Cray51
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11/16/25 GAMEDAY Bills vs Buccaneers Post Game Thread
Cray51 replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yea but what QB who wins the Super Bowl ISNT boderline elite throughout the playoffs? Hurts last year: 4 games: 10 TDs, 2 TOs Mahomes the year before: 6 TDs 1 TO The year before that: 7 TDs 1 TO (3 games) Being elite doesn't mean putting up Allen's stat line from yesterday. Allen had 2 BAD turnovers that will not work against the great teams. Hurts and Mahomes were elite in their SB campaigns because they protected the ball AND help drive offense. The defense isn't super bowl calibre yet, but it wasn't that way at this time of the year last year either. Last year we had Rams and Lion back to back that showed our defense was an issue. The team needs to grow, which is why Beane invested so much into the defense when fans were complaining that the offense needed more talent. Now people are mad that the investment hasn't paid off, but the goal is for it to improve over the next 7 weeks as we get into the postseason. -
I don’t think 10-7 makes it this year. Teams packed on too many wins early in the year. Broncos and Pats are both at 9 wins already, they are in colts are at 8 - they will win their division bills have the tie breaker and will get in ravens or Steelers for the north. That’s 5 teams in for sure over the chiefs. Then you have the Jags, whoever doesn’t get the division in the north, the chargers, and then the chiefs. They need to win 5 of their last 7 and then hope for some other teams to drop games to get in i actually don’t see it happening
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Bingo - well said. People are quick to forget what we dealt with when Dorsey was OC and our offense was in shambles... with WR talent. Get to the playoffs, get healthy, and they will have a chance this year just like any other.
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Go watch the games back - Josh wasn't that good in 2023 when they were 6-6 and won their last 5 games. Josh struggled in the games against Houston and Baltimore last year. History repeats itself - this team has had stretches like this several times over the years. What's frustrating is the decline in how Allen was last year to this year. He was surgical last season, and now seems gun shy. He needs to be better, the WRs need to be better, the defense needs to be better. They have shown they could be in the past - will need to see if they can do it again.
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We are the WORST 6-3 team in the history of the league per the fans. Even if we drop to 6-4, this team still has Super Bowl aspirations. We were 6-6 in 2021 when we turned it on. Last year we lost two in a row and then a few weeks later couldn't stop the Rams - finished 13-4. This team will probably go 13-4 or 12-5. If that's wild card, credit to the Pats. I'm still thinking this team wins the division and we will see how they do in the playoffs.
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5 catches 83 yards
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It's tough, because the team has been dealing with so many damn injuries, it's hard to really evaluate them as a whole. Shakir is a perfectly fine slot guy, in fact I consider him to be a top 15 slot receiver in the league. Palmer was looking very good, especially in the Atlanta game before his injury. Coleman has disappointed - that's for sure. However, the only guy who has really been better than him around that draft spot has been Ladd, who struggled until the Chargers moved him into the slot more. Hell, almost all options that were considered in FA/draft by people on this board have been bad on their current teams over the past two years. The offense is top 5. Cook is having a pro bowl year. Kincaid is having a pro bowl year. Hawes has been great. It's not like they aren't getting something from the offense. WR is the weak spot, but to be frank, Allen has been having issues this season. When he drops back and fires, the offense gets in a groove. Too often he isn't trusting guys. Is that a WR problem, or an Allen problem? It's probably both.
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That's fair - even I didn't want him at anything above I think at the time I said 7M a year, which wasn't feasible. The guy is 25/26, he has tread on the tires. I could absolutely see him playing well over the next 6/7 games and in the offseason earning a small deal with us (2 years 3M per or something).
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Crazy we are now at a place where people are excited for Davis to come back. I've always been a fan, but to see others are is funny given the feeling around him 18 months ago!
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This has been a 13-4 team since the offseason. team is getting better as the season goes on. 10-7 is wild. Not a chance
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Yea I've googled him. Hence why I know his catch rate is 63% for his career. Davis is 53%. It's an improvement, but for reference Palmer's catch rate is 65%. So again, if you want a downfield threat in the offense, Palmer per their careers is probably the best option. I'm not saying Shaheed isn't a decent option, but he (by the numbers) would even be the best downfield threat on this team even if we acquired him. Palmer is a better version of Shaheed. If Beane believes Palmer will be ready to go by the playoffs, I could see why he wouldn't want to target Shaheed really at all. In addition, when you factor in cost to acquire, if Davis for free gives you an 8-10% loss in production compared to Shaheed for what would likely have been a 3rd or 4th+4th next year, going with Davis makes sense. As I said in earlier posts - if Shaheed was a 6th to acquire, I wouldn't bat an eye. But a 3rd or two 4ths? I dont think that makes sense.
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Drops have been a concern,but Shaheed's catch rate has only been marginally better than Davis in his career. Palmer has a better rate than both, so if the goal is a downfield threat with hands Palmer is better than Davis or Shaheed.
