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Henry was still running relatively strong last season. Elliott was toast his last year in Dallas. Baltimore had a trade in place for him before the Titans owner nixed it. He's going to have way more offers than Elliott did and they aren't all going to be from non-contenders. And places like Baltimore will make him the guy. Not just a change of pace heavy.

Someone will overplay their hand and fall through the crack in that 2nd tier. That's actually where my head is at. Find a Leonard Floyd type at WR late that is left standing when musical chairs stop, Draft a WR Round 1, and another in like Round 4 or 5.

If Elliott got $3 in the condition he looked on the way out in Dallas, Henry will get at least 4.5-5. Maybe more from a team looking to sell Jerseys and Tickets for having a Superstar on their team. In the condition we're in, we're not going to allocate those kind of funds to a guy who will split carries with Cook. We didn't even do that last season, when Cook was a way bigger question mark than he is now and he we were in a (slightly) better condition cap wise.

Do you still want Hollywood Brown? Because we aren't going to be able to afford that and hand $5m per to Henry. And if we could, then best believe all 3 of the first picks would have to go to the starting position holes at DE, DT, and Safety. There's no scenario where we pay for Henry, Brown, and use 2 of the top 3 Draft Picks on WR. None. And why would Henry want to go to a team that already has a Pro Bowl RB on it? He'd be lucky to even get 50% of the carries here.

This isn't even a question. Ty Johnson was a Practice Squad player who came in because of injury. He overachieved, but people aren't going to back the brinks truck up for an RB2/RB3 former Practice Squad guy who's coming off a decent year in relief work. Derrick Henry on the other hand will sell jerseys and has a resume as the top RB in the NFL, even though he's getting older. In no planet is there a question as to whether or not Ty Johnson is going to remotely cost what Derrick Henry will. One RB is a superstar and one is a vet minimum type.

He'll have a market. He's aging. You don't pay RB's big money. We don't have money. We have too many holes. We already have a Pro Bowl RB1. Should I go on? Bring back Ty Johnson. He'll be cheap. Pair him with Cook and Hines. Draft a RB late on Day 3. We're good there. Spend what little money we'll have finding starters at either WR, DE, DT, or S.

Where did Spotrac say cutting him this offseason would be better than 2025? That doesn't make sense. His contract was written up as essentially a 3 year deal. Our out is after this season. I don't see any way we can get out from under him that would be remotely better for us to do this season. It's basically an impossibility where we're at cap wise. https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/von-miller-7717/

I think there's a number of things at factor there, beyond just the knee. Between the knee not responding as quickly as he was put on the field and then domestic/legal problems on top of it, he was mentally destroyed. One thing that I think was a major factor that doesn't get talked about is on top of that, getting sober. As someone who had issues myself, getting clean has a massive impact on your day to day for a while. You essentially have to re-teach yourself how to live from the ground up. Everything you did while using alcohol and substances as a crutch feels completely different and more difficult without it - both mentally and physically. Something as simple as brushing your teeth or making food feels hard. All the while, you battle the urge to not relapse and the feelings that come with that. All of those things came together at once and we saw the results. Hopefully, being motivated by being counted out by everyone, having time to rehab his knee further, more time to acclimate to sobriety, and getting the legal stuff behind him - we see something closer to 2022 Von next season.

Yeah, Beane's MO is to move up a a few picks if there's someone there he likes and is afraid one of the teams ahead of him are going to select him. He got antsy with both Kaiir Elam and Dalton Kincaid. If he really likes one of the WR's that have fallen to that 24-27 range, he'll make a call to secure them. But he's not moving up any substantial jump. Fans need not even bother thinking about Harrison, Nabers, or Oduze. Any substantial move up's will occur in Rounds 2-7, more likely 3-7. The cost is just too great in Round 1 and we don't have the ammunition.

Nabers or Oduze is a pipe dream. They're universally mocked in the Top 5-10 picks. Them falling would be one on the board at 12-15. The cost to move up even that high would be too great. He's not giving up two 1st's and teams knowing where we pick on a yearly basis, that wouldn't even be enough.

