Chaos

AFC East is a bad division except for the Bills. Only coaching incompetence could lead to not winning the division. But the coaching staff will do enough to win the division and most people will hail this as a great feat. At this point, the expectation would be that the coaches don't know how to win playoff games against the better playoff teams, so no reason to expect 2024 season to be the season for that.

Josh doesn't struggle with decision making.

Josh is not the limiting factor on spreading the ball around. Multiple different people having the ability to get open is the limiting factor on spreading it around. If just throws for 4300 yards again this season and all of those yards to only 1 guy, I would be fine with that.

My observation was on the rare occassion Allen actually forced a ball to Diggs, it was because Josh so no one open, and played as if he thought Diggs was his best option. I would be curious to see videos or photos of plays where Allen obviously passed up an open reciever to throw to a covered Diggs.

This is a good analogy which can apply to the Bills in quite a few ways.

And then the coaches can complain Josh runs too much.

Good analysis. I have a general question on team roster building strategy. For the longest time, I defaulted to thinking that early round picks should be used for the highest cost positions (other than QB) which is edge rusher and wide receiver. Recently I have become less sure about that. I am now thinking the early round picks should be used for interior offensive linemen, safeties and tight ends. Here are the reasons: 1)longevity, those are positions which you might be able to get 10 years out of player 2) the second contract should affordable compared to the WR and Edge positions. If your drafted WR or edge becomes a star, the second contract is just as expensive as a second contract for any WR or Edge hitting free agency. 3) If you do go edge or WR with the first pick, it should be for a player with instant impact, and you simply assume you can't afford the second contract. Even if Groot is the second best on the list from that class, the gap to Parsons is a chasm. Even if Dallas loses Parsons in free agency, they got great value for the pick during the rookie contract. Its not clear to me Groot on a second contract brings any value that you could not get from other free agents at his position.

If Josh Allen is in the top 5 in passing yards again, does it matter who caught the passes for those yards. isn't the real question "which receiver will elevate their game to be a difference maker in a playoff game?"

Bills have not had any problems during the regular season on offseason for the last five years. The coaches don't know how to elevate the defense in the playoffs against good offenses. Joe Brady will not be solving the main problem.

Ok

I doubt very many people who post on the board, feel as though they know better who the best offensive players to pick are, better than Brandon Beane. I doubt very many people who post on the board, feel as though they know better who the best offensive players to pick are, better than Andy Reid/Chiefs. I think a lot of people suspect the Chiefs know how do do things better than the Bills (based on Super Bowls won recently). I think some of these people are concerned that the Chiefs with Worthy will have better results that the Bills with Coleman. If they stopped to think about it, I suppose that if the Chiefs picked Coleman and the Bills picked Worthy, they would have the exact same concerns. As fan who thinks there is a .000001 percent chance the NFL is scripted, I am sad going into the season afraid that the Bills are going to lose in the scripted playoffs on a Mahomes to Worthy pass. Mocking the Bills is a pretty joyful thing for a lot of NFL fans (sometimes even Bills fans, because if you don't laugh you have to cry)

Is the complexity other teams can do without, so they can get their best athletes on the field? Or is this for safeties on all teams "if it is the only way"?

What benefits come from this complexity? Do these benefits outweigh having the best talent on the field?

What do people think the regimes goal is for 2024? Bills are rebuilding. They are going to play as many young players as starters and first off the bench as possible in order to determine who if any can contribute in 2025.

Think Jeff Fisher.

Do you remember what five wasted years of one of the top 2 QBs in the NFL looks like?

What do you mean by "in contention" He gets credit for Josh Allen and Brian Daboll controlling a crappy AFC East until Allen could handle that all on his own.

The fault does not lie in this off-season or draft. The fault lies in last seasons off season and draft. The assessment last last year that the oft injured and aged players on the team had it in them to make a Super Bowl run with Ken Dorsey at the offensive helm and with a combined HC/DC in one person was simply a poor assessment. This reset year should have been last year. if it had been the scrap pile of old players everyone is happy to see gone now, may have held some value. This years moves are the consequences of last year’s decisions.

Since Beane has idenfited 2024 as a "transition" year, all of the decisions need to be made in that context. Signing a Vet WR on a one-year deal does not fit the context of "transition year" at all. I think his comment referred to the UDFA they signed Xavier Johnson Jr.

Call it what you want, rebuild/reset etc. , but 2024 is not a year the Bills front office is targeting a deep playoff run. In expericened OC, in experienced DC, HC without a deep playoff run resume, new players across the roster. Its pretty much Josh being good enough to win the AFC East by himself, and hoping for some random playoff magic. Hopefully this season can help set up 2025 for a deep playoff run.

Are we really going to call big ballin Beane a Wizard, but create a backup plan to blame josh allen for coaching hires and draft picks that don't work out?

There is no reason to hate on the draft. The Bills came into the offseason in worse cap shape than their primary competetors and more aging players to cut than their primary competetors. The things to hate on more relate to the position we started the offseason in. Hopefully the rebuilding doesn't take longer than 2024.

If the Bills passed on Coleman are you certain he would not still be on the board at 71?

I think the "speed" the Bills (and most teams) are missing is the combination of quickness and speed exemplified by peak Tyreek Hill, that allows teams to run very low risk, yet high reward plays. I don't think most people have a vision of someone streaking down the field outrunning everybody on a regular basis. Personally I don't think the Bills have any issue "moving the chains", ie advancing to the redzone. The only scoring problems the Bills have are due to short field goal range and missed field goals that a pure limitation of Bass, and an inability to convert at the very highest rates in the endzone. Coleman could very well help with the red zone conversion rate. If Coleman is not a difference maker in the red zone, he will just be a JAG WR.