Buffalo Sabres and the NHL: 2025 - 2026. Sabres already eliminated from playoffs.

[PromoTheRobot]

Someone might have to re-edit that thread title.

2 hours ago, AlCowlingsTaxiService said:

Not quite ready to jump back on the bandwagon … we’ve had winning streaks before and we all know the end result. I’ll pay attention, but talk to me around thanksgiving and we’ll see where we are. 

 

Do you actually watch the games? 

 

It's not a mystery. The Sabres are becoming a hard team to play against. The Granato teams were fast but soft as a baby's butt. They were clumsy when pressed and would cough up pucks which turned into numerous odd man rushes every game. And no one came back to play defense.

 

This team is nothing like that. 

 

 

Edited Sunday at 03:17 PM by PromoTheRobot

[AlCowlingsTaxiService]

8 minutes ago, PromoTheRobot said:

Someone might have to re-edit that thread title.

 

Do you actually watch the games? 

 

 

I’m sure you were planning a Stanley Cup parade after our ten game winning streak too, right? No, I don’t watch games at home anymore, I will watch when I’m out at a bar/restaurant however, but what’s your point? You think all is well after one two game winning “streak”?

[PromoTheRobot]

6 minutes ago, AlCowlingsTaxiService said:

I’m sure you were planning a Stanley Cup parade after our ten game winning streak too, right? No, I don’t watch games at home anymore, I will watch when I’m out at a bar/restaurant however, but what’s your point? You think all is well after one two game winning “streak”?

 

My point is passing judgement on a team without actually seeing what they are doing is a bit silly.

[Augie]

I suppose it’s too soon to work on being eliminated from next year’s playoffs. What do we do now? 

[That's No Moon]

3 hours ago, AlCowlingsTaxiService said:

Not quite ready to jump back on the bandwagon … we’ve had winning streaks before and we all know the end result. I’ll pay attention, but talk to me around thanksgiving and we’ll see where we are. 

Thanksgiving? More like President's Day. Minimum.

1 hour ago, PromoTheRobot said:

This team is nothing like that. 

For two games. Before that the coach completely and utterly hated their compete level to the point where he said it publicly. I get it though, water to a man in the desert and all that.

37 minutes ago, Augie said:

I suppose it’s too soon to work on being eliminated from next year’s playoffs. What do we do now? 

Well, they're almost guaranteed to have a new coach next year and they seem to have anointed the successor already so Kev is getting some work in on that front.

[oldmanfan]

Played really good the last two.  Keep working hard every shift and keep it going

[That's No Moon]

I watched the third on a whim tonight. What's drastically different?

[PromoTheRobot]

10 minutes ago, That's No Moon said:

I watched the third on a whim tonight. What's drastically different?

 

The compete level. The effort on defense. So you drop in, look at the score, and think you know?

[That's No Moon]

7 minutes ago, PromoTheRobot said:

 

The compete level. The effort on defense. So you drop in, look at the score, and think you know?

Like I said, I watched the third. Looked pretty much the same.

[PromoTheRobot]

21 minutes ago, That's No Moon said:

Like I said, I watched the third. Looked pretty much the same.

 

Yeah. They lost. It's same. No need to watch anymore.

[That's No Moon]

1 minute ago, PromoTheRobot said:

 

Yeah. They lost. It's same. No need to watch anymore.

They took a game that was 1-1 and got outworked and outshot for at least the first 11 minutes of that period and turned it into a 3-1 deficit. Yup. Pretty much the same.

 

They scored a goal and evened up the shot count after they were down 2. Krebs shoved a guy and Thompson got himself taken off the ice when they needed a goal so I guess that makes them harder to play against. Great. Lost multiple offensive zone faceoffs in the last couple minutes when they were trying to tie it up. That seems familiar, but faceoffs don't matter.

 

Benson I don't hate. Dahlin is still Dahlin. Whatever. FWIW you sound like the person who keeps taking their ex back who treats them like crap then tells their friends they just don't understand them and it will be totally different this time.

 

 

[QCity]

1 hour ago, That's No Moon said:

What's drastically different?

 

The goaltending, which was supposed to suck, has been stellar thanks to Lyon (2.44 GA .924 SV%)

 

Our 2 big goal scorers, Tage and Tuch, have been pretty much MIA.

 

Lots of differences, same results.

[Pete]

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DI4aeARTeoe/?igsh=aHp6bjhlMHc2bW93

[That's No Moon]

7 hours ago, QCity said:

 

The goaltending, which was supposed to suck, has been stellar thanks to Lyon (2.44 GA .924 SV%)

Which are both well above his career numbers so a regression is coming at some point.

[boater]

1 hour ago, That's No Moon said:

Which are both well above his career numbers so a regression is coming at some point.

 

Yep. Even Google AI thinks so.

 

Quote

Why regression to the mean happens.

 

A goalie's performance is not a fixed, predictable outcome but a product of both their underlying skill and the random element of luck. 

 

Performance vs. ability: A goalie's performance in any given game will fluctuate above or below their true skill level. A spectacular stretch of games is often a period where a high level of skill is amplified by a run of good luck.

 

Luck is unsustainable: Factors like lucky bounces, opponent misses, and timely post-hits contribute to an exceptionally high save percentage. Since this level of good luck is not repeatable, performance will inevitably drift back toward the established average.

 

Small sample size: A "couple of really good games" represents a very small sample size of performance. The smaller the sample, the greater the statistical chance of having an extreme result that doesn't reflect the long-term trend.

 

Goaltending is inconsistent: Year-to-year goaltender performance is notoriously difficult to predict, which underscores the role of random chance. Even elite goalies can follow up a Vezina-caliber season with a mediocre one

 

[Jauronimo]

6 hours ago, boater said:

 

Yep. Even Google AI thinks so.

 

 

Google AI just presented the definition of the term "regression to the mean". AI did not predict anything about Lyon's play.