SageAgainstTheMachine

This couldn’t be a more classic pros vs joes match for bettors. The narrative is out there for casuals about the Bills losing big playoff games meanwhile the analytics suggest we’re superior by a pretty wide margin.

This team hasn't lost by double digits since November...of 2021. Just go find a different team if you irrationally hate this one so much.

I don't know...a flying elbow into the back of a guy's head who's lying down out of bounds after the whistle's blown? I haven't seen much worse.

I think the big mistake we make with Josh here is comparing his 2022 regular season only to the 2021 playoffs and not the 2021 regular season. It's a recency bias thing and after watching the perfect game against NE and the shootout against KC we started unrealistically expecting mistake free games littered all over the place.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_g3Ddltjpn4 One of the dirtiest plays ever and against Tre of all people. You like him after that?

Gronk can go to hell.

He’s a cheating, luckbox douche. He’s also worked hard enough to have a career that spans 23 years and counting. People are more than one thing and I do respect aspects of him.

I actually thought this might happen until Florio said so. Now I think it won’t.

Nah he's about to play 3 more seasons for the Texans or something.

Everyone who bet the Under 45.5 just felt their sphincter tighten.

Terrible ending to a really good football weekend. Hope this isn't serious.

He...he can't hurt you now. 53 pass attempts, 9 rushes. That's how you score 6 points.

Todd Bowles is coaching his first and last playoff game.

I bet there's never been a game with 5 consecutive TDs where no extra point was scored.

Tampa could have gone 5-12 in a competitive division. Dallas is a good team but I think they'll be run over by the freight train that is the 49ers.

I know he's actually on the Bears but I like to think Peterman will come in.

He still threw for almost 4,700 yards this year. He's better than at least a dozen starting QBs so if he wants to be an NFL starter he will be. That said, I want him in our division and to take his ass down.

Please let Brady go to Miami next year. Please...

What if it's overturned because he was actually down?

Tyler Bass has 4 missed extra points in his career.

Nothing would make me happier than to be wrong! One of my favorite all time Bills.

Yep. Tre has advanced into the "wily veteran" stage of his career. Plenty of value on the field but no longer a guy who puts WRs on an island.

Agreed. I was thinking of an analogy to baseball earlier today. Modern analytics have shown that teams actually score quite a few more runs by embracing a higher variance strategy of hitting more home runs and striking out more, which is counterintuitive to the classic strategy of having a couple power hitters and filling out the rest of your lineup with guys who will hit singles, bunt, steal bases, hit and run, etc. Old hats still consider the latter to be the "right" way to play the game but statistics show it doesn't actually work. Of course, even within that paradigm, there come plenty of game situations where it's best not to swing for the fences. Runner on 2nd and nobody out in a tie game? Yeah, move him over to 3rd. Just like Josh probably shouldn't have thrown those two bombs down the sideline when we wanted to chew clock midway through the 4th quarter.

I think he'll blow by 276 easily.

3 Saturday games and 3 Sunday games is a perfectly fine option.