Doc Brown

Josh has only been elite for three seasons though while Manning was already elite when Dungy got there. There's no perfect comparison.

Love the mindset. Not that I have two yard Frank Gore runs on 2nd and 10 on my mind under Daboll.

Yeah. You're right. I just always have in my mind that 4 to 1 odds means if you bet $25 you gain $100 if it hits (with no vig). Good call and way to make me feel worse.

I'm 99% sure my math is correct and it's 46% and approximately 57% (56.8% to be exact).

I like to go by Vegas odds. We were 10 to 1 in 2020 (10% chance of making the Super Bowl), 5 to 1 in 2021 (20%), and 4 to 1 (25%) last year. The odds of us making the Super Bowl over the last three seasons at least once based off that was 46%. Now we're back to 5 to 1 (20%). The odds of us making the Super Bowl is 20% this year. However, if you factor in the last three seasons the odds of us making the Super Bowl once in these four years is approximately 57%. That's what I'm going with this year and am going to choose to ignore Einstein's chart.

It's no coincidence that the season we had the best weapons and o-line (2020) was the lowest rushing production and attempts per game of his career by a healthy margin. I'd like to see them get back to that and it's why I think Beane's biggest mistake this offseason was not finding an upgrade to Spencer Brown. I do understand though his limited options given the cap space and scarcity of free agents at the right tackle position.

Out of curiosity. How much money did Diggs already receive and would lose if he sits out this season (worst case scenario of course)?

JALIEN - my first impulse since the Rob Johnson trade. Darn. How do I get out of this?

I'm surprised the Chargers didn't make this list. Staley is fighting for his job after botching the week 18 game in OT two years ago and then blowing the 27-0 lead at halftime in Jacksonville in the Wild Card round. Herbert hasn't won a playoff game going into year 4. I'd pry put them above at least the Bears.

Josh Allen showed up at all the voluntary OTA's. Diggs didn't. So to think that Diggs was trying to send a wake up call to Allen, McDermott, and Dorsey to work harder to win next season like he does is laughable. Come on man. Stop making excuses for his selfish behavior.

Diggs didn't show up to voluntary OTA's. He waited until mandatory mini camp to bring up his "issues" and then was the only one of 90 players to miss practice that day. The "he just wants to win" excuse is a slap in the face to everyone else on that roster who also wants to win but doesn't have to publicly throw a hissy fit on the field during a playoff game to show it.

Which one showed up to voluntary OTA's?

I mean. I do have a time machine fwiw.

Even in college football it took Harbaugh five years just to beat Ohio State. There was tremendous pressure to can him but Michigan's patience eventually was rewarded. We only have five years (not six) of playoff experience to draw on over McDermott and he's 4-5. If he was 0-5 or 1-5 then he should be shown the door. I strongly believe that you can get better at your job and McDermott has shown me enough growth as a head coach over the years that I believe he'll figure it out next post season.

I do too which is why Frazier "took a year off." The game plan that worked great against the Chiefs in the regular season couldn't be replicated in the playoffs because two key big pieces that were in that game were missing (Miller and D. Jones). Frazier should've realized this and adjusted accordingly. McDermott maybe should've stepped in after the first half and started calling plays like he did against the Chargers in 2018. However, maybe McDermott is thinking we went 13-3 with a great defense so I'll trust Frazier to figure it out like he did all season. That didn't happen so when they did the autopsy Frazier got the boot.

The losses in the playoffs under McBean are too small of a sample size at this point (as our the wins). He's 4-3 since Allen became elite in 2020. In basketball it's more of a fair argument that a great regular season coach can't get it done in the playoffs because it's a seven game series. If a bad break bounces your way or you have an off day you still have six games to win four. If your the better team and lose four out of seven coaching changes should be made even if that coach had a great regular season. Single elimination in the NFL makes for great playoff games but they often will let the worse team advance. Which is why the best shot for a Super Bowl is simply getting a playoff spot year after year hoping you can cash in on one of those lottery tickets. I know this same argument has been hashed out on this thread ad nauseum but the basketball comparison doesn't hold water imo.

I've said this before but at this point it would have to be an established extremely successful offensive head coach who's won or been to a Super Bowl recently. I can't think of any that were available. You could make the case for Sean Payton but he hasn't won one since 2009. If you're Pegula you'd look like an idiot if you fire a proven winner who hasn't quite broken through in the playoffs yet, hire the best next young offensive coordinator like Ben Johnson, and then realize he's not meant to be a head coach (Josh McDaniels, Nate Hackett, Adam Gase, Marty Mornhinweng, Mike McCoy, Cam Cameron, Norv Turner, etc..). Plus, it's not really fair to hire a first time head coach and have the fan base saying Super Bowl or bust their first year. Then there's always the fear that McDermott will turn around a franchise somewhere else and win a Super Bowl making you look like even more of an idiot. Don't think these thoughts aren't going through Pegula's head as he is human after all.

That's minimizing the legitimate other side of the argument of whether McDermott is good enough in the playoffs to get this team over the top which isn't a crazy one. Whether you agree with it or not (I don't). Oh. Yeah. Take that bullcrap to PPP.

What? I think my post was in line with the thread topic.

It's a cool stat but I really just consider this upcoming season Allen's 4th year of being an elite QB. Even if the Bills win it this season and people are bragging about how this stat was meaningless I'd push back and say it is meaningful because Allen was an incredibly unique QB in terms of rawness going into the NFL.

I’m glad you don’t let bad memories from 30 years ago cloud your judgement. I experienced all that too but our perception of Levy greatly changes if Norwood makes that kick.

I laughed when I heard the news for all the people telling me Terry has McDermott on a short leash since the season ended. The guy grew up a Steelers fan. He sees first hand the way patience and stability in an organization eventually produces results.

Straight up trade for Garrett Wilson, Chris Olave, or Drake London. Madden trade simulator said in your dreams. It's never going to happen. You'd be throwing any Super Bowl chance out the window. Josh Allen would look like Aaron Rodgers of 2022 at best.

Yet they cut him and are now eating 12 million in dead cap over the next two seasons. Elliott was arguably one of the worst starting running back in the league last season who received significant carries. Last in ypc (3.8) and percentage of runs that went past 10 yards (7.4%). His strengths are at short yardage and pass protection. Both of which the Pats could use. Zeke may see himself as wanting a bigger role though and/or a bigger contract.

He doesn't seem to happy about it either. I think it would look fine on anything but their grey jerseys.