BADOLBILZ

What do YOU actually envision the long term cap consequences being if they sign Hopkins? As a professional numbers person myself..........I'm quite certain the the consequence may be just one very silent offseason where they lose a good young player in UFA and have to cut some veteran defenders they'd prefer not to..........followed by a year with a bottom third of the league defense and the Bills offense having to win a lot of shootouts.........and then the following offseason being back in the market for free agents and balancing the roster again. There isn't going to be any big roster teardown that isn't going to have to come ANYWAY. In the next few years Von, Diggs, Hyde, Poyer, White, Dawkins, Morse, Milano and Taron are all going to age out most likely. They started this ball rolling when they traded the chance at a 21-22 year old rookie WR to get Stefon Diggs. It accelerated their development but sure.......that comes at a cost. You aren't going to get 10 years out of a 26-27 year old acquisition. If they draft smartly and do what it takes to make Josh Allen look like a $50M QB year-in-and-out.........which is easier to pull off when he has a Lombardi trophy to his name...........then they will have access to very good replacement personnel at team friendly prices.

Yeah and Crowder was just a $2M flyer on a player who had missed considerable time due to injuries in 3 of the prior 4 seasons and had a big dropoff in production the year prior. It shouldn't have been a surprise that he got hurt again. Or that OJ Howard was washed. Everyone who had anything to say about OJ Howard said he was toast. Those weren't even half-asssed attempts to add a difference maker to a passing offense that lacked explosiveness and had problems with drops. They simply under-invested in passing game weapons for Josh Allen. And then THIS offseason the options available were much more limited so they ended up overpaying for Harty........a player who should have been a $1.7M flyer himself. It's saying something that the best actual WR that they've added the past two offseasons might be Trent Sherfield. Hopefully Kincaid pans out like we hope as a perma-flexed TE but we won't know until we see how the experiment works.

Yeah if he goes to KC he will be seen as having just gone along for the ride. Those rings are empty. He may not care about that but there is no question about it, IMO. And considering that there hasn't been a REPEAT SB winner in a generation his odds of winning one with Buffalo are probably about the same, all things considered.

No the thought process was definitely wrong. They weren't worse than they had been in the past. They were the same. You don't base expectations off of one game.........which was what Beane and many did with regard to Davis(Chiefs) and McKenzie(Patriots). The Bills had struggled with Davis during the 2021 regular season........he had a horrible game changing drop in Jacksonville in a game that underscored the lack of explosiveness in their short passing game and he had a staggeringly bad 3 catches on 14 targets against the league worst Jets defense at the end of the season...........he was PROVEN inconsistent. And McKenzie had shown A TON of reasons not to trust him in his Bills career. He didn't become a bonehead.......he was always one. They were the same players last season that they had always been........they just got asked to fill bigger roles which magnified their limitations.

I wouldn't even say that was proper use of the term in the colloquial sense. That's more of the "millions of people think poignant sounds like point so that's what they think it means so we have to include it" definition. It does make your take funnier than intended though.

poi·gnant ˈpȯi-nyənt. : painfully affecting the feelings : sharp, piercing. poignant grief. : deeply affecting : touching.

They work pretty closely but I think the personnel stuff is still mostly on Beane and his personnel department.

I'd say not being more aggressive about addressing WR in both the 2021 and 2022 offseasons is #1. There was a point early in 2020 where they had a GREAT WR corps and the impact that had was immense. That should have inspired them to never let that decline. John Brown got hurt part way thru the season and they have never been close to that good again. That lost dynamic killed them during the 2021 regular season and lead to them being on the road in KC when they were otherwise the best team in football..........and ultimately played a huge role in their struggles at the end of last season and the early exit from the playoffs. Followed by Cody Ford..........as an individual draft pick that was the most damaging mistake.........and is also directly related to their still current WR problems. Also the 2018 free agent class was absolutely ghastly for Beane. He wasted upwards of $100M on utter garbage............those mistakes have impacted their cap flexibility ever since.

Yeah if you are expecting any WR that has enough warts to actually hit UFA to have the impact that a franchise QB with a $100M+ in guarantees like Stafford could provide I don't think you really have this "missing piece" thing in context at all. Nobody impacts the game like a QB. The Rams were barely a playoff team in 2020 with Goff/without Stafford........without Stafford they didn't even have a punchers chance going into 2021. That said........Stafford wasn't great until the playoffs when OBJ was at about the same post-surgical place that Tre White was at late last season. The 2021 Rams had a VERY disappointing regular season considering all of the $ investments and future draft capital expended.

Nonsense. Somewhere there was a Green Bay version of you that was saying "this is our decade and a half, going all in this year would be nuts" after they won the SB in 2011. Aaron Rodgers never even reached another Super Bowl in the next 11 seasons despite being the most talented QB in the NFC every year. Meanwhile........Josh Allen plays in a conference loaded with elite young QB talent like Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow, Trevor Lawrence and a bunch of other QB's capable of taking teams to a Super Bowl. If it didn't work out for the Packers with THAT cakewalk of a setup then presuming that it will for the Bills is idiocy.

