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Everything posted by BillsVet
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And yet, some fans think this spending spree and a big armed young QB somehow will lead to a high-flying aerial offense. I'll believe it when I see it. I thought it was noteworthy that McD came out at the combine after weeks of radio silence and talked about needing to score at least 21 points per. No doubt he understood he's criticized for being a defensive based HC and wanted to pre-emptively blunt any talk of what he really is. I predict McCoach will fall back on what he's comfortable with, the offense will be run based and feature 20-25 mostly safe throws with a reliance on the defense to keep teams to ~20 points per. Not a whole lot different than his predecessors.
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Have never understood why McBeane equally prioritize receiving and blocking skills. That mindset eliminates prospects who may offer something in the receiving game and can improve on blocking technique. To that point, Knox sounds like he is an adept blocker, but struggles with injuries and of course that occurred in TC. At this point, I'd say the best TE in franchise history was Ernie Warlick and we're going back 50+ years. Not surprisingly, they didn't take a TE in the 3rd or higher since 2006 until this year as several teams valued finding a top receiver type.
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What if Matt Barkley gets hurt?
BillsVet replied to mushypeaches's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Collective Bills' fan anxiety increases every year. Now, it's spread to what happens if the backup QB gets hurt...with a healthy Josh Allen. LOL In keeping with that topic, what happens if the holder gets hurt? What happens if Daboll goes back to Alabama? What if Terry Pegula's head melts off his head? This is the appropriate time to say, "Don't worry, be happy" -
Amateur and Pro offensive personnel decisions under McBeane were mediocre in 2017-18. I put much of that on McD's decision to rebuild the defense first, which left fewer UFA dollars for offense. It's why the offense was historically inept last season. It's not just letting Watkins and Woods go. It's not just starting Peterman to begin 2018. It's not just the 2017 and 18 UFA groups. It's that they thought they could get by offensively without really investing in upgrades on that side of the ball the first 2 off-seasons of this rebuild. The 2019 offensive UFAs better be a home run to make up for the previous 2 years. Kroft and Morse being hurt this early is another red flag on this leadership group. I get that people want to trust these guys until it's abundantly clear they failed. They talk a good game, but a fan can start hedging their bets on McBeane three off-seasons into their tenure.
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Think Beane invested 11M per and hedged that bet with two guys on effectively 1 year deals? The Trent Williams train derailed before you posted that thread the other day. It has nothing to do with their situation at center. They're not adding that salary for a veteran player with an injury history on a team that's invested high picks in Dawkins, Ford, and UFA dollars for Nsekhe.
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Bills dead cap number '18 to '19
BillsVet replied to PromoTheRobot's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
No QB? Two QBs were on the board at 10 in 2017 when McD elected to trade down. Say no one knew those 2 would be very good to outstanding. Or, that we needed a CB (after letting Gilmore walk). Say whatever you want. The HC abdicated on a decision to find a QB to put behind TT in 2017 so that he could draft a defensive player. You don't delay drafting a QB. You get aggressive because it's the major difference between mediocrity and success. Their rebuild has failed if they go 8-8 in 2019. By comparison, their predecessors first 3 years (2013-15 Whaley/Marrone/Rex) had the same record (23-25) and we know how that story ended. If you're not improving, then it's regression. And after clearing all the dead cap unwanted players, drafting their franchise QB, investing significantly in the defense, and buying much of their offense I'd say 8-8 is failure for that reason. As for continuity, a lot of you don't understand how the corporate world works. If you don't get results quickly, you're toast. It's why senior executives have a limited shelf life if their departments aren't meeting objectives and the NFL is not much different. Three years is an eternity to get results, as evidenced by the multiple teams who've succeeded without following the McBeane self-imposed tear-down script. -
Bills dead cap number '18 to '19
BillsVet replied to PromoTheRobot's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Ownership sees the same things fans do. And I doubt the former would ignore the latter if results truly matter. -
Bills dead cap number '18 to '19
BillsVet replied to PromoTheRobot's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
