Maddog69 Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 The Bills do have a chance to finish 5th or 6th in the conference, but those odds are less than 1%. So, while there is a chance (and we wouldn't want the optimists flag bearer to stop waving his flag now), it's not a reasonable one. So you're telling me there's a chance. YEAH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
May Day 10 Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 How does that make sense? Buffalo 5-7, win out 9-7. Indy 8-4, lose out 8-8. Cincy & Pitt 7-5, lose out 7-9. It is completely unlikely but they most certainly aren't eliminated. you also have to take into account that Pitt/Cincy play each other, so they cant both lose out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luxy312 Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 you also have to take into account that Pitt/Cincy play each other, so they cant both lose out They could tie..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PromoTheRobot Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Sportsclubstats (which is NOT based on mathematical elimination) says no playoffs even if the Bills win out. http://www.sportsclu...st/Buffalo.html Actually the zeros are numbers rounded down. Odds of finishing 5th are 0.0000627%. Odds of finishing 6th are 0.0000731%. Oddly enough, the highest odds are that we finish 7th. (53%) PTR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Actually the zeros are numbers rounded down. Odds of finishing 5th are 0.0000627%. Odds of finishing 6th are 0.0000731%. Oddly enough, the highest odds are that we finish 7th. (53%) PTR Yeah and if you look at this page and hover over the furthest right circle (down at the bottom) it shows the Bills overall chance of making the playoffs as 0.00014%. The Jests are 0.00012% (suck it Rex) and the fish are of course flat lined. http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NFL/AFC/AFCEast/Buffalo_ChanceWillMakePlayoffs.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Just in Atlanta Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Are you saying that you're envisioning the Bills in the playoffs? Or are you thinking of the teams that have better than Powerball odds? Unfortunately, yes. When we lost to the Colts, I thought it was over. Now... Sick, huh? It's like that dork who always hits on the hottest women, thinking it'll happen someday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate Angel Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 what are playoffs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sisyphean Bills Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Unfortunately, yes. When we lost to the Colts, I thought it was over. Now... Sick, huh? It's like that dork who always hits on the hottest women, thinking it'll happen someday. Super Bowl! So you're telling me there's a chance. YEAH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Yep, there is a chance. http://free-loops.com/5475-champagne-cork-pop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fan_in_tx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 According to the playoff machine.. If we win out, but 1 of Pittsburgh's 2 losses come again the Cowboys (NFC), they would be in the playoffs. Basically we need Pittsburgh to lose 2 games against AFC opponents, then we would have the tie breaker. We need Cincinnati to lose 1 of their 2 games against the AFC (they play PIT and BAL). If they go 2-2, but both their losses come against NFC opponents (DAL and PHI), they would have the tiebreaker against us. This is exactly what I am seeing. Cincy or pit will have 1 loss as they play each other. And cincy could quite easily lose to both pit and ravens. Both teams have to play dallas who are alot like the early season bills decent o no d. My fear is our season may officially end in 2 weeks against the hawks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djp14150 Posted December 4, 2012 Author Share Posted December 4, 2012 With either Cincinnati or Pittsburgh...if they go 4-0 against NFC and end up in second place tied for 9-7 with Buffalo...Buffalo will have better conference record. With Cincinnati Buffalo would have a common game advantage if they are tied with the same conference record which is the same as they both go 3-1 against the NFC. with Pittsburgh they would have a tied common games record so it will come down to strength of victory. As far as i can tell their will be NO SCENARIO where Buffalo can go into week 17 with control of their own fate. An alternate what if universe..... Had Buffalo, New York, and Miami all beat New England in their close games against the Pats the division would be all tied at 6-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plenzmd1 Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Damn, just did that predictor thing with the Ravens losing out, but they must hold the tiebreaker in that scenario. And yes, I think it possible the Ravens lose out Redskns Broncos giants Bengals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan-4-Ever Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 (edited) There is always the chance based on the scenarios at hand. Currently the Bills are still in the hunt. You play to win, not the other way around. Slim chances or not - It is why they play the games. Otherwise they'd hand the trophy to Princess Brady year after year. Buffalo winning out takes Miami and the NYETS out of the picture. You see the Ravens Schedule above, - that looks like it could be tough. One of these 3 will take their division. The Steelers vs San Diego @Dallas vs Cincinnati vs Cleveland The Bungles vs Dallas @ Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh vs Baltimore Edited December 4, 2012 by BillsFan-4-Ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 (edited) Winning out at this point for the Bills won't be easy, but it is not impossible either. If they manage to do that, regardless if they end up in the playoffs or not, it will show everyone (including themselves) that the Bills have a sack and will be a good lead in to the offseason. Is this a Bills team turning the corner, or simply more of the last 12 years. We will see. Edited December 4, 2012 by CodeMonkey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddy Freddy Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 (edited) If the Bills win out, however unlikely that scenario is by itself, it appears they'd have somewhere between a 25% and 50% chance of making the playoffs. Here is one such scenario for the sake of argument (there are, of course, several others): 1) Bills win out 2) Bengals lose to Cowboys and Ravens, beat Eagles and Steelers 3) Steelers lose to Charger and Bengals, beat Cowboys and Browns Bills get the #6 seed if this happens. As is always the case, #1 is by far the least likely part of this scenario. It seems to me that in order for the Bills to have a realistic chance even if they were to win out, they need losses this week from the Steelers vs SD and the Bengals vs. Dallas. One other interesting note: If the Steelers beat the Bengals in week 16 and finish 9-7, the only way the Bills can make the playoffs is if the Steelers 2 losses come against the Chargers this week and the Browns in week 17. So it seems to me we have an easier path if the Bengals win that week 16 game vs. Pitt. OK, back to reality haha Edited December 4, 2012 by Reddy Freddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
C.Biscuit97 Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine It's fun to get the Bills into the playoffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PromoTheRobot Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 http://espn.go.com/n...layoffs/machine It's fun to get the Bills into the playoffs. Here is the Bills pathway to the #5 playoff seed: WEEK 14 BILLS over stl DAL over cin SD over pit SF over mia JAX over nyj TEN over ind WEEK 15 BILLS over sea PHI over cin JAX over mia HOU over ind DAL over pit TEN over nyj WEEK 16 BILLS over mia KC over ind SD over nyj PIT/CIN is a wash WEEK 17 BILLS over nyj BAL over cin CLE over pit HOU over ind NE over mia PTR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maddog69 Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 So, technically, the Bills just won a meaningful game in December. NICE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pondslider Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 So, technically, the Bills just won a meaningful game in December. NICE. Too bad about those meaningless games in October and November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section122 Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Here is the Bills pathway to the #5 playoff seed: WEEK 14 BILLS over stl DAL over cin SD over pit SF over mia JAX over nyj TEN over ind WEEK 15 BILLS over sea PHI over cin JAX over mia HOU over ind DAL over pit TEN over nyj WEEK 16 BILLS over mia KC over ind SD over nyj PIT/CIN is a wash WEEK 17 BILLS over nyj BAL over cin CLE over pit HOU over ind NE over mia PTR KC over Indy week 16 is the only game I think couldn't happen, but thanks for doing this. I have printed out this sheet and will root accordingly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
voodoo poonani Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Let's see... we beat Kansas City, Cleveland, Arizona, Miami, and Jacksonville... even if we somehow win out, who would we have we beaten of import? Seattle? Not exactly a playoff caliber season. If we sneak in and get tossed out in the first round, what have we proven? Besides people would start pretending we're good, which is laughable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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