Kirby Jackson

54: R2P22 RB J.K. DOBBINS OHIO STATE 86: R3P22 S JEREMY CHINN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 128: R4P22 WR K.J. HILL OHIO STATE 167: R5P21 TE THADDEUS MOSS LSU 188: R6P9 EDGE TREVON HILL MIAMI 207: R6P28 LB SHAQUILLE QUARTERMAN MIAMI 239: R7P25 OT TERENCE STEELE TEXAS TECH

They lost Collins, Harmon and Shelton too. The front 7 should be significantly worse than last year. Their defense should still be okay but doubt that they are top 5. Your bold prediction is that Trevor Lawrence will never be the greatest player of all-time? Way to go out on a limb there.

I’d like the 49ers because I think they are really interesting in this draft but you can assign me whoever if they are taken I guess Jacksonville and Carolina would be next. I find them pretty interesting in this draft as well.

Oh I agree for sure, that’s the only reason I think that they picked up the phone though. He’s less than 5% to make the team imo.

Feels like a long shot but could push Foster as the speed guy. I expect the Bills to keep 7 receivers (including Roberts).

Lynn Bowden

I like the Colts, Rams and Cardinals at those numbers. I don’t hate KC at +650 either

Remind me when we get closer and I will send you a link....my site seems to have a lot of options but I’m getting an error message

Different draft odds

Oh, there are a lot of ways to bet the draft. You can do o/u on where specific players will be taken. You can bet the number of trades. You can bet the o/u on picks at a position in a round (ie o/u 4.5 1st round QBs). There are lines everywhere for the draft.

That’s kind of an interesting thought. Marty really ends up being the confident, level-headed mastermind. He doesn’t use emotion to direct his business decisions in anyway. Everything that he does is well thought-out and reasoned. Wendy has that desire to be the best but she can get caught up in her perception. The horse farm is a good example of this.

I almost used Get a Life but didn’t think anyone would know it. I used to love that show!! I even bought the DVDs ???

PFF LOVES Diggs I think. I’m not a PFF guy but think that he’s one of their little childish crushes.

That’s kind of my thought. Jefferson was 5th in pass rush win rate from the interior and Oliver 7th last year. With Oliver coming on I see no reason that he won’t be in the top 5 this year in that stat. He is going to consistently be in the backfield forcing QBs out.

Murphy had 2 sacks in the finale and 2 sacks in the playoff game. Maybe he was getting healthy? I think 8 is reasonable for him if that’s the case. Addison seems to consistently be in that 8-10 range (although he was much better early last year than late). Hughes has always gotten pressure but rarely gotten home but again he had 3 sacks in the playoff game. With the rate at which Jefferson and Oliver win in pass rush situations these other guys are going to get some cleanup sacks. The improved pressure inside is what I’m counting on to hit those numbers. We should be REALLY good at pressuring the QB from the interior.

That’s a tough question but I’d tend to agree. At the same time Josh is a total wild card. He could be anywhere from top 5 to 30 this year. I tend to think that he will give them average to above average QB play this year. Somewhere in that 12-15 range. That’s probably enough for this roster to be considered top 5. There aren’t many holes. In terms of edge I agree that there needs more explosiveness. I’m fine taking a chance on a guy as soon as 54. I just think that we will be okay short-term with the guys we have. I’d expect the Addison-Hughes-Murphy group to combine for about 25 sacks. I think that when you add in the DTs, LBs, DBs and everyone else you’re probably looking at another 22. That’s slightly ahead of where they were a year ago (44) when they were 12th in the league. I think that they can be a borderline top 10 team in terms of sacks and even a little better in terms of pressure. They just have a lot of quality bodies across the defense to throw at it. What they lack in an elite guy (outside of Oliver) they will make up for with good depth.

54: R2P22 RB J.K. DOBBINS OHIO STATE 86: R3P22 S KYLE DUGGER LENOIR RHYNE 128: R4P22 EDGE NICK COE AUBURN 167: R5P21 WR JAUAN JENNINGS TENNESSEE 188: R6P9 TE DALTON KEENE VIRGINIA TECH 207: R6P28 LB SHAQUILLE QUARTERMAN MIAMI 239: R7P25 OT TERENCE STEELE TEXAS TECH

But it won’t be worse, with the additions of Addison and Jefferson, a healthy Murphy and a developing Oliver it should improve. Shaq and Phillips were effective but feel like they’ve been adequately replaced in the short-term. I expect an improved pass rush this year but long-term there’s work to be done. That was honestly a big reason that I advocated keeping Shaq. An injury to Addison though and you are starting the same guys that you did last year.

I know that you think edge is the weakest spot. We disagree slightly there. I think that the Bills are fine at edge for 2020. There are A LOT of questions beyond this year. Over the next couple of years I think we will see an entirely new crew there. I expect to see a new body this year but the edge concern is more beyond 2020 than in 2020.

I am a “big play advocate.” If the Bills made 4 more a year (as an example) that’s an extra 28 points on the season. Those 4 big plays would take the Bills from 23rd in scoring to 18th. That’s one explosive play every 4 games. I think Diggs instantly contributes to this. There will be a slant or 2 that he catches at own 40 and explodes through the secondary to go the distance. We have been lacking that for sure. 5 of the Bills 6 losses last year were by a TD or less. If 1/2 of those big plays were made in those 6 games we could have been 12-4 instead of 10-6. Those 4 big plays are probably worth an additional win to 2 wins a year. That could be the difference in playoffs or not, division or not, bye or not, etc...

There are some nice players in there but that’s not how the draft works. Top players at premium positions get drafted first. A top tier S or TE does not get drafted before a top tier CB or T (and Ramczyk is good not great IMO). I’d have Tre in the tier with Kittle, Adams, and Watt as players. Watt and Tre play premium positions. Godwin is really good but does kind of feel out of place at 4. Those other guys are top 5 players in the league at their position. I don’t think that he is that. He’s in a great system and is really good. Ramczyk is a little overrated to me. He gets a lot of credit. He’s a nice tackle but IMO he’s not a top 5 guy either. If we are redrafting I think that the top 10 looks like this: - Mahomes - Watson - Garrett - Tre - Watt - McCaffrey - Humphrey - Kittle - Adams - Ramczyk - Godwin

I always bet some props like that heading into the season. I had Chris Carson to win the rushing title last year +2500, Brees to win the passing title +750 and Evans to win the receiving title +1400. I didn’t win any of them but they all made sense to me at those numbers. Jameis to win the passing title would have been a great score. I used Evans because I trusted Arians’ air attack. I don’t remember what Jameis’ odds were but they had to be over 30:1. Again though, no one is saying “I expect Josh to be an MVP candidate.” What we are saying is “at 50:1 (or whatever) there is great value in Josh Allen as the NFL MVP.”

I got Josh at 50:1 or 75:1 a month or so ago (maybe even 100:1). My thought is that he and the Bills could make a leap. If they do he will be in the conversation and it’s good value. I can’t log in right now so I’m not sure what I got it at but think that I bet $50 on it.

Yeah, it might be. I would think that he’s on the hot seat. That’s a weird organization though. Because they have no fans I wonder if they have any pressure? It’s just strange.

I mean I’m I know that I’m a Tyrod defender but what do you expect him to say? “We are going to be a really bad team with me as the QB.” Of course he says that. He’s 24-21-1 as a starter. I’d expect roughly the same win percentage if he played the whole year with the Chargers. They’ll be about 8-8.