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Everything posted by dave mcbride
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Um ... they had a pass play in and he shifted to a second option. The first option was the main play. I mean, I suppose you're technically right, but it's just as likely that Allen misread the play (we'll never know) and/or had a brainlock regarding the time left. The time management was ALL on him, and he had a number of brainlocks that day. The right thing to do was not to shift to GoreFail plunge. Throw it away if necessary and give yourself two more plays.
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Who won this trade? From the NY Times in 1983: John Elway, the Stanford University quarterback who insisted he would not play for the Baltimore Colts when they made him the first pick in the National Football League draft last week, was traded last night to the Denver Broncos. In exchange for Elway, the Colts received Chris Hinton, the offensive guard from Northwestern who was the Broncos' first pick in the draft and the fourth player taken over all; Mark Herrmann, a quarterback from Purdue who has played three seasons with the Broncos; and the Broncos' first-round draft choice in 1984. Quarterbacks always go earlier than people think in January/Feb.
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What took him down were injuries and personality/attitude. The first can affect literally anyone in the NFL, and the second was unique to Harvin and probably the biggest red flag on him. I also fully believe that if he had been healthy in Seattle in 2013, he would have had a career season. He wasn't a gimmick player, either; he was one of the most explosive players in the league who could beat anyone around the edge on a rushing play and take it to the house on a five-yard slant. Plus he was a GREAT KO returner, with 6 TDs (including the Super Bowl) in his first 5 seasons. That is rare. Also, unlike Spiller, when Minnesota moved on from Harvin, they actually got a great return from Seattle: a 2013 first round pick, a 2013 seventh round pick, and a 2014 4th round pick.
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Fair enough, but I really think that people are forgetting how good Harvin was when he was healthy. He was spectacular both catching and running the ball. He had 52 carries for 345 rushing yards (6.6 ypc) in his third season to go on top of 1,000 yards receiving and a 72 percent catch rate from abjectly terrible QBs.
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He was very good his first three seasons and one of the best and most dangerous players in the league in his third season despite truly awful quarterbacking (Ponder and a decrepit McNabb). He was also good in his fourth season, and if he had been healthy in that Seattle SB season, he probably would have racked up massive numbers. I'd take that. Again, though, let's wait to see how Shenault measures out in his 40, 20, and shuttle times. Harvin was elite in those areas.
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Just thinking out loud, but the idea would not be to get a replacement gimmick player, but a Percy Harvin-type player (who was absolutely sensational when healthy early on and worth the early 20s pick that he ended up being). Of course, Harvin ran a 4.41, so it's going to come down to how Shenault tests out.
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Lofton's drops in his final season with the Bills were both abundant and alarming. My best friend in Buffalo lost good money because Lofton dropped the easiest of TD throws right in his hands in the last minute or so of the 1992 season SB that would have made the score 59-24. (He was playing squares and had 9 and 4.)
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Here's his HS recruiting profile: https://247sports.com/Player/Laviska-Shenault-85906/high-school-150761/. No red flags that I see. He was a 3-star recruit, which is pretty good considering he started late. Curious as to why he chose Colorado (lately a weak program) over a place like Texas, but as it happens Colorado went 10-4 (8-1 in the Pac-12) and finished the season ranked 17th the year he committed. He was also the 117th ranked receiver coming out, so Colorado was a solid match. Ruggs was number 1. https://247sports.com/Season/2017-Football/RecruitRankings/?InstitutionGroup=HighSchool&Position=WR Alabama, Arkansas, Illinois, and Arizona State also had recruiting interest in him. Not going to Alabama was very wise given that Alabama got Ruggs, the #1 guy in the country. Update: the recruiter who first noticed him and showed interest was at Texas Tech (when Mahomes was there!) before moving to Colorado. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2852683-meet-the-colorado-wr-who-has-the-nfl-drooling-hes-julio-jones-only-bigger Key passage: 'He was lost at a position that has been minimized in most college offenses, was a 3-star recruit and was ignored by a majority of major schools. Darrin Chiaverini, then a wide receivers coach at Texas Tech, found him at DeSoto and told him he wanted to make him a wide receiver. Chiaverini begged Tech coach Kliff Kingsbury to offer Shenault, and when Chiaverini left to become offensive coordinator at CU, his first priority was to sign Shenault. By that time, Alabama had found tape of him and had zeroed in on adding him to a freshman class that already included receivers Jerry Jeudy, DeVonta Smith and Henry Ruggs III. The very thought of Shenault at Alabama with that receiver class is frightening. Fortunately for CU, Shenault got bad vibes from his visit to Tuscaloosa—"it just didn't feel right"—and he and Nixon both signed with the Buffs. "When he signed," Chiaverini says, "I immediately thought, 'It won't be long until he's the best player on this team.' --- Anyway, the comp to Patterson vis-a-vis the processing power minimum standard seems pretty off base here. He seems to be solid enough on that front.
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A few things here: first, the Jets were 1-7, not 6-2 in the first half. Secondly, the Bills would have annihilated them in the last game if it had mattered. The Jets were horrible in that game against our backups. Finally, their final 8 opponents were, in sequence, the Giants, the Redskins, the Raiders, the Bengals, the Dolphins (who were totally screwed by an BS overturned no-PI call that cost them the game), Baltimore, a Pittsburgh team with no offense by the end of the season, and a Bills team resting its most important starters. All of those teams were bad save for the Ravens, who destroyed them. (The Bills were bad because they were playing backups.)