Rubes

I’ve lived in Salt Lake City for 26 years and only last season did I realize there is a huge Bills bar about 3 miles away from my house. Wild.

This thread is approaching Kiko Alonso levels. I’m here for it.

Location, location, location, baby...

I'm all for it if only for the good luck factor. This guy just wins Super Bowls.

A screen pass that works.

I get that, sure. I'm just responding to the comments in your original post where you were drawing several conclusions about what happened and why. Yes, we know what the end result is, but understanding why is the key to knowing how to best address it.

This is a nice analysis, but it's a good representation of the classic problem of having observational data and then trying to generate a causal narrative that explains it. Did teams realize that Josh does better against the blitz and thus stop blitzing him? Did teams realize that Josh doesn't like the short underneath throws and thus stopped blitzing him to force him to do that? It's hard to say what the cause was just from looking at the data. We all know that every team, every defense, would prefer not to blitz if they didn't have to. If your four-man rush is effective at getting to the QB, that gives you the ability to keep extra men in coverage, making the passing game more challenging. Sure, they'll throw in a few blitzes here and there to confuse things, but I think it's fair to say that pretty much every defensive coordinator dreams of having a defensive front four that allows them to blitz judiciously. That said, did teams stop blitzing Josh because they had strong front fours and didn't have to blitz? Did the Bills offensive line get banged up and worse during the season, making even mediocre front fours more effective? In other words, did teams stop blitzing Josh not because he's good against the blitz, or because they wanted to bait him into underneath throws, but because they just didn't have to blitz at all? That's more along the lines of what you want to try to answer, assuming you're looking for the causal explanation to the data you've observed. Nice work to this point! Generates good discussion, which is what we want.

Wow, I had forgotten all about that show. Great stuff! Seems like they should be playing cards while they're talking.

Fantasy football back then was quite the adventure. Required a lot of pencils and calculators, as I recall.

Well, if we get run on badly the first few games, those calls would probably be justified...

If I had to guess, I'd say they put him on the PS because he's not up on the defensive scheme and calls. Don't want to waste a roster spot until they know he's got everything down and can play. Remember, he's the guy who would be receiving the plays and calling it out to the defense, getting everyone in place. Takes some time to get comfortable with the coaching staff and others on defense. Keep the roster spot for now for the guys who have been in the system and can jump in on a moment's notice.

Just a little something to keep in mind...and interesting in light of the Bills losing three of their cuts to waivers this year...

You'd think this was the start of free agency or something...

He's looked good enough that I'd be surprised if the Bears tried to stash him.

McCoy was just released. He's a free agent now.

@Alphadawg7 is catching some heat for this take, but I for one appreciate the thought-provoking question. It's true we have a lot of good players at CB right now, but I have to think that the phrase "you can't have too many good corners" is one that can be taken literally. Then again, everything has its price. If someone is willing to give up a promising player at another position in exchange for him or any of those corners, I think Beane is one to listen. I don't think he's going to get anything worthwhile in a 1:1 trade, but if he is packaged with a late-round pick next year, it might be enough for someone to offer a MLB or OT to make him really consider it.

Holy smokes. I hadn’t really thought about it before, but if you had asked me before reading this, I never would have guessed it was just one playoff win! Ravens seem to have built an interesting narrative over this time…

I watched Edwards a bit during that Pittsburgh game, and I have to admit I was pretty impressed. The Jets starters are a teeny bit different than the Steelers backups, but still...

I would give the Bills the edge at QB, TE, and probably S. That's about it. The rest are either pretty close, or in the Dolphins favor. Overall I'd say the Dolphins roster is confidently better. Not a landslide, though, especially because of the bonus advantage we have with Josh.

Agreed. Even though passing has increased over the years, the quick, short passing game is a big part of that, and it decreases the chance of getting a sack. QBs are now routinely rated for their “time to release” with emphasis on those who make quick decisions and get rid of the ball fast.

As long as the Pats**** get a compensatory pick, yes.

Can't believe nobody has said "bUt CaN hE pLaY RT?" yet

Agree, spent a little time talking to him, he’s very cool.

I think it probably comes down to which of the two, between Isabella and Shorter, are more likely to make it through waivers so they can be stashed on the PS. From what I read, I think Shorter would probably get snatched up before Isabella. My guess is Isabella makes it onto the PS this year and possibly gets called up.

Cool! I did something like that years ago...looks like it was 2016. I'm sure some of it is way out of date now, but in case there are some on there that you could use... https://www.google.com/maps/d/edit?hl=en&mid=1Ib5SnxMUOlaXxe0AoFGANRtuOiA&ll=42.9437290469228%2C-78.828915&z=11