Chilly

I went to this tailgate in 2019 and am going again this year. 100% worth it IMO. Awesome time. Tailgating in Nashville isn't really a thing and you can just walk to the stadium, so either just hang out at the bars or do the Nashville Bills Backers tailgate. That game in 2019 was one of the most fun times I've ever had at a game. Literally Buffalo in a different city. Hope we recreate it again this year. I'm flying in from Austin on Saturday.

Specifically, the NFL Draft is going to be held at the new Caesars Conference Center being built near The LINQ. Here's what the prototypes look like, they broke ground a while ago: https://vitalvegas.com/caesars-entertainment-convention-center/

I'll be there! They're in the middle of a cost cutting measure called "MGM 2020" to avoid a hostile takeover like what Carl Ichan is doing to Caesars at the moment. I'm staying at Aria for opening NFL weekend this year without any regrets. Overall, MGM properties are still way better than Caesars for me (outside of Planet Hollywood, which I also love). I'm not a big Wynn or Venetian fan.

I think the biggest thing is the Bills need to declare a winner between AJ and NP, even if it's just internally. Demote one to running with the 3rd string, make sure you're planned 1st string guy gets enough reps, run Allen with the 2s unless he ends up killing it the rest of camp and you start him.

I love smart watches. It's sooo helpful at work, can glance at notifications in meetings and ignore / respond if needed. I also love it as a Golf GPS device. I'm currently using a Garmin Vivoactive 3. It's fantastic.

Alex Smith this past year.

If you want a really easy experience, I just sold my old car to Carvana. Higher value than trade-in (but not private seller), you give them a little info online, they come to your house, give you a check, and take it away. It was awesome.

Suh. Meets a need and doesn't cost a compensatory pick.

I love love love this idea. Pick up Tyrod's option, let Lamar Jackson sit for a year, and keep the other 1st round pick. Perfect draft for me!

I am also foregoing my eligibility and entering the NFL draft next year.

A second-rounder for Foles feels dead on to me from a buyer's point of view. These are the scenarios I see for Foles: 1.) We re-sign him immediately, he's everything we hope for, and while awesome, our cap structure has instantly become the same as teams with Star QBs. 2.) We re-sign him immediately, he doesn't repeat last season, and our cap is totally screwed for a few years. 3.) We trade for him, start him, he's awesome, and now we risk him being a 1-year rental or having to franchise him and our cap structure is again the same as teams with Star QBs. 4.) We trade for him, start him, he sucks and we let him go, losing our compensation for nothing. That's a lot of risk for the buyer to take on. Compare that to one of the potential 6 first-round options at QB, where they are either awful and you let them go, or solid and cost-controlled for 5 years to use the $$$$ to build the team around them. Plus, Foles will give you 5-8 years, while a first-round QB could potentially give you 10-15. I get that Foles had a great playoff year, but he hasn't exactly proven it outside of that situation and I'd rather take my shot on a rookie unless the price is right on Foles. If I was the Eagles, I'd probably just keep him over a 2nd rounder, so I'm not sure a deal will realistically get done.

Because NFL scouts have such a great track record when it comes to evaluating QBs

Lamar Jackson at #22 would be ideal to me.

What's another 18 years?

Section 122! Btw, people are saying on Reddit that the security lines get ridiculously long even with tarps and to get to the stadium REALLY early.

Lyft/Uber are available in JAX. Should be cheap to get to the Bills party via them if you want to go and not have to drive.

Darnold officially declared:

Unfortunately, 26 is right: http://www.philly.com/philly/columnists/ronnie_polaneczky/super-bowl-watch-party-nfl-eagles-opinion-20171110.html

There were 256 losses and 256 wins in the NFL this year (no ties). Of the losses, here's how they break down: 1-9 points - 50.4% 10-19 points - 27.3% 20-29 points - 18% 30-39 points - 3.5% 40+ points - 0.8% Bills losses looked like this: 1-9 Points (2 losses, 29% of losses): Panthers (6 Points) Bengals (4 Points) 10-19 Points (1 loss, 14% of losses): Jets (13 Points) 20-29 Points (2 losses, 29% of losses): Patriots (20 Points) Patriots (21 Points) 30-39 Points (3 losses, 43% of losses): Sants (37 Points) Chargers (30 Points) When the Bills were bad, they were really bad, and way worse than the NFL on average. I'm sure those losses that got away from them are causing the metrics to look really bad. Especially because DVOA takes into account game situations, and the later in the game it is, I'm sure it penalizes you for it. I do think this likely means that the Bills generally have times when they get into matchup issues and it kills them. But I like the matchup vs the Jags. Call me crazy, but I think it's going to be a very defensive game, and because of that, I'll take the QB that doesn't act like a moron.

We're doing the Orlando thing. Rental cars were cheap enough.

Info on Pinto Kenny's Saturday night party & Sunday tailgate here. They're gonna be in Lot X. I'll be there. Managed to snag two tickets, section 122, 4 rows up before prices skyrocketed. Had to fly in and out through Orlando for it to be cheap enough and rent a car, but I'll be there!!

Bingo! Go Bills!

This regime is terrible. Boneheaded decision after boneheaded decision. There's no way that McDermott hasn't completely lost this team. They got rid of player after player this offseason. He benched their only decent QB for a 5th round rookie disaster. It's like they were winning too much so they decided to tank. Then, to come out today, and say Peterman did some "darn good" things, not commit to Tyrod, not take responsibility for making a terrible decision, but say that you are evaluating? Seriously? I realize probably the worst thing you can do is make a knee-jerk reaction to a coach and not let them establish their systems, and the Bills have done that WAY too much, but when you lose the team 11 weeks in on a decision like this, I think it's time for a change.

For NFL experiences, I love traveling to Bills home games. London was amazing outside of EJ Manuel, and I really enjoyed Cleveland as well, again outside of EJ Manuel. I need to get to GB, top of my list.

Well yeah, that's the way spreads work. 6 points on a field flip, so NO -8.5 if they are at home. That feels too high to me, I don't think either team should be favored by more than a TD here. I like the Bills +2.5 but not necessarily to win the game; this is going to be a close one.