YattaOkasan

So you must think Chicago and Cowboys and their 4.0 ypc should run the ball all the time.

Thats fair. EPA sometimes needs explanation, but then again median might as well. maybe my hope for statistical understanding by the average fan is too high.

I wish we had more granularity to rushing numbers (3.3, 3.6, 4.0 yards etc) cause I think median would be a far more valuable metric than average that as you note is affected more by outliers which in this case are usually one sided.

watching his film breakdowns of Josh from 2018, 2019, and 2020 was awesome. Gave great insight as Josh bloomed into the terminator he is now.

Lol then everyone sucks at rush defense. 4.0 yards per carry would tie for 3rd best this year.

Hes had a bunch taken from him too cause defense let him down. 13 seconds, browns in 19, patriots last year, denver last year, hail murray, eagles last year.

It was a dumb way of me saying I want to see them drop back passing. I would be shocked if Cam is on the field the same time as Henry in this game. But would love to see Cam get some run cause we’re up multiple scores late in the game.

Shoot how much you looking to pull in from betting on this game.

Im basking in it. I am the Jack Nicholson GIF. The disrespect is gonna be on every screen at OBD. If run defense is truly a "mindset" as Daquan Jones has said, then displacement (which was lower than i expected in the Denver game) will be minimal and we have a good shot at stopping Henry. That and Josh had his most efficient season since 2020 (maybe better even) after the narrative all season was how we couldnt make up for the loss of Diggs and Gabe. Yeah sign me up for all the negative national media coverage. Lol that means KC are the russian gangsters?

hard time is interesting. we average 2.75 points per drive (this also doesnt count the INT at the goaline that otherwise would be 7 points if not for it bouncing off Coleman). 2.75 points per drive would still be 4th in the league (though lower than our 2.92 average). Maybe thats considered "tough" but i think Miami's ball control is what made that seem tougher than it was.

I think DL and Milano. 42 total snaps mean a total of 168 DL snaps. Sum of all DL players here is 158. So 10 plays of dime with odd mirror and another 8 plays with milano off the field. The 1 play taron was off seems to have gone to ingram.

"then we shall fight in the shade. Hey-ey-ey-ey"

I'm hoping Cam gets some run in a dime package with odd mirror cause we have a big lead and they have to be drop back passers (take a DL off in this scenario cause youre gonna rush 3 with a LB spy). But then again i was hoping for an Ankou call up and hes off the PS again so what do i konw. I do agree with your line of thought that we wont be relying on these back 7 players as much in this game as we did last time.

17 players had double digit sacks. What do you want out of a first round selection? There’s just not that many double digit sack guys that you can say 8 is pedestrian or that there are double digit sack guys clearly available at the end of the first round. The intuitive next question is who would you have taken? That’s why comparison to other players drafted at a similar spot matters.

dude essentially thinks that you shouldnt draft DEs in the first round with this logic. I (and many others) have a different approach to team development.

How many players do you think had double digit sacks? You seem to think thats the only way to justify a first round pick. Essentially you dont think 1st rounders should be spent on DEs then. Answer only 17 double digit sack guys this year.

so i think they will run man primarily in obvious passing situations to force lamar to play quicker. i think his "when blitzed" stats aint great (jackson krueger might have had it in his preview). the tell for this will be personnel i suspect. when hill goes in for Henry plan to play man. ravens WRs besides flowers are not great M2M separators (though Agholor is a bit of a vertical threat). If anything i worry about TEs (likely, andrews) and RB Hill getting open on safeties and LBs more than i worry about their WR in man coverage.

Last game they were running odd mirror for the rush and then an cover 2 man behind it. Pretty awesome scheme for obvious passing downs because the weakness of 2 man is noone accounts for the QB. with 3 guys selling out to get the QB off his spot you get better pressure than cage rushing with 4. its called odd mirror. they ran it this year against KC as well (among other games). They ran it last game as well. If we can get Henry slowed down and they need to pass (hill being on the field would be the tell to they are gonna pass) this is the rush i expect to see. I do recall that but him being on the field but injured doesnt scare me enough to not plan man coverage. if he was fully healthy i would have second thoughts.

Certainly he was affected by the injury and the rematch between him and humphrey could be a bit better this go around.

I was thinking this too. Especially if they were really desperate to get another roster spot for some reason, it would be an interesting strategy to put shakir back there in the playoffs but not in the regular season cause you dont want him taking that abuse all year.

Also call SF LAR and PHI turnarounds is funny especially since SF and LAR are on this list as making the SB previously. Clearly they just had a down year and met his "top 15" (lol) criteria. That really means TB and Cinci. Silly logic.

Cause he can throw as well as run. Hamler can't spin it like lamar can.

Yeah I saw that post already. You said there were teams consistently doing better than us. Or are you saying that consistently other teams can go from picking in the top 15 (lol top 10 or top 5 would make this compelling rather than clearly good teams that had a down year and missed playoffs, SF, PHI, LAR being "bad" teams is laughable) to making the Super Bowl. Cause yeah welcome to the parity of the NFL. I still contend you’re mostly showing me info on when teams played the chiefs. If we were in the NFC we would have been to the SB. That’s the problem most peeps have with your analysis.

Thought you needed to be limited on wed to have a shot but maybe am misremembering. I sorta don’t think Davis plays regrettably. Here’s to hoping we only miss him a little as we have slightly less efficient 4 minute drill with cook/johnson.

Lol define consistently. Cause only the chiefs have consistently made it further. Otherwise it’s pretty sporadic. Ravens (1 we didn’t get to play them) Bengals (2, once we didn’t get to play them). These teams have also missed the playoffs recently. We have run against the juggernaut of the AFC 3/4 losses so saying that other teams have gone further just means they played the chiefs later. We should def hold McD responsible for playing the chiefs so early the past 4 years. Sheesh