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DCOrange

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Everything posted by DCOrange

  1. Realistically, barring a collapse, it'll likely be Mahomes or Rodgers, but it's incredible that Allen actually has to be mentioned. Our boy (and our team) has come such a long ways.
  2. I share my account with my partner so this was all messed up but it's kinda funny to see the mix of music. Our top genres were basically pop (both of us), hip hop (me), and show tunes (her). Our top songs were basically all the songs from the newest The Killers album, which we both liked and she in particular listened to a ton so no surprise there. Our most listened artists were basically The Killers, the Hamilton soundtrack, and any singer that was a part of the Hamilton cast lol. I'd be really curious to see what the list would look like if it was just my music. I would guess it would be mostly a mix of hip hop, pop, soul, and latino music. Looking through our top songs list, the ones that I know are there because of me personally are: The Killers - Dying Breed Walk Off the Earth - I'll Be There Sam Cooke - What a Wonderful World Kygo/Whitney Houston - Higher Love Alvaro Soler - La Cintura Avicii - Without You Erphaan Alves - Overdue Marquess - Calle de Ritmo Morat/Alvaro Soler - Yo Contigo, Tu Conmigo The Weeknd - Blinding Lights Michael Kiwanuka - One More Night Jackson 5 - I Want You Back Marvin Gaye/Tammi Terrell - Ain't No Mountain High Enough The Spinners - Working My Way Back to You Cordae/Anderson .Paak - RNP Michael Kiwanuka - Hero Eric B/Rakim - Paid In Full I'd guess the artists I listen to the most when my partner isn't around are Alvaro Soler, Cordae, Eric B/Rakim, Michael Kiwanuka, Run The Jewels and Sam Cooke.
  3. To an extent, maybe, but there's a couple of issues with politics that I think contribute as well: The polarization of the country is pushing people further and further away from one another. The days of decent people having a healthy exchange of ideas and compromising on what we think is a good solution are mostly gone. We'll see if Biden is somehow able to change that, but it seems at this point that to be successful in a primary, you have to pretty much publicly say the other side is evil, which is just inherently a bad thing IMO. Disagreeing with other viewpoints is obviously fine, but the bodies of government only function properly if people are willing to work together and more and more, it seems like you'll be vilified in your primaries if you try to work with the other side. There's a huge barrier to entry money-wise. Obviously not every race is the same, but it's insanely difficult to make any headway in the political world without significant financial backing. It's simply difficult for a normal person to run for office unless they get lucky and are plucked out of the air by some large donor or fellow politician. Not impossible, but very difficult, especially in the cities. Local politics obviously don't get the same attention that the presidential election gets for example, but in all likelihood, the local politicians will have a much larger impact on your life than the president will.
  4. It could be 0 votes or it could be a little under 9k. Either way, the general belief is that those votes won't help Trump. They'll likely break even or possibly help expand Biden's lead.
  5. It's really not. All he needed was Pennsylvania and the lead will only continue to grow at this point.
  6. Not allowed to count votes received after election day maybe. Biden doesn't need any of those.
  7. It's not going to be close enough for Trump to win via the courts IMO. He'll have to flip 10's of thousands of votes in several states.
  8. I knew roughly how most of the states would be counting their votes (i.e. which ones would favor Trump early and which ones would favor Biden early). I'm not going to lie, I was definitely getting a bit nervous but when the Vegas odds swung like crazy over a bunch of states that Biden didn't actually need, it seemed like a good betting opportunity.
  9. It would appear that I did Bet a ton on Biden winning the popular vote, then when the odds flipped to Trump, I bet on Biden to win the EC and to win Georgia. Might take a little while to make the numbers official, but this election has been very kind to me lol
  10. At this point, it seems like Trump will likely win NC and Alaska and that might be it. Might still pull out Arizona but we'll see. PA, Georgia, and Nevada are basically locks for Biden at this point.
  11. The majority of remaining votes in NV are Clark County.
  12. It's really odd because it seems like some sources believe the remaining votes are election day votes while others are saying it's mail in votes. I don't know how we can't at least know that information. The Associated Press for example (who called Arizona for Biden already) said they did so because the remaining Maricopa votes are mail-in ballots that are expected to skew heavily towards Biden. Not sure what the delay in Arizona is or when we'll start getting results, but if we can get the remaining Maricopa votes in, that should tell us whether or not Trump really might pull it out there.
  13. FWIW, Fox and AP have had it at 86% reporting this whole time and obviously they're the ones that (pretty aggressively) called the race already.
  14. Not sure if anyone on the next page answered you, but the outstanding votes are later-arriving early votes. So whether it leans red or blue could theoretically go either way, but the general belief is Biden will end up winning there. If Biden does hang on to Nevada, he hits 270 regardless of what happens in PA, NC, and GA. We'll almost certainly have recounts in at least 2 or 3 states but the odds are in Biden's favor at this point though the margins are still very narrow.
  15. We don't really know this for sure but that's the CW on how the independents are expected to break this year.
  16. For those that want to latch on to the earliest results possible:
  17. Florida, Nevada, and Arizona are the only states I'm aware of that are reporting party registration of voters right now so people are trying to extrapolate from there. Unfortunately there's no real way to do it effectively because for example, close to 1/3 of the voters in Florida are not affiliated with either party and it will certainly boil down to who ultimately wins that group of voters. Nevada appears to be in the bag for Biden. Doesn't seem like there's much of a reason to think Arizona and Florida are leaning one way or the other right now. Edit: The only other significant update is that North Carolina (which is one of the swing states we were hoping to have results from quickest) will be delaying their results up to an hour due to some polling locations opening late.
  18. The lead up to actual results on E-Day is always entertaining. Half the people looking at the Florida "numbers" so far think it points to a win for Trump and half think it points to a win for Biden. We'll see once they start reporting the actual votes.
  19. I keep bouncing between 321 and 350 for Biden depending on Florida. This is the version where Biden wins FL.
  20. Essentially election night will be all about determining if Trump has a chance to win later in the week. The states that are likely to have declared winners on election night are states that are locks that aren't really worth discussing and the southern battlegrounds (Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Texas) where if Biden wins one of them, it likely means he has it in the bag and if Trump wins all of them, we turn our eyes to the Midwest + PA later in the week. Edit: Particularly, Florida, Arizona and North Carolina are the ones to watch. Texas and Georgia could lag into the next day or two if it's too close to call but those first 3 should give us a winner on election night and if any of them go for Biden it'll be nearly impossible for Trump to win.
  21. Not sure I'd bother but I'd understand if Beane did.
  22. After scoring when they could have just run the clock out for the win too
  23. He did the right thing but it's still a penalty.
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