Pats the #1 seed due to the head-to-head tie breaker. The Bills/Pats game is early and the Broncos/Raiders game is late so the Pats would no doubt give it their full effort. It wouldn't be impossible for the Bills to beat them in this scenario, just improbable. I could see the Bills winning their next four and losing at New England and finishing with a record of 8-8. The Pats have 3 losses thus far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1billsfan Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 The Pats have 3 losses thus far... Sorry, I was wrong on both counts! The Broncos have 2 losses. However, the same scenario still holds if both the Pats and Broncos win their next four games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaattMaann Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 http://www.buffalorumblings.com/2013/11/26/5146114/afc-playoff-picture-buffalo-bills-week-13-rooting-interests good article explaining who we should be rooting for this weekend.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddy Freddy Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Gotta love the eternal optimism of Bills fans never lose it! The realist in me can see the Bills beating the Falcons up in Toronto as the have the 28th ranked run defense. Their O line is porous, and their best offensive weapon is on IR. Plus the Bills get WR's Stevie & Woods back this week. 5-7 @ Tampa Bay against an improved 3-8 Buc's team that just beat the Lions at Detroit. 5-8 @ Jacksonville against the 2-9 Jags that just beat the Texans at Houston 13-6. Still 6-8 Miami at home, and the Bills play so much better at the Ralph. 7-8 @ New England, and the Bills don't play so well on the road, and against the best team in the AFC 7-9. Which is still better then Gailey, and better then I had previously thought. "IF" the Bills can fix the run game, give EJ better protection on the road...then 9-7 is an actual possibility. If you're scenario plays out, then I bet the Bills are at least mathematically alive going into the Pats game, which would be pretty cool for this year's team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DefenseWinzChampionshipz Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Sorry, I was wrong on both counts! The Broncos have 2 losses. However, the same scenario still holds if both the Pats and Broncos win their next four games. All good and yes, you're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Koufax Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 If you're scenario plays out, then I bet the Bills are at least mathematically alive going into the Pats game, which would be pretty cool for this year's team. This is the biggest thing for this team. We are not winning the Lombardi trophy this year, but every extra week we are alive and playing meaningful games is so crucial for the growth of the team and the changing of the mindset of the franchise. To this year head into the last week with a chance at 8-7 would be huge. Winning in New England in a game that they need for the top seed seems very doubtful and not something I would count on at all, but doing so means that we play zero meaningless games all year, and would really inspire a lot of belief on our roster and set us up very nicely for next year. And it still keeps the miracle run door ajar because you never know... Getting to 5-7 this week and not needing any miracles this week to keep hopes alive means that there is a good chance we can keep these hopes alive another week, and hopefully see an attitude change in this young team in every practice snap, every video session, and another 60 minutes of game time. Anyone who doesn't think that matters and even finishing 8-8 after a loss to NE isn't massively better than limping to 6-10 I don't think understands the necessary culture change that stands between us and being a successful franchise once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarRifleman Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 This week we have to WIN obviously. These are the rest of the teams we should be rooting for: Raiders(4-7) - Cowboys(6-5) GO COWBOYS Steelers(5-6) - Ravens(5-6) GO RAVENS Jaguars(2-9) - Browns(4-7) GO JAGUARS Titans(5-6) - Colts(7-4) GO COLTS Dolphins(5-6) - Jets(5-6) GO DOLPHINS Bengals(7-4) - Chargers(5-6) GO BENGALS If we win and get to 5-7, one thing is guaranteed. After this week at least 2 of the teams that currently have a 5-6 record will become 5-7. Thanks for posting this, it makes it clearer for me to understand w/ so many teams in the mix. Go Bills! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubes Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 http://www.buffaloru...oting-interests good article explaining who we should be rooting for this weekend.... That was quite helpful, I'd agree. If we can just take care of business against the Falcons, things could be interesting come Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bisonbrigade Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 I think the "bridge to far" will be the Pats game. I think the Pats (predicting 13-2) will be fighting with the Broncos (predicting 14-1) for the #1 seeding spot. A Pats win and Broncos loss would make the Pats the #1 seed due to the head-to-head tie breaker. The Bills/Pats game is early and the Broncos/Raiders game is late so the Pats would no doubt give it their full effort. It wouldn't be impossible for the Bills to beat them in this scenario, just improbable. I could see the Bills winning their next four and losing at New England and finishing with a record of 8-8. The Bills are built to beat the Patriots they just haven't done it yet. Strong pass rush along with a powerful run game. I hope the Patriots and Bills both need the game, and we WIN. It would turn both franchises on there heads. WE CAN DO IT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 I didn't think Oakland would hold the tiebreaker on us. I was thinking the Steelers and Browns since we lost to both of them. I too am confused. Why would Oakland hold the tie break? The first tiebreak between us would be conference record, which I would guess is up in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1billsfan Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 The Bills are built to beat the Patriots they just haven't done it yet. Strong pass rush along with a powerful run game. I hope the Patriots and Bills both need the game, and we WIN. It would turn both franchises on there heads. WE CAN DO IT! That would be the dream end to the season...lol As long as they don't lose, the dream remains alive for another week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mart Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Go away and come back after the next 4 wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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