djp14150

Thus weekend us nothing compared to a few other weekends…. weekend between conf final and SB…. limited hockey because it’s when they usually have their all star game you have usually a quality tournament in golf with name players late night Aussie tennis open college and pro basketball late July weekend — golf tourney with no names baseball auto racing baseball wnba labor day weekend can be a bad weekend opening of college football baseball wnba

I have a different views on these. In baltimore you had a few long 3rd downs on scoring drives they could have stopped but didn’t. Unsure how much of that was a poor assignment, mistake. Thr long hrnry TD run was a blown assignment. Thr offense was also sputtering where the half time score very easily could have had the bills leading. with the Rams Stafford played a perfect game between his throws, t8ming, and receiver plays that he has not done in other games this year. In other games he throws the same route and it’s off a bit unusurrvif it’s receiver or qb fault.

Anyone who says I’m stepping away for personal reasons is because it’s major surgery/ cancer to themselves or someone close to them

The last weekend in July is worse. Baseball, golf with a low level field since the weekend before you had the British open. Someone might have some CFL games

he probably became familiar with the sport but might not have been a rangers fan ( devils were in NJ when he would have been a kid). personally, just like with football, I prefer to be up a little to see the action

Reality check is needed here…scores against above 500 teams Rams W 26-20 in OT Bucs L 20-16 Seahawks W 42-29 SEA was down 8 with ball in 4thQ Vikings W 31-29 packers W 24-14 … this game was closer than the score. GB three a pick 6 and 3 redzone drives with no points. Houston W 26-23 packers W 34-31 since the start of the year they have had loses on defense due to injury.

that would be a 3-6 game. chargers / broncos need to be ahead of 2nd place #6 seed to gain #5 because both LAC and DEN have lost to both BAL/PIT. Thry dtill play each other once which likely means one loses. Chargers best broncos earlier in season. thr loser of charger/ broncos for 2nd place would be #7 unless colts/ fins/ bengals overtake them #5 takes on Houston thr other option is 5 balt vs 4 Hous 3 PIT vs #6 PIT at BUF other st KC

hes 23+9+1 = 33. He needs 7 more. This week I think he gets 4. the last 3 weeks 1 each is doable

They are a game behind Seattle right now, they face off in week 18. Rams beat Seahawks in OT earlier. They W out they W division. getting WC….thry are a game behind Washington for last WC.

Sounds similar to this board if Bills lose…… NFL is a team game. You lose multiple offensive players as well as defense players will affect team results. 5 of 8 loses were by one score, KC was a close game. GB and BUF were the only blow out losses. if they had a healthier team 3-4 of those close games likely W just looking at the earlier 3 div loses… first Rams- 10 pt 4Q lead, losrbon last Dec FG Cards- up 23-13 in 4th, AZ score 11 to win. They happen to go for 2 on first TD thrn a under 2 FG gives them the lead instead of tie. Seahawks— up 17-13 late, Seahawks score TD with 12 seconds left. they win these 3 they are 9-6 people forget Purdy is not 100%

Who? All the other years vs this year. I’d be afraid signing him to some big contract. He’s also near 30. next year you have him, fields, Jones l Winston/Watson on thr market. what teams are looking fir a QB next year? Jets - if cut Rodgers Dolphins - Tua back up vet Browns- if they don’t keep Winston Titans — they could be a club thst drafts a QB high Raiders —- they could draft one Giants — they could draft one Vikings— they have the injured rookie, they could go with the cheaper vet Saints — if they cut Carr. They could draft a QB Seahawks — thry need to develop a young QB to take over Rams— they need to develop a younger QBto take over from Stafford

divisional rivals are always different games. Football isn’t transitive . Home vs road matters

SB rams had a much better defense.

3 3 and outs now…. Stafford had the game of his career last week

SI jinx

Because of player position you now must declare onside kick so it kills any surprise ones you could do onside kicks by saying you can’t call fair catch on a sky high kicked ball another wrinkle would be nice— if you kick the ball and it lands in the zone , if it bounces in the field twice and goes out of bounds, the ball is placed at the out of bounds point.

Does he have an LCL ?

If it ends up 1 KC 2 BUF 3 PIT 4 HOU 5 BAL —( PIT & BAL tiebreaker on DEN/LAC due to H2H)— 6 LAC 7 DEN/ IND/MIA/CIN 3 brats 7 3 beats 6 4 vs 5.., doesn’t matter Pit at BUF BAL/HOU at KC if BUF is 1, unless you have a 7 seed upset, BUF could host bal/ hou thrn a pit/ kc rematch

they are 2-8 in one score games.. NE 16-10 KC with that PI and last sec FG WAS in that back and forth no punt game BAL blew 4 thW 2 score lead, miss FG in OT and lose BAL back and forth game. Scored with under a minute, went for 3 and failed losing 35+34 LAC try made a 2nd half comeback but fell short PIT their wins was CLE and that punt in DAL 3-6 when scoring 25+points on the Sack leader — haven’t dug in, but I wonder how many of those came in a few games ( CLE, CAR, LV, NYG)

Not having wind also helps

It’s about consistency….. missed false starts? Those stand out. There were a few non calls against the rams including that 4 th down. there was OPIs not called with push offs of receivers when they turn or cut. There was thst 3rd down short pass thst got called that had mutual contact. brabbing thr jersey and pulling on it is generally an automatic flag if “seen”

Individual probability at 80% so PPP=0.8*0.8*0.8=0,522=51.2% Whats the probability of flipping 3 heads? 0.5*0.5*0,5=0.225= 12.5% odds making a 2 are much higher than 50%

my thinking is this doen 31-14 you think they May get a TD or 2 FGs. If you go for 2 and are successful then it’s 37 or 38 to 30. You reducing test 3 score to a 2 score, then one score deficit I would also apply the same logic to a 9 pt deficit. You get a TD go for 2 making it a one pt game. its 44-35. Bills score, I’d go for 2 making it 44-43. Turn kick off down field and let the KO returner score making it 51-43 and buffalo has TOS and around 50 seconds to get a TD+2 to tie. It does though…. going for 2 means you need 3 scores instead of possibly 4.

Its actually not…. P= probability of success at going for 2. the probability of getting 3 in a row going 14-23-30-38 is P*P*P if P= 0.7 then PPP= 34.3% It’s about 3% for an onside kick when you are down by 14 three analytics say go for 2 because it's based on probabilities assuming you have a good 3 yd offense. The Bills has a very good 2yd offense theirprobabilities likely higher at 80%+

When it was 31-14 and they scored… 31-22 38-22 38-30 38-38…tie game 44-45…they win my philosophy is if you are down 17 and think other team could score 7, I’d go for 2 after every TD