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7 Year Super Bowl trend


poo

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Once again, the NFC representative in the Super Bowl is a team that beat the Buffalo Bills during the regular season. I don't know the odds of this happening, but seven years in a row seems kind of ridiculous.

2006: October 8, 2006 at Chicago Bears L 40–7

2007: December 23, 2007 New York Giants 1 PM EST Ralph Wilson Stadium Fox L 38–21

2008: Sunday October 5 4:15 PM CBS at Arizona Cardinals L 41–17 4–1

2009: September 27 4:05pm EDT Fox New Orleans Saints L 27–7

2010: September 19 1:00 p.m. at Green Bay Packers L 7–34

2011: October 16 1:00 p.m. at New York Giants L 24–27

2012: October 7 4:25 p.m. at San Francisco 49ers L 3–45

Edited by poo
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2) I am willing to bet that in more years than not, we also played the AFC rep.

 

Only one season in that span did the Bills not play the AFC representative (2008 Steelers). Of the remaining 5 seasons, the Bills lost to each team except the 2009 season finale against the Colts, where Indy rested many of their starters in the 2nd half:

 

2006: Colts 17-16

2007: Patriots 38-7, 56-10

2008: DNP the Steelers

2009: Colts 7-30

2010: Steelers 19-16 OT

2011: Patriots 31-34, 49-21

Edited by Punch
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and all but one of them were ass kickings

+1

 

Only one season in that span did the Bills not play the AFC representative (2008 Steelers). Of the remaining 5 seasons, the Bills lost to each team except the 2009 season finale against the Colts, where Indy rested many of their starters in the 2nd half:

 

2006: Colts 17-16

2007: Patriots 38-7, 56-10

2008: DNP the Steelers

2009: Colts 7-30

2010: Steelers 19-16 OT

2011: Patriots 31-34, 49-21

 

The bills have yet to consistently beat good to great teams. So I am not surprised that our record against the SB opponents are 1-11. It aptly describes the divide in the talent and coaching of this team from rest of the NFL.

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Having the Bills on the schedule has been the guaranteed win for good teams. If you did not play the Bills, you're down 1 game against those who did. And those teams also got to play Miami.

 

So I think the result is no coincidence. It's really quite logical.

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Given our recent track rcd against good teams the fact given we played them, that we've lost 7x in a row to the NFC SB team is actually quite likely (I'd guesstimate >75%).

The fact that we ended up playing them due to scheduling, I gotta think is very unlikely. Over the last 7 yrs, I'd say the AFC East has been, on avg, relatively avg (ie no particular advantage in playing them). Were it to be a particularly weak division, "gifting" a team 4 wins, would give them an advantage in helping to procure homefield, which of course would help them ultimately make the SB.

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Once again, the NFC representative in the Super Bowl is a team that beat the Buffalo Bills during the regular season. I don't know the odds of this happening, but seven years in a row seems kind of ridiculous.

2006: October 8, 2006 at Chicago Bears L 40–7

2007: December 23, 2007 New York Giants 1 PM EST Ralph Wilson Stadium Fox L 38–21

2008: Sunday October 5 4:15 PM CBS at Arizona Cardinals L 41–17 4–1

2009: September 27 4:05pm EDT Fox New Orleans Saints L 27–7

2010: September 19 1:00 p.m. at Green Bay Packers L 7–34

2011: October 16 1:00 p.m. at New York Giants L 24–27

2012: October 7 4:25 p.m. at San Francisco 49ers L 3–45

 

It is amazing that we played the NFC SB rep each year for 7 years.

 

We play one NFC Division each year.....so the odds that a team from that division is going to get to the SB is 1 in 4

For this to happen 7 years in a row mathematically equates to....1 in 4x4x4x4x4x4x4

 

1 in 16,384

 

 

The fact that we actually lost all 7 games is not that important IMO as in each of the 7 cases we have been a bad team playing an eventual SB contender.

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Another weird factoid about bills and super bowls. In 2 of the 4 they played the NFC opponent in regular season: giants and cowboys. In both instances Bills won the regular season game, and both times on the road.

 

I really wish we could switch that up and have lost to them in the regular season and won the rematch

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I went to 2 of those games

The Saints game, and one of the Giants games (can't remember which one, but I think it was the '07 one, it was rainy in the morning then temperature dropped like a rock by halftime when it started to snow)

I was also at a pre-season Bears/Cardinals game the year the Bears went to the Superbowl

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