"Short timeframe?" Two off-seasons and 32 games into McBeane's tenure is not what I consider short, particularly when you're 15-17. It's almost necessary for most franchises to rebuild quickly because their fan base will not tolerate a 6-10 with little on offense in the second year. For comparisons sake, here's 7 teams in recent years who far exceeded Buffalo's 15-17 start: KC: 2-14 in 2012, goes 31-17 from 2013-15 with 2 playoff appearances HOU: 2-14 in 2013, goes 27-21 from 2014-16 with 2 playoff appearances LAC: 5-11 in 2016, goes 21-11 in 2017-18 with 1 playoff appearance that saw them advance to AFC Championship PHI: 7-9 in 2015, goes 29-19 in 2016-18 with 2 playoff appearances including a SB win MIN: 5-10-1 in 2013, goes 26-22 first 3 seasons with 1 playoff appearances LAR: 4-12 in 2016, goes 24-8 first 2 seasons with 2 playoff appearances with a SB appearance SEA: 5-11 in 2009, goes 25-23 first 3 seasons with 2 playoff appearances and a SB in year 5 None of those teams decided to spend 2 seasons on a complete tear down. McBeane don't get credit for slow-walking a rebuild, but I can tell you their seat is warming if this team doesn't get off to a good start after that off-season and having so much trust from ownership. -
So many reasons not to trade for Williams. First, is you invested a 2nd round pick in Dawkins to be, apparently, your LT. Pushing your drafted players down the (edit: depth) chart on team-friendly contracts in favor of a 10th year veteran getting paid big dollars is not a solid idea. And then there's compensation. People throw 3rd round picks around here like they're nothing. All for a guy who has a lot of mileage on him. Sometimes I think fans here think NFL teams are built like their fantasy roster. With random and out of left-field strategy.
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Tre White changed his twitter avatar to Brandon Beane ?
BillsVet replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Tre must be using this as a negotiating tactic in advance of contract extension talks after his season. Not sure how this works in his favor, but maybe Beane can highlight this when talks open up. -
Talent trumps chemistry every time, although with a HC who is a strong leader and understands his people assembling multiple big talent players with egos can work. Let's wait and see if Freddie Kitchens has the ability to manage these egos before predicting they'll crash and burn. Ultimately, I think criticism of teams like Cleveland (at this point) is a sort of Bills fan inferiority complex. It's so predictable here over the years for some fans to try and drag down other teams because the Bills aren't exceptionally talented. They do have players with potential, but no All-Pro caliber and few Pro Bowl players yet. People hope young players like Allen, Edmunds, Oliver, and Tre will become that, but they're not proven. We're going to find out this year whether McBeane's roster (and it's theirs now) has the talent to win 10+ games and get to the playoffs. Because having lesser talented players who buy-in to the HC's culture isn't enough to do that.
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Bills 2017 Draft - It Might Be Really Good
BillsVet replied to BillsfaninSB's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Let's be clear. In 2017, McDermott drafted: 1. A good zone CB after trading out of 10 with a major issue at QB and 2 on the board. Nice player for sure, but isn't better than the guy he replaced in Gilmore. 2. A WR who collects his stats when games are out of control and will compete with a UDFA to play behind two 2019 UFAs. Not better than Robert Woods and that's not changing. 3. A LT who took a step back in his second season. 4. A talented Will that has ended his first 2 seasons on the IR. It's not the foundational draft that some here talked about it being. Still, drafts can artificially look good when you've got 1-2 more high round picks. This reminds me of 2006 when people championed that draft early, but saw the careers of Whitner, McCargo, Youboty, and Ko Simpson either flat line or plateau into average. Long term, only Kyle Williams was an impact player. The 2017 class isn't a home run - at least not yet. If McCoach's seat starts getting warmer, the refusal to take a QB in '17 will take on a lot more focus. -
Baldy's Breakdown (Tremaine Edmunds)
BillsVet replied to Buffalo716's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
We're going to find out this season whether the McBeane strategy to invest big draft resources in their defensive players will pan out. This is year 3 of McD and him building his defense and he can't afford guys like Edmunds not playing at anything less than a Pro Bowl level. Lotta hype and hope this time of year. -
The lengths you'll go to excuse players who've not proven themselves is amazing. Writing off 2 off-seasons for Zay? If you're doing that, may as well do it for every player who undergoes off-season surgery. Morse, Beasley, and others have had procedures done that have impacted their prep for 2019. Can we apply the same perspective to them? Frankly, I don't care what ZJ did at Coastal Carolina. As a noted poster refers to him here, "Drop-Zone" Jones has a looooong way to go before securing even a supporting role on this team. A quick review of his 2018 output reveals ZJ accumulated much of his stats when games were out of hand. His 2 biggest games took place in blowout wins at NYJ and versus MIA. And worse, when Allen started to show some signs of his potential late in the season, Zay wasn't exactly his guy and that remained the case in the final 6 games of the season. Over those contests, ZJ was targeted 43 times by Allen and managed 19 receptions for 260 yards. For a guy late into his 2nd season that's not exactly what you look for in a 2nd round pick they traded up for. And, this season those short yardage catches ZJ's been making are going to start heading Beasley's way. The question is, where does ZJ fit in with Brown, Beasley, and Foster on this roster? I'm guessing if he doesn't show some significant improvement in camp he'll be finding himself 4th or 5th on the depth chart, particularly if Foster continues to excel.
