Your prediction is ok, lots of plausible arguments to make it reasonable. I note no consideration for the in stadium fans however, and that is also real. My view is that the NFL is a TV studio sport now where the studios are also called stadiums. The fans don't matter as the COVID year proved. Hence, night games in the winter in Buffalo. I gave up my seasons as I couldn't hack the cold and late nights anymore. I am still a fan, but, there are other TV choices I consider as well. We just need to recognize that the NFL is about maximizing revenue, and actual physical fans in the seats are really optional.