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I am excited about the potential upside of DT Phidarian Mathis
Cray51 replied to buffaloboyinATL's topic in The Stadium Wall
The story of Jordan Phillips. Former 2nd rounder who goes to a bad Miami organization, turns up to Buffalo and fits with the team for a half decade. -
And (ducks for cover), Davis has consistently stretched the field more than Shaheed (his average depth of catch each year has been higher than Shaheed, meaning he stretches the field more frequently and catches more passes when doing so. I know people hate Davis, but I actually think he can be a very solid #3/4 for this team not only this year, but for the next few
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Is he through? He has been a #3/4 his entire career. This year he is getting fed targets, but I wouldn't call him a difference maker. He is worse than Josh Palmer in almost every core stat. He wouldn't be a slot guy over Shakir. So you are upgrading from Coleman to Shaheed. Is that really worth the investment? If it was a 5th only, sure. But I wouldn't give up a 3rd to bring him in.
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And there are multiple variables and odds to consider. Do you punt, which gives KC a 2% chance of a TD but gives you a 0% chance of winning. You convert a punt 99% of the time Do you FG, which gives you a 100% chance of winning but KC a 5% chance if you miss. You make a FG in that range 75% of the time Do you go for it, which gives you a 100% chance of winning, but KC a 5% chance if you miss, plus the chances of a fumble/INT being way higher. You convert 45% of the 4th downs at that distance. I go FG - it's the highest chance of a put away play with the lowest possible TD the other way rate, and KC's chances go up minimally with a miss (which is what happened).
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Ridiculous. Kicking the field goal was 100% the right call. Just like how he handled the goal line stand in the 1st half - masterful. No one is talking about it because the people who hate McD can't seem to give him any credit. Blown coverage leads to KC with the ball at the half yard like, 37 seconds left. McD doesn't call TO right away, he waits until they are close to snapping to stop the clock at 25 seconds. It allows him to change personnel and bring the big run stuffers in. Hunt is 18 for 20 in 3rd and 1 or 4th and 1 conversions, and he is at the goal line. Personnel change allows the stop on 1st, the two incomplete passes on 2nd and 3rd down, and the FG keeps KC to 3 points instead of 7. Ended up being a huge moment, Buffalo didnt have to worry about defending a field goal at the end of the game. McD was very good against the Chiefs. People need to cut it out with the crap. Watch 75% of the coaches around the league mess things up consistently and then tell me McD is a bad tactical coach
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Insane stat re: Josh Allen rushing TD's.........
Cray51 replied to Special K's topic in The Stadium Wall
I was running the numbers today: he has never had a season under 6 rushing TDs. past two seasons have seen him score 15 and 12 TDs respectively. this year he is already at 7 in 8 games there is no reason to think he won’t do 10+ each year for the next 3-4 seasons. not only do I think he will make it to 124, he may reach 140 -
Insane stat re: Josh Allen rushing TD's.........
Cray51 replied to Special K's topic in The Stadium Wall
Assuming he can get 50 more rushing TDs,he will end his career top 5 ALL TIME -
Long term, the lineup will be: CBs: Benford Hairston Strong Safety: Bishop Hancock They will likely draft a slot CB, and another safety (or sign someone ala Rapp) At this point, I'd say the secondary looks like it COULD be good, but nothing is set in stone. Need to bring in a future slot corner.
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I'm thinking they will be 11-6 at the end of the year. They will lose a game in the division, and maybe the Colts or Dallas
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11/2/25 GAMEDAY Bills vs Chiefs 4:30pm Post Game Thread
Cray51 replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
Very well coached game - team was disciplined, structured, and didn't force anything on offense. Defense looked measured, have to think McD calling plays and coordinating with Poyer back there is helping. I dont understand why people are pooping on McD last night. He coached a very very good game. His timeout at the end of the half with 25 seconds left was perfect. Allowed his personnel to reset, put the goal line team in, and they made 3 great plays to hold the Chiefs to 3 points. In the past few years, whenever the Bills get their midseason win over the Chiefs it kicks them into gear and they go on a run. Last year was a 4-1 run to lock up the division and conference with a game in hand going into NE. Fingers crossed we continue that push this year -
11/2/25 GAMEDAY Bills vs Chiefs 4:30pm Post Game Thread
Cray51 replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
Chiefs gave bosa free run to Mahomes, and leaked an RB behind. Forced Bosa to stutter to cover the fake screen, then runs Kelce to the first down line on a deep curl as a decoy, takes Worthy deep on the left to clear the safety, and takes rice on an option route to let him work. Forces Bernard to make a decision on kelce or rice. it was a great play call Like what… -
11/2/25 GAMEDAY Bills vs Chiefs 4:30pm Post Game Thread
Cray51 replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
I think it was a Reid master play that he saves for the playoffs, but had to bring it out to try to convert knowing that play was the game at that point
