Not wrong. He is saying if we lose tomorrow, and win the 5 remaining games we will be 10-6, and then if Pittsburgh lost to Seattle, and Cincinatti, they would also be 10-6, and we would hold the tie breaker.
He is a bit confusing though, mixing his scenarios.
Basically I have it coming down to:
Bills
@Chiefs
Texans
@Eagles
@Redskins
Cowboys
Dallas
Jets
Dolphins
@Giants
Titans
@Cowboys
Patriots
@Bills
Chiefs
Bills
@Raiders
Chargers
@Ravens
Browns
Raiders
Steelers
@Seahawks
Colts
@Bengals
Broncos
@Ravens
@Browns
I think schedule difficulty goes - Steelers > Jets > Bills > Chiefs, and we likely hold tiebreakers on Jets, and Steelers. A win over the Chiefs would be amazing at this point.