Doc Brown

His vision and long speed is elite. Nobody on here shed a tear when we lost Singletary to free agency. Stupid to pay him though with the massive risk factors of a 2nd running back horrible deals of the past but I’m not going to tear him down by comparing him to Singletary. Lol. We get one more year out of him most likely so make it count.

We could start like an Amazon boycott saying report only total qb epa per play.

The stats and analytics support that at least on the offensive side of the ball.

Egg prices were too high. High inflation historically has been absolutely brutal on the party in charge.

I don't mean to judge too harshly on a guy I don't even know but to me he sounds like a real jerk.

His PFF grade was 92nd out of 98 WR's last year. His catch percentage has never been above 60% when targeted. The highest rated season a QB had when passing him the ball was 77.7 in his rookie season. That's not decent.

In what world has Elijah Moore had a decent career in his four years in the NFL? He wouldn't have been available for $2.5m in his 5th year in the league if he wasn't disappointing so far. He's had bad QB's but Garrett Wilson's posted three 1,000 yard seasons to start his career with Wilson, Boyle, Sineman, Flacco, White, and Rodgers throwing him the ball. It's just wishful thinking to think he'll make any kind of jump this year.

I'd add that most RB's start declining after age 27 regardless of usage and investing in McGovern and/or O'Torrence is more important to keep the line strong no matter what RB is in the backfield. The main argument folks can make about extending him now is they think he can buck most of those trends and extending him now is smart because he'll be more costly next year when he hits free agency. Plus, you get the added bonus of showing the locker room that if you work hard and do all the right things we'll reward you with a 2nd contract and it'll avoid any drama this summer. Beane's weighing all of these factors for sure and that's why having a hard number of what he thinks of his value is smart. I think the bigger sample size the better even if it means paying more next year. Both sides have compelling cases though. I just like to play the odds and I'd move on from him after this year.

O-line pass blocking was above average last year for the Jets. His numbers last year in almost every advanced metric weren't that different than his last year in Green Bay. He'll have a similar year to last year at best.

He was 25th in QBR last year. He was 20th in EPA per play in minimum 250 snaps. This was despite Garrett Wilson and DeVante Adams at his disposal. The offensive line was slightly above average according to most of the advanced metrics yet he still took 40 sacks last year. Rodgers in his prime was the best QB I've seen in my lifetime but father time caught up to him even before he tore his Achilles. Plus, Rodgers likes to play in the spread from the shotgun. Arthur Smith has never heard of that formation. Who's their best WR besides DK Metcalf? It's not good depth there. Other than that, I think he'll be great.

James Cook is obviously a way better running back than Ray Davis at this point in career. In defense of Davis though he was often brought on in short yardage situation and when we were just trying to run out the clock late in games. That's why he was third in the league into running into stacked boxes (8 men in the box). He was also 4th in the NFL in missed tackles created per attempt so I do expect him to get better as Cook and Singletary made quite the jump in their 2nd season. Rookie wall and everything. The one game where Cook missed Davis went 20 carries for 97 yards so he's capable at least.

You have a unique writing style. Do you just hit the enter bar after each sentence or thought? I feel like I'm being shout at. I was hoping for Haley in 2024.

What's funny about Metcalf is the amount of people on here that were like DRAFT THIS FREAK SHOW. We take fricken Cody Ford. It's pry the only WR I can remember this board pounding the table for that hard in the 2nd round. The hit/bust rate is subjective and feel free to find any good studies. PFF has the toughest criteria I've seen if interested in reading. A drafted player is considered a “hit” if his snap percentage over the first four seasons reaches at least 2/3rds of the baseline for a full-time starter at his position from 2006 to 2021. Round 1: WR hit rate - 56.9%, -3.8% relative to pick expectation. RB hit rate - 60.6%, +0.1% relative to pick expectation. Round 2: WR hit rate - 26.3%, -3.1% relative to pick expectation. RB hit rate - 35.3%, - +6.4% relative to pick expectation. If you base it on pure starts it gets complicated because of the running back by committee approach but it's a better indication of WR success in the 2nd round. This is an older study looking at just starts from draft picks where they started at least half of the games in their career from 2005 until 2014. WR's The first round success rate is 58% and the second round is almost as good at 49%.

