Mango

Thanks for pointing that out. I was just using my scribble pad for work and grabbed the wrong number quickly. Don't tell my boss about how I spend company time! I did use PFR, but used percentage compared to his peers not total percentage, since a player will rarely hit 100% of defensive snaps. Although Preston Brown and Jordan Poyer have come pretty close at times. I thought it was more fair. Even if you just remove 2017 entirely, Milano has only been on the field about 72% of the time compared to his peers. If 91% is the goal as 2019 would indicate, he has missed a sizable chunk.. A story that missed games doesn't really tell.

Games missed is only part of the picture. I think you have to take into account total snap count compared to the defense. I wouldn't put him in the healthy range at the moment. Career wise he is averaging about 63% of defensive snaps which should be a concern. I think his high water mark of 91% of snaps in 2019 is right about where McD would like to see him regularly. 63% isn't great if the goal is 91% 2017 Defensive Leader (Preston Brown)- Total Snaps- 1098 Milano- Total Snaps- 450 (41%) 2018 Team Leader (Jordan Poyer)- Total Snaps- 1009 Milano- Total Snaps- 741 (73%) 2019 Team Leader (Tremaine Edmunds)- Total Snaps- 981 Milano- Total Snaps- 894 (91%) 2020 Team Leader- Total Snaps (Jordan Poyer)- 533 Milano- Total Snaps- 179 (33.5%) Total Snaps- Team Leader- 3621 Total Snaps- Milano- 2264 (62.5)

If we would have flipped those picks, what a lethal combination that would have been.

This! Beasley is getting tons of love because he is sort of appearing out of nowhere and making wild catch after wild catch. It is awesome for everybody...until it isn't. You can't expect your WR's to make high volumes of tough catches. It is not really a sustainable or realistic model. I also think Allen is slow to process at times, possibly why he struggles with zone coverage as well. Dude has a cannon attached to his shoulder. Because he can toss it 50 yards on a frozen rope at 60 mph, he gets away with being late with his reads. a 60 mph fastball thrown late in the NFL is a tough one to catch over and over again, even though it looks "catchable" on TV.

I don't think we see that. The defense is starting to trend overall to average-ish, problem is, so is the offense. I think McD tries to play keep away from Russ like we did KC. At some point I would like to see our offense with Diggs, Brown, Beasley, Davis, and Allen perform like are one of the top groups in the NFL and go toe to toe with another good offense. So far they have shriveled against the top teams, and have not found any swagger against the bad ones. I will still be worried if we can't put up more than 25 points (median= 25/mean= 23.75) on one of the worst defenses in the league. We are averaging 19 ppg the last 4 weeks. Time to prove we still have it.

The team is trending towards average on both sides of the ball. Is that an improvement? Should I be happy or sad?

I agree Miami is not a powerhouse. They are a good team, a sneaky team. I think the league wants the Dolphins to be good, but good under Fitz if that makes sense. Just sort of projecting Fitz as the starter, but he is not. Tua did not look good...like at all. If that doesn't right quickly, Fitz is either back in, or they are not a threat to anybody and we will laugh at this in January They do have an easy stretch coming up, so buckle up, they might get hyped a TON more if they string together some wins. I am concerned about Buffalo. Yes, lost to some very good teams, but we have been squeaking by. With all this offensive firepower, we should be averaging more than 19 pts per game over the last 4 weeks. We have not played any great defenses in that stretch.

How quickly we all forget the 2018 Minnesota Vikings who did technically win more games than they lost at 8-7-1.

Oh jeez, and have a bye, then SEA and TB. And then what if the Dolphins and Raiders go 1-1-1 over that stretch, and everybody we play is stuck at .500. We could have the worst NFL super power ever. The midas touch, except everything the Bills touch turns into a team coached by Jeff Fisher. Unrelated, Lindy Ruff would sometimes drive me bonkers (miss him now). The guy could take any 5 goal scorer in the league and turn him into a 20 goal scorer. He could also take a 40 goal scorer and turn him into a 20 goal scorer. It was a gift really.