Meh, don't you know the "Beane is a wizard" movement is dead? When it comes to UFA Beane is a total rando with an objectively terrible decision making track record. When it comes to signing free agents save the wax.......just show us the baby Beane. 😉

AJ Brown was a missing piece for the Eagles last season. They narrowly lost the SB but that acquisition changed them from a wild-card-round-losing type of team to a #1 seed SB team. The year before OBJ rounded into form about 13 months post ACL surgery and was great in the playoffs and the disappointing regular season Rams won a SB where he was trending to be the SB MVP before tearing his ACL. "40 years" is just way, way too far to go back and use as a gauge. For about half of the past 40 years who your RB was actually mattered........which is almost an absurd notion today. There are a lot of things that were a certain way for much of that period that are largely irrelevant to how the game is played now.

Meh. Andy Reid hasn't sustained success for 20+ straight years Ross........he's actually had 5 non-winning seasons. He didn't get fired in Philly because he had a winning season. Also one of the greatest playoff chokers. Even as recently as blowing a 24 point halftime lead in the AFCCG in January 2022. Also blew a 28 point lead in playoffs to the Colts. Lost how many championship games at home? But Reid hung around for a couple decades and finally won a couple SB's with the best player in the league. McDermott has a lot to prove but he's a good decade straight of bad playoff finishes away from choking at Reid's level. Belichick is the best coach in the NFL and it's not even close. Given similar talent he'd continue beating Reid over and over and over in playoff football. He's just on a different level than Andy who is more of a modern day Cowher/Schottenheimer but on the offensive side of the ball.

Marcel Dareus was that size and much more athletic and strong. He similarly got by at whatever weight he wanted to for many years as well..........he was even very good in 2017 and 2018 with Jacksonville despite being grossly out of shape compared to early in his career. Then in 2019 he fell off dramatically. Dareus was the same age then as Dion is now. With few exceptions players reach a point....quite often in their late 20's..........where they gotta' work harder at it just to get the same results. Not sure Dion is doing that.

Sure he can work on losing weight in camp. Your take seems to be that working on honing his skills during the offseason is irrelevant. Is the work of the same value when it's done at 30# over their playing weight? That goes against everything that is ever said about offseason preparation now. We don't want Josh Allen to not pick up a football all offseason..........we want him to go out and train with Jordan Palmer so he can make himself better.

He's ALWAYS round this time of year. It's not news, unfortunately.

Yeah same with Ruben Brown. I heard he was around 230# post career. For the people who just assume that the strength and conditioning people will get the players in the right place so we shouldn't worry about it.........back in the 90's when the Bills also had a revered training staff they still had crazy instances like Ruben Brown deciding to shed 30# or Eric Moulds deciding to add 10# of unnecessary muscle after his great 1998 season. Bad personal decisions that caused immediate drops in their productivity. Ultimately it's up to the players to make smart decisions.

Agree with regard to Spencer Brown. He's pumped up and has talked about how he has had to get up to eat in the middle of the night to maintain bulk. Dawkins is just naturally inclined to get overweight. He's not likely to lose much weight during the season. Spencer Brown will be 240# or less when he retires. Dion will probably be heavier than he is now, IMO. Hopefully his contract year motivation will change that trajectory next offseason but those dudes are not comps on the weight side of things. There are examples of guys who were in the middle..........big and easily capable of carrying weight..........but decided to be healthier and got smaller and that actually diminished their game. Ruben Brown did that. He was a run blocking beast as a 310# rookie. But then he decided to trim down and got as light as 270# and really lost a lot of his ability as a run blocker.

He looked pretty washed at the end of last season but I think maybe the plan is to have veterans on the PS........guys like Klein and Marlowe. Some of the guys they gave guarantees they might have done so with the understanding by both parties that they might end up on the PS. Seems like a way to circumvent the cap and keep veteran depth.

Yeah he's not overpaid and unless he starts getting injured he's probably an average LT over the next two seasons that he is under contract. He's just capable of being better and you'd like to have seen him get serious about being one of the best and staying at LT into his mid-30's. If he had done so by now he probably would have already gotten a big contract extension already. They are letting his deal play out for a reason.

Are you the guy that was claiming that Trent Williams maintains the same condition as Dawkins because they are both "listed" at 330? Because even in these pictures it's very clear that Dawkins is much fatter. Dawkins is more in the 350+ range in June every year. He's got the bingo wings flapping in the OP picture.

He killed it filling in at guard for Incognito as a rookie. Maybe you are right and he's washed up as a run blocker but I don't think so.

That's a bit loaded because there aren't many above average LT's. And he is probably in the worst shape of the other 11. If he were more fit he could be top 5. I suspect he will have another modest decline this season and then find fitness Jesus next offseason as he enters his walk year.

Daylight?

For one, Rousseau is maybe the best DE against the run in the league. He tied for the league lead in run stops for a DL.......a counting stat.......as a rookie in 2021 despite playing only 49% of the snaps. His tackle radius is obscene and with those gigantic hands he does not miss tackles. We've come to take it for granted that ball carriers his way just get tackled.......like an old 16 bit video game. His pass rush game is still developing but he put up excellent pressure and sack numbers there and figures to improve more this season as well. Houston did have a really good numbers season last year but the year before he did not. He's really just an excellent situational pass rusher at this point. His days of playing close to 50% of snaps should be over. I'd say he needs to be around 30% to get the max production. Good fit for the Bills, IMO, but he's really not a starter in the NFL anymore. Ideally though, you have a bendy edge rusher like Von at RDE forcing QB's to step up and then Rousseau can level up and use his elite GPS to stack up sacks. I think Houston is a bit more of closed quarters, hand fighting pass rusher at this point. Lot of his production came from the inside shoulder of the tackle inward this past season.