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Everything posted by fergie's ire
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I think I am more optimistic than many. While I recognize that the season COULD be a disaster, I am hopeful they are going to be able to pull things together and be pretty decent. I also like these quarterbacks. That said, one has a below avg arm coupled with a love of throwing the ball parallel to the line of scrimmage and the other is a rookie. If I were a betting man, I'd jump on the over for INTs. Bet the house, baby.
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On the Bills' first offensive snap Sunday...
fergie's ire replied to eball's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Play action, deep middle to Clay behind the safety....dragged down after a 35 yard gain. -
For robotics you want Grant Imahara.
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Season Expectations: What Am I Missing?
fergie's ire replied to Flip Johnson's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
And let's not forget EJ Gaines. Our strong defense struggled in games he missed. Not that I think he was great, but last year we had a problem finding a competent 2nd cornerback when he was out....and I am still not sure we have found one. -
I followed the link in the post. It says you won't spend 300 bucks for it. It's 500 bucks.
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Less concerned with O-line than most...
fergie's ire replied to Hebert19's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
How about 48? mccoy raiders td -
I don't understand the almost universal desire to trade for Mack at any cost. I seem to remember that we were collectively unimpressed with him when we played the Raiders and someone who watches the Raiders regularly commented that while he makes spectacular plays, he also takes a lot of plays off. Yes....he is a very good player. But worth this much for a one or two year (with franchise tag) rental? Or willingness to sign to a 20 mill./year contract? I just don't see the value, particularly when we don't have an established quarterback or an offensive line.
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Peterman Cumulative Preseason Stats
fergie's ire replied to The Bills Blog's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think they should start Peterman, but forbid any Bills receiver from going within five yards of the sidelines if they are within ten yards of the line of scrimmage. -
Yes, the black and white thinking is the big problem. Either analytics are right all the time...or the eyeball test is the only way to go. Analytics are extremely useful...but have to understand they are a tool, not an answer. Not only is probability an issue, but have to consider context. I remember several years ago someone was discussing how football should use more analytics. The example they gave was the draft and they argued that teams should draft more guards and safeties in the first round...particularly early in the first round. The reasoning was that quarterbacks, even in the top 10, did not have a high probability of success...but almost every guard or safety drafted early had a good or great career. The context that these analytics failed to recognize was that because guards and safeties have less relative importance than, say QBs, if one is drafted in the first half of the first round, he is probably a generational prospect (e.g. Quenton Nelson). That does NOT mean that teams would be more successful if they started spending all their early draft picks on guards and safeties.
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I just chatted with them. The base streaming package is 279 bucks....Forget what Max is, but about a hundred dollars more...and Max-plus is a bit more than that.
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Some new streaming availability for Sunday Ticket: DIRECTV NOW subscribers with a billing zip code in the greater Los Angeles, Phoenix, Boston, Philadelphia, San Antonio, Hartford, and Louisville areas can now subscribe to NFL Sunday Ticket as an add-on to their DIRECTV NOW subscription even if you are not a student and live in a area that an get DIRECTV. But can't figure out how much they charge on top of the 55 bucks a month. If anyone finds out, please post here.
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MVP candidate!! Jon Ryan(video)!!
fergie's ire replied to Bills4life1924's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I have juju concerns. Allen was looking better than expected...things were looking pretty good...and McBean brings in someone with the name Ryan....bad juju, man....bad juju. -
I don't know about PFF, but there seems to be a lot of people who seem to be personally invested in seeing Josh Allen. It's as if they are angry that the Bills would dare to pick Allen and irately insist that Allen will be a bust. It's one thing to rationally think that Allen will be a bust...or for a Bills fan to be angry they picked him...but there is a group in the media who act as if Allen's success would be a personal insult to them....which is weird. Many in this group also seem angry the Bills let Tyrod go. It's a group that picks the Bills to finish last. Again, I think that it's fine to pick the Bills last...and there are some reasons to do so: no established quarterback, concerns about o-line, etc. However, they seem angry when they say it...as if they are saying, "It serves them right." My suspicion is that they see the Bills as mounting an attack on analytics and want them to fail for doing so. Again, my suspicion is that this crowd is populated by analysts who rely on a superficial understanding of analytics: e.g. Tyrod's touchdown to interception ratio and Allen's completion percentage. I don't think that the Bills are attacking analytics...or ignoring them...but look at context and have a more complex understanding of them...and that there are other metrics....like Tyrod's third down completion rate. But because they see Bills as anti-analytics they feel personally invested in seeing them fail.
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Honestly, one of the most beautiful things I have seen as a Bills fan is the way Allen ducked away from the defender while keeping his eyes down field. He could sense pressure without having to turn and see it. That is a skill that has been consistently lacking in our long string of lackluster quarterbacks.
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Bud Light "Victory Fridges" in Cleveland
fergie's ire replied to 26CornerBlitz's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
What could possibly go wrong? -
You Are Probably Pronouncing Tyrod's Name Wrong!
fergie's ire replied to Fadingpain's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
And most who speak the name of the coach whose name must not be spoken have pronounced it wrong, too.Cheatriot in chief's name pronunciation -
You Are Probably Pronouncing Tyrod's Name Wrong!
fergie's ire replied to Fadingpain's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It's pronounced "castle nut"? -
Question: Can passing accuracy issues be fixed?
fergie's ire replied to GreggTX's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I would agree for the most part, but I am not even sure about some of the deep balls. On one of them, Tasker pointed out that Foster was watching the ball the whole way and that if he just spotted the ball...ran...and then looked again at the last minute, he almost certainly would have caught up with the ball. On another, Foster gave up on the play. Yes, one was out of bounds which is an accuracy problem. On the passes where he missed badly, it looked like he and the receiver were on different pages. So, I worry about him reading defenses and knowing where his receiver is going to be...but those aren't accuracy problems. -
Nate Peterman 2017 All-22 Analysis by BR
fergie's ire replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think the point is that as a QB prospect he is simultaneously dead and alive. -
Requiem for a sports columnist
fergie's ire replied to WIDE LEFT's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Couldn't agree more. Haven't read his columns since they were free and linked to TBD, but when I did, his columns seemed one-note and predictable. Some posters say they were angered by Sullivan. Personally, I find it hard to get angry at someone who just predictably says, "this sucks" at every move. Bored, yes. Angry, no. And yes, columnists who get readers angry DO sell papers....but columnists who bore their readers do not. -
Something brewing with the Patriots?
fergie's ire replied to HappyDays's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The reason I doubt that he would walk is that he is under contract. Nobody seems to know the details of Belichick's contract....but imagine he is in the last year. If he walks, the Patriots still have his rights...if he plays out this season, then he is a free agent and can go to say...the Dolphins and stick it to Kraft twice a year which seems like a very Belichickian move. I also wonder about McDaniels reneging on a head coaching job....but imagine if Bill told him, I have one year here and then I am out...so if you stay you will be in place to take over. It's rampant speculation, but I have been wondering if Belichick is out after this year. -
The end of the 2022-23 season.