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Everything posted by dave mcbride
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The Bills need to keep Duke Williams
dave mcbride replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I don’t know, honestly. Maybe that’s it, but if he was hurt, wouldn’t he be inactive rather than playing 2 snaps? -
The Bills need to keep Duke Williams
dave mcbride replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I don’t have a good feeling at all about Foster. I really think that 2 snaps is not a good sign, especially when all of the other starters saw a lot more. -
Lol. Btw, were you involved with the Chancellorsville episode in June?
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Would you trade a 1 for Zeke?
dave mcbride replied to 78thealltimegreat's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
But that's the system that the players negotiated! The change to the rookie salary structure was made in large part because unproven players drafted in the first round were getting massive - and in retrospect often ridiculous - contracts at the expense of proven players. From an individual perspective, Elliott can certainly make the case that he's underpaid relative to his production, but in truth he's "underpaid" for sound structural reasons. The current system is far more rational than the previous one with regard to how player salary dollars are allocated. Elliott's unique misfortune is that he's a running back, and he fears that he won't be able to capitalize on his elite skills because elite running backs don't have long shelf lives relative to other players. But he's one person, and his argument amounts to a fight against a greater good -- i.e., a more rational allocation of salary dollars based on actual (not projected) NFL-level production across all positions. Don't ever forget the days when a guy like Charles Rodgers deposited a $14.4 million check when he signed his first rookie contract or when Cedric Benson deposited a $16 million bonus check when he signed his first contract. And christ - it's not as if the players overall are receiving less than before. Collectively, they're doing pretty darn well. -
Call me soft, but I think it should be a misdemeanor. Our drug laws are nuts. If it's his first offense, he shouldn't sit at all. Not sure if it is, of course. Anyway, that Bills team in the late 1980s was pretty out of control. Let's not forget that.
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I have to laugh at all of those here passing judgment on Chung for getting caught with a little blow while remaining Bruce Smith and Jim Kelly fans.
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The Bills essentially paid $65-66 million for three seasons of near-elite to truly elite production from a premier position (pass rushing DE). That is a very good deal in today's NFL, all things considered.
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Fair enough. I look at the Bills, and given my worry that they'll go 3-3 in the division, the road looks pretty tough: games against Dallas (at Dallas on Thanksgiving), Philly, at Pittsburgh, at Cleveland, Baltimore, and at Tennessee are all tough on paper. All had winning records last season except Cleveland, which went 7-8-1 and was playing really well in the second half. Plus Cleveland upgraded their already impressive talent. They have to go 3-3 in those games and hope they sweep the rest. It's not easy. Don't get me wrong - I like what the Bills have done and think they have a shot at 10-6. It's just a tough road ahead.
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I don't have a strong opinion about Detroit. It all comes down to Stafford, who is the second best QB in that division. I could see them getting in because of that and a very good defensive front, and I could see them going 6-10. Fwiw, I thought that Patricia had some great defensive game plans last season (although they were really inconsistent). His scheme was the first to shut down Josh Allen's run game by flooding the shallow zones on pass plays, and he wrote the book on slowing down the Rams even though Detroit lost that game. He also had a great game plan against NE, who Detroit thrashed. I also think people here are underrating the Jets. They might not get into the playoffs, but I could see 8-8 (with one of those victories being over the Bills). They have real issues, but they have a number of studs.
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Barnwell watches football. He's a good analyst, and he backed up his argument with evidence. I'm more bullish on the Bills than him, but it is the case that the Bills offense was truly abysmal last season and that the QB had accuracy issues. Assuming everything is going to change for the better is what homers do.
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In the last 8 years, the AFC east has two WC appearances (Dolphins in 2016 and Bills in 2017), which is way below what it should be statistically. Turns out going 0-2 vs. NE and splitting against the better of the other two divisional opponents (which will be the Jets this year for the Bills; they are better than people here think) perpetually gets you to 3-3 in the division. That means you have to go 7-3 against everyone else. In the NFC North, everyone has a shot. GB, Minnesota, and Chicago have all won the division in the past three seasons.
