Billl

I don’t understand what you’re getting at here. It sounds like you’re suggesting that, unless Lombardi advocated drafting Jackson early in the first round he can’t now, with 2 years of additional information, acknowledge that Jackson is better than the highly touted QBs from that class. I didn’t know who Tom Brady was in 1999. Now, I think he’s better than Chad Pennington. What does one have to do with the other?

It’s not rare for QBs to improve their completion percentages as they grow. It is rare that they do so dramatically, though. Rare enough that most people don’t expect it from someone who was dead last in the league two years in a row.

You’re right, that was stank who posted that. Show me where you told him those games didn’t matter. I’ll wait.

So let me make sure I follow you here. You post about what they did BEFORE Buffalo because obviously that’s meaningful, but when I respond with what happened AFTER they played, nobody gives a flying **** because that’s irrelevant. Makes sense. (Never mind the fact that the come from behind win prevented what would otherwise have been a 5 game losing streak to end the season.)

Hodges didn’t throw a TD the rest of the season, nor did he crack 100 yards in either of the remaining games. He averaged 1.11 air yards per attempt against the Bills...the average pass attempted barely crossed the line of scrimmage. The next week? He averaged -.35 air yards per attempt. I’ve never even heard of that before. Hodges is horrific. Trying to spin it any other way is laughable. Their defense was very good, though. Their offense turned it over 5 times that game, and they held the Bills to 17 points. (FTR, Pittsburgh closed as a 1 point favorite.)

He’s literally not asking for more money. He’s asking for the exact contract that’s been offered minus the fifth year.

The contract he just signed, obviously.

Who’d they trade Zeke to?

That should be simple enough. Just tell their front 7 to get a bunch more sacks. Why stop at 6.5, though. Tell them to get 20 more sacks and tell their other Defensive Backs to get a dozen more INTs. Then you don’t have to pay anyone to play Adams’s position. Just play 11 on 10.

How did he plateau when last season he had far and away the best season of his career?

I love this comment. It gets posted every time this situation occurs no matter how many times it’s proven wrong. Of course he has leverage. He’s using it right now. There is a 100% chance that he eventually gets a new contract. He is a GREAT player, easily the best on the team. Drafting him is the best move they’ve made in years. Terrible franchises lose when they play hardball with great players. Bill and the Patriots have the juice to screw players. Gase and the Jets don’t. The more they piss off Adams, the less they will get if they have to trade him. See this thread if you’re wondering how this will play out.

I envy the life of someone who has time to worry that the NFL might treat Kaepernick too well.

The variables that factor into the formula don’t matter for the sake of this question. What matters is that having a completion percentage below the expected level is bad and vice versa.

If all of our parents had done the same, we’d have herd immunity by now. As it is, were years away from a vaccine. I’m drinking fish tank cleaner just to be safe.

No. It means that, when controlling for all of those factors, both should have been able to complete 62.6% of their passes. Dak was especially accurate allowing his receivers to catch more passes. Josh...wasn’t. He was one of the very worst in the league even when grading him on a curve that includes drops. Had his receivers dropped fewer passes, his expected completion percentage would have been higher than 62.6%.

The last 3 columns show the actual completion percentage, the expected completion percentage, and how much better or worse than expected each QB did. Josh and Dak were expected to complete 62.6% of their passes when adjusting for things like drops, pressure, etc. Dak completed 65.1% (+2.5%) and Josh completed 58.9% (-3.7%).

To do so would be INSANE!

Interestingly enough, Josh and Dak were both expected to complete exactly 62.6% of their passes.

It is literally INSANE to worry about a global pandemic rather than people getting liquored up and jumping through tables. People need to get their priorities straight. Sounds like you’ve built up an immunity to jaywalking.

Unless David Blough, Gardner Minshew, Dwayne Haskins, and Josh Allen blew the rest of the QBs out of the water, I think it’s safe to say you’re reading it backwards. Those 4 had the biggest negative discrepancy between expected completion percentages and their actual completion percentages.

I had no idea how victimized you were. Best if you just hole up in your safe space where you won’t have to watch those mean people you’ll never meet kneel for 90 seconds.

Every single one of us can protest at work. If you're not important enough to matter, you can be fired for it. If you're important enough, you won't.

That’s last season. You said he’s played poorly for the last 2 seasons, and that isn’t the case at all.

Such a soft league for QBs yet Allen has been knocked out of multiple games already. Bledsoe never sniffed an MVP, while Jackson was the second unanimous winner in history.

They measure all of this at the combine, and he ran a 4.76. You can’t compare playing 3 sports in high school to being offered millions to play in MLB. It’s laughable to compare him athletically to guys who could play multiple sports professionally, especially when those guys are light years better at the sport Josh does play. Watson had a better 40 time, a better vertical, a better shuttle, etc. Josh had better velocity on his throws. Two of the biggest plays in the postseason were runs by Watson (throwing on the run after breaking out of a sack) and Mahomes (torching the Titans for a 30+ yard TD). They run every bit as well as Allen, but they prefer to pick their spots because they throw so well. When the season was on the line and they ran, they were elite runners, though. Either of them could put up similar rushing numbers to Josh if they had 100+ attempts.