
All_Pro_Bills
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The initial number gets the headlines and the revisions are footnotes generally ignored. More or less, these jobs reports are fiction. They always have been. Who believes the government knows how many new jobs were created in August on September 1st? These numbers are generated by a model. Models can be programmed to produce whatever result you desire. If you assume the economy is still growing then the model will output higher job growth statistics. If you assume small business birth/death model is in expansion then new businesses are hiring lots of people and the BIS reports big gains. Are new businesses really forming at any positive level? Subjectively, I see a lot of vacant store fronts and closed businesses locally. I don't even see the Amazon, UPS, and FedEx delivery trucks that used to frequent the neighborhood as much. Whether that translates nationally I can't say. What all this means is planners, investors, and others making judgments and decisions on the future of the economy and business in general based on "bad" data input which implies bad decisions. That's why when the economy and the markets crash everyone is going to be completely surprised and asking how the Hell did this happen? Currently, 7 to 10 mega-cap stocks are propping up the markets and hiding the broad weakness of the rest of the market.
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This study was recently published in the Lancet. Its rather tedious reading but a couple takeaways are viral transmission was associated with viral load from the nasal passages rather than the throat and also transmission was associated with visible symptoms. Meaning if somebody isn't visibly sick, they most likely cannot infect others. And the concept of asymptomatic transmission requires more study. My other take, mixed reviews on the benefits of masking. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanmic/article/PIIS2666-5247(23)00101-5/fulltext
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Which kind of proves the Fed's claims of independence are an illusion because under those conditions he could have just said no. IMO, rather than supporting a dual mandate of employment and price stability, the Fed's primary mission at this point is to guarantee there's a pliable market for US government securities needed to fund ever increasing deficits and national debt. My personal business plan is based on the expectation they'll continue on this interest rate hike and credit contraction cycle until something breaks such as a major shock to the economy and the markets. I don't see that event very far off into the future. Lots of indicators are flashing red. I also see the soft landing scenario as consistently repeated delusion. Which will be responded to by lowering rates and increasing liquidity to markets and the economy. The dilemma will be doing this in the face of stubbornly high inflation that just won't go away.
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A major oversight here is how the author fails to implicate the Republican leadership which still doesn't have the stones to play hardball with these characters. They''re still under the false impression the Democrats will self-regulate themselves and stay constrained by rules or law. For starters, McConnell is one of several walking dead member of the Senate and McCarthy is timid and afraid.
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What's fun is using various unpopular topics, such as "COVID vaccines not effective" for a search against various search engines like Google or Bing and then compare how the results are ranked and displayed. You can gather some insights into how specific positive or negative source and stories are displayed and ranked or omitted by the algorithms. I expect if you had some AI powered programs you could perform enough searches to produce enough data and intelligence to more or less reverse engineer the algorithm, identify what sources, authors, and opinions are approved and which are not approved.
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I'd suggest you approach sounds more than reasonable but I'd also argue its mostly theoretical. My major objection is a conclusion that the people running "the algorithms" are not driven by a desire to protect the truth. They're driven by self-interest. And when both those factors align it works as you might suggest. But when they don't align, it doesn't. And it doesn't many times.
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None of that is unique to X (Twitter). Social media platforms censor for various regimes. Google and other applications perform censorship tasks for the CCP. ISP's block external content and websites so governments can control media and messaging their subjects can receive. EU censorship rules require social media platforms to do the bidding of governments and multi-nation government entities like the EU. Or face fines and other consequences for disobedience to their rules. Social media platforms in the US work with government agencies and entities to control messaging. The problem isn't Musk, or Google, or Facebook, or ISP's. And the only reason Musk is getting called out is because he's a generally uncooperative torn in the side of the regime. The problem is authoritarian government policies and regimes. Slowly freedom of thought and expression are being strangled while everyone focuses on petty disagreements.
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The economy and the markets are about to fall off a cliff at the same time inflation will begin to accelerate, we'll experience another debt ceiling debate, higher out of control deficits, and larger and larger interest payments eating up the annual budget. 70' stagflation style but without any remedy. When that happens lots of people are going to be unhappy. Lots of them Democrats. That will pretty much put an end to the Joe Biden experiment.
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Vivek Ramaswamy for president 2024?
All_Pro_Bills replied to JaCrispy's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Identification is an irrelevant exercise in self-delusion. Its denial of reality. The core concept governing the neo-liberal belief system. Reality is you are what you are. Period. Can I be any clearer? Or am I still ranting? -
OT…Now the Jets are the 85 Bears
All_Pro_Bills replied to 78thealltimegreat's topic in The Stadium Wall
All that swagger and yet the betting line is what? Bills - 2.5 on the road to open the season. -
I mentioned it before Jerod's father was a big Democratic party donor. That is probably why DOJ under Garland hasn't investigated this arrangement. Comically, many cling to the belief the Democrats are ethically and morally above such acts but they are truly corrupt snd morally bankrupt through and through. And what y'all are getting for supporting it all beyond being taken for the ride of your life is unclear. That's not to say the other side is clean. They're dirty too. It's not a left vs right thing anymore. It's you tolerate and accept big corrupt government or you don't. That's the divide here.
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Vivek Ramaswamy for president 2024?
All_Pro_Bills replied to JaCrispy's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
You're mind is malfunctioning. I'm just mocking and making fun of some of the crazy crap you guys believe. It's irrational and insane. Identify with being a Bee and buzz off! -
Vivek Ramaswamy for president 2024?
All_Pro_Bills replied to JaCrispy's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
POC? Democrats are officially proclaiming him a White supremacist. Which means he's been upgraded from fringe candidate to troublemaker. Anyway, based on liberal ideology he can identify as being anything he pleases. POC, white, green Martian, anything. No limits or boundaries. -
Most poor districts fail their students for a few reasons. A couple. People in poverty, the middle class, and the wealthy "think" differently. Most school curriculums are designed by teachers and administrators with a middle class mindset. If you're from a poor family where survival is day to day, education and the future are not priorities.
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America First is now Russia First
All_Pro_Bills replied to BillStime's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Right at the time of Biden's inauguration I loaded up on oil & gas stocks and funds because I surmised his big spending policies would be supportive of higher inflation and higher energy prices and more than doubled my investment in a year while getting healthy dividend payments along the way. Close to triple now. Thank you Brandon! -
America First is now Russia First
All_Pro_Bills replied to BillStime's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
What exactly are you winning? Is Joe cutting you in on a piece of his 10%? Are you on the DNC's payroll or compensated by some NGO? Otherwise, you're just some small fry poster on a msg board like everyone else here. -
America First is now Russia First
All_Pro_Bills replied to BillStime's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Says the guy that was banging a known Chinese spy. When he was pumping her, she was pumping him for lots of intel. He's the last person that should open their mouth about being an intelligence asset. The guys a tool and a fool. Hoax. -
Or maybe you have a blind spot and can only envision that associates of Trump are engaged in shady activities while Democrats such as the Biden crime family are squeaky clean unless they personally supply a notarized written confession with a complete ledger of payments and accounts witnessed by 100 independent auditors filmed live by all the major networks?