Big Turk

Looking at the comparison between the Bengals and Bills, it looks like the Bills force far more 3rd and 11+ plays than the Bengals do...27.4% for the Bills compared to only 15.7% for the Bengals. In fact the Bills are the best team in the NFL by a WIDE MARGIN in forcing 3rd and 11+ yards. Bills are 27.4% of their 3rd downs, Tennessee is second at 21.9%, then SF and Pittsburgh. In fact, the most common 3rd down for Bills opponents is 3rd and 11+ followed by 3rd and 7-10. That accounts for 54% of all 3rd downs by Bills opponents this year. Compare that to 46.6% for the Bengals...Bills also lead the NFL in this by a wide margin as well, with Tennessee coming in 2nd at 52.3% and then only SF, Pittsburgh and NE over 50% and all of them at 50.5% or less. Shows how good the Bills have been at stuffing runs this year(#1 in the NFL). So one of the reasons the Bills are not as good at preventing these 3rd and longs from being converted is because they simply have a lot more of them.

Kentucky, West Virginia or Tennessee?

"Big Game Gabe" making preparations

You don't think they have anxiety about facing us?

That scares you in the pass game? OK....

Who scares teams outside of Kelce in KC? Nobody. If we lose DaQuan for any of these games we are f**ked. He is the best DL against the run and is a very underrated pass rusher as well.

J-E-S-T-S!!! Jests! Jests! Jests!

Hell Yes!! Gotta wait til March 1st tho...

Now banned from snapchat...this dude needs help.

It always means something. It means the Bills have the largest margin for error in the NFL. That is true in pretty much every game.

Those teams are not immune to turnovers either. In fact, Allen throws less INT's against good teams while Burrow throws more. So does Mahomes.

except WR Screens...those usually work pretty well. "Gold Rip/Whip" audible. Beasley scored on a version of a WR screen last game

No...he just dresses up as one to go shoplifting...😂

Except the Bengals rarely do that all night. At some point in the game their offense goes dormant for long stretches. Inexplicably but it almost always happens and has back to last season.

The Bengals put up 234 yards of total offense against Baltimore and had 1 first down after they scored to take a 17-10 lead early in that half. For all the "greatness" of Cincinnati on offense they sure don't play it like a lot of times. Their next 3 drives were: 3 plays 8 yards 6 plays 13 yards 3 plays -1 yard

Shakir in space could be dangerous...he has some wiggle that none of the other Bills WR's have.

I think Shady dropped eggman on the ground and he cracked open...all the Bills trainers and all Pegula's men, couldn't put eggman back together again. 😂

Mahomes gets freebies every game due to scheming from Reid which Allen rarely gets.

Part of the reason I say us turning the ball over doesn't kill us is that we are a net 0 in TO differential. Meaning we get as many turnovers as we give.

Davis is like Claude Lemieux in the NHL or "Big Shot Bob" Robert Horry in the NBA. Regular season might not be anything more than an average player, but once the playoffs start, they put on a Superman Cape and raise their game tremendously.

Allen has been top 3 in EPA every year since 2020. 2nd twice, 3rd once.

Controlling the clock tends to not work well against Allen. Bills can score much quicker than their opponents can in most games. But yet he was a dropped Shakir bomb away from being over 400 yards. That has to be terrifying if true for other teams because what happens if the Bills find their Jaylen Waddle to Diggs in the first round this year? Additionally, you could also say the same about KC outside Kelce. Does anyone fear even one of KC's WR's?

In general, the Bills don't turn the ball over much against better teams tho. The Bills and Chiefs are a combined 28-6 with a -3 turnover differential between them. The main similarity? They score a lot of points and don't punt much, which mitigates any turnovers they do have. Common math. How much worse is a turnover than a punt really? That's something I am interested in finding out.

That's for a Nor'Easter up the coast which likely won't effect us this far west. Genesee Valley eastward and that is starting Sunday night into Monday, which would be too late for the game anyway.

I don't think it's lucky as much as the Bills have the largest margin for error in games of any team in the NFL.