OldTimer1960

No, I think I would still favor Booth over Watson because I think Booth is a better player. Others may like Watson over Booth - I acknowledge that those two are close. But if they reduced the urgency by having a viable vet on the roster before the draft, I could understand picking a player at a position other than corner if that other position is as important as corner and if that other player is better than the available corners. I have no inside information, but it could be that they are looking to trade a vet on the roster (Epenesa?) for a corner. I’m thinking like the deal where the Bills traded a LB who had fallen out of favor here (Kelvin Sheppard) for Jerry Hughes whom the Colts had kind of given up on. I think that your argument has some merit, I just don’t think that Breece Hall or Kenny Walker are anything special. They are decent prospects, but I don’t think they would make that much impact over what Singletary does - I would rather bolster the OL than pick a RB in the 2nd.

Steve Nelson is not currently on the team. My posts are considering current situation, not what might happen. If Nelson or another vet that can start early and challenge Jackson when White gets back signs before the draft, that would reduce the urgency to pick a CB high, though it is still a need.

Agree not optimal to have a rookie start, but it is certainly not unheard of. Greg Rousseau started most of last season - at least I think he did. Spencer Brown started part of the season as well. But isn’t it possible that a rookie is just better than some cheap vet who is likely near the end of his career (hence why he would be cheap enough to fit under the cap)?

I will agree that I don’t want them to reach for a corner, but it isn’t like they can control what vet CBs will sign for and the longer they wait, the fewer that may be available. I am not one of the fans chanting “all in for this year, future be damned”, but from my vantage point they have only a mostly unproven 7th round draft choice who doesn’t have the high-end athletic tools (relative to the NFL) and nobody else to start at corner should Tre White miss the beginning of the season. In this scenario, I think that they need to find a way to address CB in the draft to have someone who could step in at the beginning and not get roasted (maybe not optimally, but better than what is currently on the roster). If that means trading up to secure who they want or trading back into the early 2nd to try to get CB value to match draft position (perhaps for Kyler Gordon), then that is what I think they have to do. An alternative might be to trade for a veteran CB, but they would still have to somehow fit that vet in under the tight cap. Otherwise, I think they risk some damaging losses early if they try to play defense against, say Miami with Jaylon Waddle, Tyreek Hill and Mike Gesicki by playing defense with Dane Jackson and Cam Lewis or Siran Neal lined up with Taron Johnson in the slot corner spot. I don’t think it is a stretch to say that Dane Jackson and Cam Lewis might not even make the roster on several other teams.

IF true and IF signed before the draft, OK, but if not then I think it is foolish to count on that as the draft starts.

You would be mad if they took a player at a premium position of need, who played at a much higher level of competition and was a much more sought after recruit over a high-upside athlete from a much lower level of competition who showed well at the Senior Bowl where the best underclass players are not represented and showed great athleticism at the combine? No debate that receiver is a sneaky need. No debate that long-term competitiveness is the goal. But, if you are “all-in” for SB this year (unwise in my opinion), then Watson would not make sense over Booth. I know that I sound like an alarmist, but in the AFC where an 11-6 team could miss a wild-card spot, I personally think that having to start Jackson and a rookie with high upside like Tariq Woolen could lose you a few critical games early and leave you on the outside of the playoffs. Don’t kid yourself, Miami is dangerous if Tua is even decent, the Pats will always be competitive with Belichick and the Jets have a highly talented young QB and a ton of high value draft picks to improve with. If White misses the first month of the season, somebody better be able to play opposite the anointed, but athletically limited and unproven Dane Jackson. Not saying that Jackson CAN’T be a decent starter, but to think he is proven - especially to think that he is more proven than Gabe Davis at WR is questionable in my mind. I don’t want to see Siran Neal or Cam Lewis starting for the first month and, yes they might sign a vet stop-gap they have not done so yet.

Really enjoy reading your insights. I’ve been a draft fanatic since the early 80s consuming as much on the topic as I can find, yet I acknowledge that I am not very qualified to judge prospects “on the tape” - oh I have opinions, but I recognize that doesn’t make me right.

He has great potential with his physical tools and smarts, but inexperience at LB and level of competition leave him as a projection. I would not want to count on him playing a lot of defensive snaps next year, but long-term he might be very good.

Some of these stats can be misleading. I think his value is in clogging the middle of the field passing lanes with his size and speed. He is not often asked to play man coverage. He also does a good job roaming sideline to sideline on wide runs/short passes. Like all inside LBs, he is affected if the DL allows OL to reach the second level and block him on inside runs. His instincts may not b perfect, but I think the criticism of him on this board is overblown and is born from the misconceptions that all first round picks should be game changers and are slam dunks. i see Edmunds as a good starter that is a positive in the Bills’ preferred zone pass D and can impact outside run game as well. He is not at his best as an inside run stuffer, but if DL can keep him clean, it would help a lot. Now, is that enough to pay him a big contract next year? I’m not sure, but I think that Bills think much more highly of him than this message board does. I know that for his detractors this won’t matter, but he doesn’t turn 24 until this May. That is only a year (for some 2) older than this year’s rookie crop.