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Except no one in the NFL does a complete tear-down when it's not required. This reminds me of a Bum Phillips quote about Bear Bryant: "Bryant can take his'n and beat your'n, aand then he can turn around and take your'n and beat his'n." Yet, in Buffalo McD couldn't win long term without eliminating all the difficult personalities from OBD. Most fans don't get that taking 2 years to get ready to compete is a waste as evidenced by the fact that solid organizations simply don't do it. They take what they've got and make the most of it, using roster tweaks and changing the roster over time. No one blows it up and then sells the fan base on how necessary it was to shed so much salary so quickly. Let us "complainers" know when you're going to have a decent take. 43k+ posts and I can't remember the last good one.
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Billfrom NYC is correct. My point was that the two senior leaders of football ops - McBeane - are the same ones here for all 3 seasons. In short, the dudes who make final decisions and have charted a course for this organization remain in power. The one subject that's impossible to convince people about, hence this 80+ page thread, is a criticism of strategic decision making. I see people talking throughout who simply do not understand that, absent result, McBeane's decisions will be scrutinized and "trust the process" isn't sufficient.
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The same guys who brought forth the 2017 and 2018 seasons are here for 2019. They have a lot to prove in 2019 and have only increased expectations with the UFA spending spree. Even minus those acquisitions, you expect to see a playoff run in year 3 if not earlier. That said, I see plenty of fans pulling back on expectations because the thought of being wrong is not anything they can contemplate. Easier to predict 8-8 and get 10 wins that risk one's ego and predict 10-6 only to witness a 7-9.
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That's the crux of what's being debated here (at least in some cases). McBeane have made enough less than stellar decisions to cause concern that their "process" isn't all it's been advertised to be. Plenty of people seem willing to forget the bad moves in 2017-18 because they spent big dollars on UFAs in 2019. For all the plaudits McCoach receives for defense, his offensive decision making is at best suspect. And both he and Beane will be even more under the gun if Allen doesn't improve tremendously in year 2. The jury's out on McBeane. By no means have they proven anything in Buffalo as a HC and GM. They need to make the playoffs in year 3 or it's been a waste of time.
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Is this supposed to be a rebuttal of someone responding to you? Because if it is, I'm thinking you did not perform well in Debate Class. I don't think McD takes the job without extracting a guarantee from the Pegula's about unprecedented personnel authority. That they gave it to him with his track record is still surprising. To go from hiring Rex to two years later going to the other end of the Spectrum in McD is amazing. And yet, record-wise they were the same after 2 seasons. And, this revolving door that is "the process" will proceed through more iterations before the season is over.
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Is Toronto Raptors success bad for Buffalo?
BillsVet replied to major's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
This thread deserves another mention of the '86 SNL sketch with William Shatner talking to Trekkies. . -
Kevin Johnson making strong push for #2 CB
BillsVet replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Making a push for a starting role...in June? Camp cannot start soon enough. -
Amazing to think that TBN let go or had resign on them Sullivan, Gleason, Vogl, DiCesare, and Graham within a couple weeks this time last year. I'm sure a few of those moves were prompted by a certain two teams' ownership not liking the coverage received concerning their underperforming clubs. To that point, their ownership had resulted in 1 playoff appearance over 10 full seasons. But in the warped world we live in, negative attention to teams that don't win is not permitted.