Right, in order to have a game winning drive, you have to be not winning at some point. I think we all get that. To the point of the stat we are talking about, the Bills being 23-1 when leading at half time, and inversely being 8-26 when tied or worse at the half. That stat line actually carries through regardless of the point you are making about Peterman, Tyrod, WR corp. I am not saying those things don't matter to the success of the team, but we have shuffled that situation around a ton and seeing the same results. 7 or 8 of JA's 11 GWD come after leading at the half. We have not won a single game after being down at half time in 2020. This is probably the best the offense has been in McD's tenure and it is the best that Josh has played so far over 8 games. Our lack of being able to put together a 3rd quarter is biting us in the ass.

Most of Joshs GWD were games where we already had the lead. That includes all 3 this year. Both loses we were losing at the half. Using TT, NP, and a receiving Corp from 2 years ago isn’t playing out that way at the moment.

Just checked quick on my phone, it looks like of our 11 GWD we’ve been leading at the half in 7 or 8 of them. For whatever reason the 3Q is the worst for us.

McD is 32-27 as HC. So we are 8-26 if we are not leading at the half? I am about as surprised at how good we are leading at the half as I am at how bad we are at winning a game without the lead at half time.

I agree with @ngbills. There is a chance Miami backs their way into a playoff spot, flirting with a 9th or 10th win when they come to Buffalo. Fitz was playing well. Their defense has been solid. A lot will depend on Tua. He didn't even look very good against a pretty decent Rams team, and they found a way to win. If Tua can learn some stuff quickly or Fitz goes back in with a hot hand still, they could be talking about wins against NYJ, DEN, NE, CiN, and LAC. If that happens, and the next few weeks go the way a lot of us are predicting for Buffalo, week 17 could be for the division. A lot of "if's" in there though.

I am a little concerned that the Bills have gotten pretty similar production against both decent and bad defenses the last 4 weeks.

Blow outs happen when multiple phases don’t hold their own. So we can lose to Seattle 38-42. That’s not a blow out. If they smoke us 35-17, that’s because the defense couldn’t stop them AND the offense couldn’t keep up.

I actually think the $3-400 price point is way too high for what is basically just access to the 1pm games on Sunday. At $400 bucks I am tempted to just keep using my VPN and ripping the game off. With so many people cutting the chord, the NFL really needs to evolve here and start including all games through the app/streaming. Possibly include a single team package or a per game charge. That said, I am in Saratoga Springs. I tried calling to just get the streaming service. They said no I needed DTV. I have no use for a cable package. So I actually have an old athlete that is in Med School so I threw her a couple bucks to help me out.

This is my issue at the moment. I get that teams are adjusting but we have too much firepower on the offensive side of the ball to be back to putting up last years average weeks in a row.

You seriously don't remember him? Like at all? His name alone is pretty memorable. Not that he was some great player, but he made a few timely splash plays. He played 19 games total with us. 3 INT's and 2 FF. Only 8 starts. I was surprised we didn't keep him as depth behind Poyer and Hyde.

I can’t unsee this. Thank you.

We have had a couple of these repeat threads. Thought I would bump to the original. Mods, feel free to combined. I was hoping the Bills would improve more by now on this stat. They’re -2 now after a 2-2 stretch. With a tough stretch coming up. So far the team seems closer to a 10-6 team than a 13-3/12-4 we thought they might be after the first 4 weeks. If they can’t improve here over the back half they could end up being one and done again in the playoffs.

Since Singletary already wears 26, what jersey Number do you think he’ll be wearing next week?

The thing I learned the most from that is that I want to listen to Ray Lewis break down plays a lot more. Dude just has a certain gravity. Of course he’s part of the GOAT conversation.

SUPER BOWL!

When you talk about starters like Hyde (not necessarily back ups like Murphy) you should also ask: Who is his direct replacement? What does his replacement cost? Money and production? Who do we actually sign/go after with that money? What do we pay them? Because when we cut Hyde we are now missing a safety. So for at least a period of time we have a hole at safety, and a weakness at LB and Edge. IMO if we aren’t positive we upgrade those positions, it’s not worth the $5M difference between keeping him and letting him go.