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So much of this comes down to whether you think Allen is better than Darnold or vice versa. I like Allen, but I always liked Darnold more, and I think Darnold is going to be very good. That's not to say that Allen won't be very good! But I think most observers see a lot more in Darnold than they do in Allen, at least at this point. And that's sensible. I also continue to strongly believe that the Bills loved Darnold and would have loved to have taken him. Bottom line: the Jets have their problems, but winning and losing depends so much on QB play/talent. That's why people aren't as down on the Jets as some of us here think they should be. Um ... there is a team in the Bills division that regularly wins it walking away, making it impossible for any other team to get in except via the wildcard.
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His performance against Washington in 2016 was the most inexcusable performance by a Bills player I have ever seen, especially given how much money he was making. He’s a dope and narcissist. No excuses for that guy.
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Would you trade a 1 for Zeke?
dave mcbride replied to 78thealltimegreat's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Shady is a lot better than he looked last season, when he was being hit five yards behind the LOS every other play (seriously) - a function of a historically bad line and an abysmal passing attack. Evaluations of his play last season by pundits were SO stupid. On passing plays, he pretty much showed that he was still the same elusive, fast player as he ever was. He has been an elite, HOF-level RB up until now, and assuming that opponents aren’t able to send 8 against him every time he’s on the field this season (and assuming that a woeful line gets a lot better), I expect a real rebound in 2019. Assuming I’m right (admittedly, a big assumption), Elliott ain’t that much of an upgrade (if an upgrade at all) over what the Bills currently have. -
Would you trade a 1 for Zeke?
dave mcbride replied to 78thealltimegreat's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think the Bills' RB situation is arguably the best in the league, so no, I wouldn't make that trade. They need that first to take a stud WR next year in what's going to be an amazing WR draft. -
McDermott knows the power of getting to the QB. The 2013 Panthers (12-4; 2nd in yards allowed, 2nd in points allowed; first in sacks) had a ridiculous 60 sacks, and those sacks were a large reason they were so dominant. They were just slightly above average in giving up rushing yards on a per attempt basis, but absolutely dominated in the pressure game (a ridiculous 9.6 percent sack rate on opposing qb dropbacks). https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/car/2013.htm Yup, and I'm not saying he's the second coming or anything like that. But he has shown that he can get to the qb at an above average rate, and that's a huge asset given the overall quality of the DB corps. That's the sort of thing that leads to turnovers. If Murphy plays well in the pass rush game, no one is going to want to face them given the overall talent level on the defense.
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Agreed. My issue with Lawson is his physical ability in the pass rush game. Frankly, he's just not quick (a "leaner" as @BADOLBILZmemorably described him the day he was drafted), and against a decent RT, he's going to be handled. Forget lining him up against a decent LT. Now maybe he gets strong enough where he can be bull-rushing beast that can created havoc via that method, but I'll need to see him do that with some regularity first. Barring injury, he's likely to have a long career in the NFL as relatively inexpensive d-line depth, but he's a classic replacement-level starter up to this point.
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In the season he had 9 sacks for Washington, he didn't start one game. He was a pass rushing specialist for them, and at the end of the day he's going to remain a pass rushing specialist . However, this is a passing league, and a guy who can get to the passer regularly is more valuable than a low-twitch plodder whose best attribute is effectively setting the edge in the run game (i.e., Shaq up until now).
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What happens in practice matters a ton.
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What do you do if you are Cowboys GM?
dave mcbride replied to Ethan in Cleveland's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
How good is Tony Pollard? He looks pretty good so far, and Dallas has been a very good drafting team in the last few years ... -
D&C's Maiorana: Top 100 Players In Bills History
dave mcbride replied to OldTimeAFLGuy's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
He has McKelvin ahead of Peters. My god.