Explain Trump's protectionism economic policies then.

You're right. The 2nd round is where you want to draft premium position players like Metcalf. I think there's only about a 50% bust rate with WR in the 2nd round. Here's hoping Coleman isn't one of those. I was talking about more where we draft in the late 2nd. I think we got Cook at 63 maybe? Rounds 3 through 4 are fine too especially in a running back by committee approach like the Bills have. We drafted Cook because of his speed and pass catching ability knowing we had Singletary/Moss that were more run between the tackle backs with some power. You'd try and find another RB like that to compliment Davis and maybe even Ty Johnson if he sticks around.

O'Cyrus Torrence and the Ryan Bates competition is really the only thing I can lean on thinking back that this is the case. He may rely more on his positional coaches when making that decision.

That's kind of where you can catch the grifters in conservative media. The tariff policy for example. Traditional conservatives know that the power of the purse should be in the legislative branch and that Trump is violating the constitution with his tariffs. They're also pro free trade and not isolationists. Seeing some twist themselves into pretzels trying to explain why tariffs are a good thing and not a direct tax on the American people is hilarious to me.

What I always wonder about McDermott is if it's a tie in his mind does he give the vet the job or the younger guy?

I've always agreed with this approach to foreign policy as laid out by Levin here. This is what I'm talking about with the split between MAGA conservatives and traditional conservatives when it comes to foreign policy. Trump trying to appease both is tough to do.

A top 15 RB because of the higher hit rate at the position alone, you can draft a 1st/2nd round prospect in the 3rd round, you get him in his peak physical years, and you don't have to worry about giving him a 2nd contract. Edit: I'm making the assumption that I don't know whether the pick will work out or not.

I disagree here. Cook was a 2nd rounder compared to those three and had a different profile as a smaller but more explosive back that could take it to the house if able to get to that second level. You can find a lot of those in the draft in the first few rounds every year. It's no guarantee that the drafted RB will give you close to or even over exceed what we had in Cook but when managing a roster that's how I'd approach the RB position. Shoot. I forgot that Beane was allowed to have 4th round picks at the time when they drafted Davis. My mistake. Would I hate it if Cook signed between $10 and $12m per year? Probably. I wouldn't kill Beane for it though.

Beane's drafted four running backs in the top three rounds since 2018. So it's half of his drafts so far. It's the best way to get value out of a RB as you're likely drafting a first/second round talent a full round later who will usually be more NFL ready than any other position. He's already in his prime years physically and will shortly fall off a cliff after his first contract. Go get your Cook replacement in the 2nd or 3rd round next year and hopefully get a comp pick for him. Use the draft pick the same way as Cook and four years later wash, lither repeat. I do agree that Beane should take more shots in both trading for possible #1 WR's and making it more of a priority each draft.

First of all, please never respect my opinions. I thought the internet was just for nerds when it first came out and turned my basement into a bunker for Y2K. Secondly, signing a premium position player in his prime I don't consider going "all in" given it's a four year commitment. The 2021 Rams went "all in" with the Miller and Beckham trades and it worked out for them. We're overpaying for all these mediocre WR's (Palmer, Samuel) for about half the money that don't move the needle much at all. I don't ever recall a time in Bills history where we traded for a 27 year WR with promising production that may have been underutilized in the previous offensive system that also has mixed character reports so I guess it's a risk in that sense. Von Miller was a much bigger risk given his age and it backfired. I just think when you have the opportunity to get an elite player in his prime (which I think Metcalf is) at a premium position you don't think twice and pull the trigger. Hell, the Bengals just did with two WR's around the same ages.

No. Trading for Metcalf for a 2nd like the Steelers did and signing him to a four year deal isn't going all in when they'll get him in a WR's prime years at age 27-30. Our offense after trading for Diggs at 27 went on to average the four best seasons in offensive yards in franchise history. RB was an afterthought.

We already tried that with signing Damien Harris to replace Singletary because of Beane's whiff of a draft pick with Moss. Dobbins has missed more games than he's played starting his rookie year. Chubb was Cleveland Brown's fans most beloved player and his injury was so gruesome they didn't even resign him at $2.5m as he averaged 3.3 ypc last year. Those are kind of worst case scenario signings when you don't draft and develop properly.