GunnerBill

I think Edwards will walk after this year. The thing that stopped him getting good FA money when he left the Rams was injury. He has always been a good NFL starting guard, but he struggled staying healthy in his time there. If he plays a full year in 2025 to back up a full year in 2024 and continues to be a kind of 7/10 most weeks type performer he will go to the highest bidder next spring and the Bills would probably be looking at about a 5th round comp in value (obviously depending what else they do). The Bills will then either extend or use the RFA tag on Alec Anderson and let him and Tylan Grable have a competition for that spot at a guess. It is why Chase Lundt is a very interesting selection. While the Bills have a settled OL group this year there is potential for some movement next year and I think they see Lundt as a guy who could shift inside and compete or at least offer depth at guard. McGovern I think will stay and I think his number will come in around $10m AAV.

Yea it's where I am too. I actually mind less about AAV. It is length of commitment that concerns me. 3 years $45m but I can get put after 2 years with no more than say a $6-7m dead cap? Yea I think I'm in.

I agree Dion is the 2nd best player on our offense. It is then Cook or Spencer Brown for 3rd. McGovern is the next tier below. But there remains a sizeable gap IMO between Cook and our other backs.

I'm planning a holiday to Mexico in either the 2nd or 3rd week of November. Holding off until the schedule is out as I don't want to risk being mid air (or otherwise unable to access a device) when the Bills are playing..... knowing my luck I'd avoid Sunday and the Bills would end up some other weird and wonderful time that clashes with my travel plans.

Yea I think I heard both Joe Marino and Sal speculate about his spot on the roster this week. Maybe they are right and I am wrong but I think he is a lock to get some time early at a rotational 1T and if he is somewhat effective when the NFL releases the Beane Two after week 6 I think there is a chance they could move on from Daquan Jones unless he is really back to form.

Having seen him in the Embedded video I do hope so. That is one young man I hope to see a LOT more of..... 😍

This is fair. It is his take it to the house, explosives I think are hard to replace. And because we don't have a super explosive pass game beyond Josh scramble drills I think they have more value than they might in other situations. What I would also say is while our line definitely created a ton of good holes last year Cook has such good vision and that plays a part too. Davis found the big holes when they were there but he wasn't as good at finding the smaller creases as Jimbo. On the subject of the insta posts.... I am pretty confident at this stage that Cook will play this year contract or not. He will hold out as long as he can, but he isn't going to not play. The fact he is still positing Bills photos suggests he still wants to be on the team and this is just the business side where his agent is trying to maximise negotiating leverage - as he is totally within his rights to do.

I agree re. Moore. I got told by someone who was at that point still in the organisation Beane was heartbroken to let Gabe go and they suspected others had talked him out of paying him.

Believe me there is. Brandon Beane loves him. If he comes back that is a 100% Beane decision.

I mean he was nowhere near as bad in coverage as Bishop last year. That is why he started. We all hope Bishop has improved past Hamlin. But if he hasn't then he won't start.

The next draft is also in Pittsburgh I don't think they saw Pickens as a core young guy in that building. I think they had decided they were not paying him. This cashes him in for a pick.

Shakir #1 Kincaid and Palmer #2 & 3 in some order Coleman #4 Moore, Samuel and Knox #5-7 in some order

I am not agreeing Walker was great but I agree on the rest.

Yea, Bech and Thornton are rookies. Bech is an inside/outside flex guy and Meyers is the same. Thornton is EXTREMELY raw and is a package player as a rookie to me. He runs two routes. They don't have a single serviceable true outside vet receiver.

That's true. The place that immediately jumps out to me is Vegas who have basically zero established outside receivers.

I think it is a little bit higher than 50-50. Really depends what his market is but coming off a bad injury last year and the timing of this release (i.e. after teams have put together their rosters) the chances are he takes a 1 year, prove-it type deal. The Bills and Beane in particular loved him as a guy and a teammate.

Matt's still on the list, but losing Stef and JoPo in a single offseason was a blow.

I think the back probably plays a part in that (although his pad level was concerning even in 2023).

I think TJ Sanders is going to be a beast even in limited playing time. When Ed started to play well down the stretch last year the difference in our defense was noticeable and when he came off the field the interior penetration was non-existent. I think signing Ogunjobi and drafting Sanders tells you Beane knows that. I can well imagine an offensive line that has spent all game trying to hold off Ed just relaxing slightly thinking the job is done and then TJ eating. TJ to out sack Ed in fewer snaps is definitely one of my bolds for next year.... and the board will totally over react as a result with "cut Ed he is a bum!" But Milton Williams had more sacks than Jalen Carter last season. It doesn't mean he is better. There is just an opportunity for those rotational guys when the first choice rush package has worn a line down.

He still does NFL Locked On Scouting with Kyle Crabbs. But I listened to a couple of episodes this year and they are definitely doing fewer really detailed breakdowns on prospects than the used to. To be honest it feels a it like they have mailed it in and are keeping going for the sake of keeping going because the Locked On network wants them to. It's a shame because when they were part of The Draft Network they did some really good stuff. I mean that place's demise was pretty predictable - running an expensive draft website with full time employees when you are really only driving serious levels of engagement 3 to 4 months of the year - which affects your advertising revenues etc - was never going to be straightforward. Even before you get into some of the personalities tied in with it. But it definitely feels like post the collapse there Joe has turned his attention away from the draft stuff and on to Locked On Bills.

Two takeaways: 1. I love TJ Sanders but the last two times Beane has taken someone in round 2 and then said "we'd have considered them in round 1" were Cody Ford and Boogie Basham..... let's hope third time lucky! 2. Can I see some more of Jordan Hancock with his shirt off please? I was a bit down on Bills crushes in 2024. Glad to see Brandon restocking for me 😄.

I see three pressures on that clip. But equally I agree with you re his pass rush arsenal. It is under developed. Great rip move but not a ton else. He had a good game vs Campbell he won his battle that day but he still has areas for development without question.

The Texans beat us right at the end last year despite Josh playing terribly and completing 9 passes in the entire game. If we get average Josh Allen that day, not even elite Josh, then we win the game. I fancy us strongly to turn that around.

Honestly it is close for me as to whether I'd rather play BAL in BAL or KC in KC. KC is a mental roadblock for the Bills in the post season. But Xs and Os wise I think the Bills matchup pretty well against them. BAL is a tougher Xs and Os matchup for us. The things they do well are exactly the things we do less well. Now if it is a home game.... I'd rather play Baltimore than KC every time. But on the road I genuinely think it is mighty close and I might fancy the Bills to finally pull a tight one out in a strategic battle with KC than I do to them outpunch the Ravens on their own turf in the playoffs.

Interesting, I think the Houston D is the opposite of physical, especially in the middle. I think it is fast and talented. They have playmakers in the secondary and their edge rushers are dangerous. I think their weakness is the middle of the Dline and the linebackers. That is where you can expose them if you can get physical. That and their offensive line are the weaknesses of that team.