Yeah, I think some are still operating under the assumption that the Edmunds compensatory that's coming is an extra 3rd. It's not. It just replaces the 3rd we already traded away. Moving up 10 picks with some extra picks on Day 3 isn't possible. Every year, fans talk about trading next year's picks. He hasn't done that and with our books the way they are, he can't really afford to.

Yeah, we have a lot of picks this year. But we also have a lot of holes and not a lot of cash, once he digs us out of the hole we're in. He already gave up his extra 3rd for Rasul Douglas. So he's not going to give up anything more on Day 2. Day 3 picks aren't going to move us up more than a couple picks here or there. If someone falls to like 25 or something, we'll do a small move up like we did for Kaiir Elam and Dalton Kincaid. But moving up 10 picks, i'd doubt it.

Josh's girl is in the MCU and took down the Kingpin. Big win. You think Taylor Swift is going toe to toe with Wilson Fisk? 😆

Considering he's never Drafted a WR before Round 4, of which Gabe Davis was the only 4th Rounder (everyone else was picked Round 5-7) - I don't know how you can make that assessment. Actually, considering that fact, landing guys like Davis, Khalil Shakir, Ray-Ray McCloud, and Isaiah Hodgins - who have become contributors here or around the league, I'd say his success rate is actually pretty good. Justin Shorter was red shirted last season so we don't know what he'll become yet. The only ones to fail were Marquez Stevenson (Late 6th) and Austin Proehl (Round 7). Going 4 of 6 on Day 3 Draft Picks, who are still on rosters with varying degrees of success is about as good as you can ask for. It's exceedingly rare to find a stud on Day 3.

Why do we need an extra 2nd to do that? If we have a hole at DT and he's there, just Draft him.

I had a couple friends that were addicted to Oxy. I kept telling them to get clean and not buy anything off the street. They went to bed one night and didn't wake up the next morning. Since Doctors stopped prescribing Hydrocodone and Oxycontin - most of the pills on the street are Fentanyl being passed off as Prescription. The tiniest amount and it's game over. The difference between a non lethal dose and a lethal dose is RAZOR thin. And the people cutting it aren't exactly careful. Don't do pills in today's day and age, kids. As soon as I heard this story, I knew it was Fentanyl. 3 different people don't just OD all at the same time any other way.

Ty will be back, I'm sure. Played as the 3rd/4th RB on the depth chart for us last year. It's brutal for RB's in the FA market. No one's going to be beating down the door for an RB2/3. He's earned it and I'm sure he'll want to return. And it should cost us little to nothing. Hines just replaces Murray in the backfield and Harty on Returns. Cook and Ty maintain their roles. Probably will Draft a guy in the late Rounds as well to replace Harris as a heavy and/or development.

Fixed it for you. It always slays me when people say this like it's a certainty. Maybe in their mind, but I've yet to hear anything leaked that he's on a 1 year Super Bowl or Bust mandate - except from fans. Agreed. They have to miss the playoffs and/or he has to lose the locker room.

Our luck is maddening sometimes. Mahomes had a lot of buzz going into the 2017 Draft. There were questions though. He was a late riser after a wild workout and good interviews. At that time, being a Texas Tech QB was like wearing a Scarlet Letter. Many had come through that system and put up wild numbers and then not translated to the NFL level. I think McDermott and Beane's professional courtesy to Doug Whaley and Tyrod Taylor did us in. There's no way McDermott came in not knowing Beane was going to be coming with him. But rather than immediately take him on, they decided to let Whaley and his staff see through all the work they put in for 10 months. But they weren't going to select the QB of the future without Beane fully at the helm. And I think McDermott knew Taylor wasn't the guy. But for building goodwill in the locker room, he wanted to give him a year rather than come in and clean house. Maybe he even felt that there was a slight chance Taylor could grow under different coaching. There was also a thought at the time of the 2017 Draft that the 2018 Draft had much better QB's and an all time class. I remember thinking when we made the trade "with our luck, Mahomes will be a Franchise QB and the guy we take next year will bust". Luckily, our selection would turn into a most likely Future HOF'er. But, unbelievably, the guy we gave to the Chiefs would not only turn out to be a Franchise QB - but maybe the greatest QB of all time 🤦 I used to take solace in the fact that they got Mahomes and we got ammo that turned into Allen, White, and Edmunds. But then Edmunds left and White is destroyed. Still - it's hard to cry over Josh Allen. Who knows if Mahomes would have became the same guy under this regime and supporting cast as he did under Andy Reid.