I think that Kyler Gordon could be an outside possibility for the Bills. I don’t understand why some have him as a late 2nd rounder - he looks like a fit to my untrained eye. If the Bills take WR or OL in round 1, Gordon would be one guy that I could see trading up in round 2 to pick. Problem is that our draft capital isn’t strong and I’d rather not trade the 3rd to move up in the 2nd, if it could be avoided. I love the upside of Tariq Woolen and Zyon McCollum, but they are risky projections. I do think Woolen will go by mid 2nd.

Not at all like flipping a coin. Flipping a coin 32 time and trying to predict the order of heads and tails would be closer, but easier.

Moving down from 25 to even 10th pick of round 2 would only net maybe a 3rd.

I would prefer to avoid RB before the 3rd at the earliest this year. I’d rather Spiller or Walker later than Breece Hall early. I think 1st -3rd should give priority to CB, WR, OT, OG, TE before I would think about a RB.

What I think many are saying is: 1. The Bills have a gaping hole at CB and it is quite possible that White will miss part of the season. If White misses the first part of the season, the will be counting on a rookie or Cam Lewis to start opposite Dane Jackson (whom I know that you think the Bills love, but many of us are not convinced yet) 2. There are some very good CB prospects in round 1, after that there is a drop off leaves you with either “toolsey” raw prospects (Woolen, McCollum) or guys with not the best physical traits like Emerson, McCreary). 3. If they go with the raw athlete, that player is not starting early and then Cam Lewis is the starter with Jackson on a team that expects to go deep into the playoffs. If they go with someone like Emerson, he might be able to beat out Lewis, but is he athletic enough to really be a long-term answer? 4. If they sign a veteran FA (how they squeeze the cap room is the question), then, of course, the urgency is reduced and I could see waiting to the 2nd to bet on a raw player with top athleticism. 5. I guess it is also possible that they could make a trade for a corner, but again cap room is a problem in this scenario. I think that if they go into the draft without having acquired a veteran corner it will be a risky scenario to not find a corner who is capable of starting early in the season and/or challenge Dane Jackson for the spot opposite White.

The argument that they “developed” Wallace and/or Jackson is marginal. Did they “develop” or did they play because they didn’t have better options. Even if you stand on your point, then you can equally say that Diggs (5th), Davis (4th) and Crowder (4th) were “developed “.

I think Emerson will go earlier than 5th, but most reports I’ve seen have similar criticisms of his speed and quickness and that is a big concern at CB.

I think the only ways that Moore will end up as a Bill is if they trade back out of the first or if he is available at or near pick 57. I can’t see a big move up in the 2nd - the Bills’ “draft capital” is not strong. Anyway, if they like him and he ends up on the team, I’d be fine with it (not that the Bills should care what I think), but I don’t see a star in the making when I watch him.

I’m not opposed to a good OL in the first, but generally you want a T in the 1st not G. I don’t think that any of the top OTs will be around at 25. Would you stretch for Tyler Smith who can play G and then maybe challenge Spencer Brown next year? Do you take Green or Johnson? Greek played some T in college (I think), but he doesn’t look to me like he is capable of doing that in the NFL.

4.41 is a great time and I’m not a scout, but he doesn’t LOOK that fast on film - even against low level competition. More concerning to me is that he doesn’t look super quick either. For sure, NFL scouts are more qualified to assess him as a prospect than I am.

You might be right, but I’m not buying. Allen gives this team a fighting chance every year for the next 7+ years. I don’t want to throw that away for a low probability to win a SB this year.

No thank you. Don’t need to extend credit card debt for the next two years. It would be terrible to have Josh Allen, not win next year and get progressively worse because we mortgaged those draft choices to go “all in” this year. No matter how you slice it, you get to the playoffs and you are lucky to have a 60% chance to win each game against the playoff teams in the stacked AFC. At best you get a first round bye and then have to win 3 straight against very good opponents. At 60% win probability in each game, the chance to win SB is .6x.6x.6= 22% chance to win it all. Now, factor in a major injury this year - do you want to go into ‘23 likely losing starting TE and starting MLB and not have first round picks for the next two years? At that point, you might as well trade Allen for all that you can get, because you’ll have no cap space, lose major contributors and have no top draft picks. I favor the long view - Allen is young and gives you a chance every year for the next 6-7 years if you put decent talent around him.

I don’t understand the hype with Moore. He doesn’t look exceptionally quick when I watch him and while he is pretty thick and has good timed speed, he doesn’t look (to me) like he is blazing fast.

I just don’t think any of these RBs, including Hall and Walker are really “special” prospects. I would not touch either in the first and I would really have to not like any players at other positions left at 57 to take one of the RBs.

Costs a lot to go from Bills’ pick to top of round 2. Their 2nd + 3rd + 4th does not likely get them to the top of the 2nd. That might get you to about pick 38.

I just flat disagree. Every year there are 32 first round picks, if there are not 32 players who fit your definition of “elite”, teams just go with who they think are the best available.