Oh I don't doubt Campbell could still be a decent RB in today's day and age. But the legendary, every down, impossible to tackle, destroyer of men's souls that he was back then? No way.

Earl Campbell? Who around the league looks like Earl Campbell, save for King Henry and Leonard Fournette - who are both between having lost a step or toast? Earl Campbell wouldn't be half the RB he was then today. You're stuck in the past. You don't see Jack Lambert smoking cigarettes on the sidelines today. Nor do you see RB's with 4.6 speed rolling down the field and mowing everyone in their path over on the regular. Those days are gone.

I mean, you're clearly not Terry Pegula because none of these ideas you have are happening (or even remotely based on reality).

So now you not only feel that James Cook should be replaced as RB1, you think Beane should be fired, and Sean McDermott should be HC and GM?! Holy hell man.

Warriorspikes! A somewhat realistic offseason plan? I like it! I think Brown is in that area that is possible. Just have to hope his market stays reasonable and we're willing to go a little high on one of our FA's. But there's still a few small issues I have with this scenario: 1.) Harty's gone. There's an out in his contract and given our cap situation, we have to take that contract off our books. Thanks for the Miami return, but we need more from the WR position than he gave us and we have to get money off our books anyway we can. 2.) If we did sign a Hollywood Brown level FA to pair with Diggs and Shakir, we wouldn't go back to back in Round 1 and Round 2 on top of it. You're not going to spend a Day 2 pick on a WR that will be no greater than 5th behind Diggs, Shakir, Brown, and a Round 1 WR. Especially when we have so many holes on the roster and not a lot of money to do it. With what Brown would cost us, we'd need to use 1 of the first 2 picks on another position. More likely 2 of the first 3 elsewhere (especially if we used Round 1 on a WR). It's more likely a Kaiir Elam/Christian Benford double dip situation. Would be 1 in Round 1 or Round 2 and then another on Day 3. Somewhere between Round 4 and Round 6. The only possible way I see us going Round 1 and Round 2 or even Round 1 and Round 3 on WR is if we aren't able to get a veteran FA that they liked. So, yeah, it's either the Day 1 and Day 2 Double Dip or Hollywood (or like FA WR) and 1 WR in the first two Rounds. It won't be both. 3.) We won't be keeping 7 WR's. We only kept 5 this season. I see that number going up to 6 this season, our usual. But I don't see 7. But, yeah! I like what you're cooking here. Based on last year, I half expected to see you say sign Higgins in FA, Trade for Davante, and Draft a WR in Round 1 and Round 2 lol I think we're kind of on the same page here for once. I just see it more like: Diggs (Round 1 or 2) Shakir Hollywood (or similar level FA) (Round 4 to 6) Shorter Combine that with ascending weapons like Kincaid and Cook and I think we're in much better shape than last season.

I've yet to hear that he's unhappy in Cincinnati or that Cincinnati doesn't want him back. On the contrary, Duke Tobin said he wants him back. Chase, Burrow, and Higgins are tight. Given Cincinnati's cap space, them wanting him back, him having a good relationship there with a Top 5 NFL QB, Chase and Higgins being so integral to their success, having Chase for 2 more years under his Rookie deal, and having the ability to easily retain him without having to even let him hit the market - I dont see how he goes anywhere. It would be like us having a bunch of money and then making the choice to let one of our top players go when we didn't have to. But I guess we'll see. One things for sure though, wherever he plays next season - it won't be Buffalo.