Chaos

Kyle Shanahan Nick Siriani Zach Taylor Andy Reid Sean McVay Bill Bellichek Doug Pederson This is the list of coaches who have coached in a Super Bowl during the Sean McDermott Era. The whole "lost by a field goal" conecept is just a stupid argument. Nothing in McDermotts track record to suggest the Bills would of course gone on the win the next game. Or the one after that.

Does this mean we also have to dump Allen, because he is actually the primary difference.

I hope the Bills win it all next year. In my heart of hearts I don't think there is a Josh Allen window until there is a new head coach that understands how to optimize Allen.

In realty he means Harbaugh/Hebert rather than McDermott/Allen percentage wise I rank Allen’s chances above all of the others. But against the field of all the other AFC teams the Bills probably are not greater than 50% likely to be the breakthrough team.

Burning down the house.

Wow it reminds of the time a team lost a game because they had 12 on the field on defense and responded by firing the offensive coordinator.

I think the fourth quarter in the playoffs should be continuous play. The first team to have a lead after 15 minutes wins.

Over 332 million Americans have never shot anyone. So there is that bit of good news.

You stop Mahomes by scoring more points that his team. The strategy of holding him to fewer points in the playoffs seems to be a fail. Lets build the offense that scores 35 against Mahomes, and hope and pray the defense doesn't give up 36. WR is a priority over Dline.

Bills are a perennial top 8 team. Beane and McDermott are both well on the path to be in the Hall of Very Good. There is no dramatic shortage of talent on the Bills. Condemning the individual selections seems foolish. I do think its a mistake to try to build the mythical "complimentary football team", with no holes, and resources committed to huge rotations on the dline and resources purposely limited to special teams. I think the Bills would be better served to focus on building an offensive juggernaut around Allen. They are actually at a pretty good starting point. Good line. Great TE1 in Kincaid. If the WR room can be built into something a bit better than it is now, it should be good. One more element of being an offensive Juggernaut : Its not clear McDermott/Dabol, McDermott/Dorsey or McDermott/Brady are the right leaders to for this effort. A change here would like be more impactful, than any personnel changes. (impactful does not mean better)

Shrinkflation from Bass and Miller. Same price, smaller performance.

I am aware. I acknowleged the error twice previously in this thread. Thank you for your further assistance.

this creates a small possibility of that person developing into a tradeable asset for some reason. Kyle Allen and Mitch Trubisky never will be that.

just not true true. Bills were far bigger favorites going into the season every year for the last five years than the Ravens.

I made a mistake in the original post regarding super bowl turnovers. but the fact that the chiefs have won 13 in a row where the lost the turnover battle means they are better than anyone at overcoming adversity, or the turnover battle is over rated as mattering.

Thank you. change the numbers in your head in my previous post to 13.

The Chiefs lost the turnover battle in yesterday's super bowl. That was the 14th game in a row, where the chiefs lost the turnover battle, and the chiefs still won the game. The Bills head coach leans on "its hard to win when you lose the turnover battle", as a reason for losing games. McDermott's statement is probably true. Here's the rub: It would appear the Chiefs have won 14 games in a row, "where it was hard to win". I think there is a mental toughness exhibited by winning games that are hard to win, that the Chiefs have and the Bills do not seem too.

If your team sucks and doesn't make the playoffs , you can't disappoint in the playoffs. Name one team with a more disappointing playoff record than the Bills the last five years.

Just starting quarter five handing the transition exactly the same as the transition form quarter 3 to quarter 4, continuous play would also be my pick,

he gets to super bowls and does not win super bowls. This is not as good as coaches who win super bowls. It is better than coaches who don’t get to super bowls

The college rules keep alternating possessions. It never converts to sudden death. College rules are irrelevant due to that difference.

Chiefs scored 19 points on offense, and lost the turnover battle. Is that really "firing on all cylinders'. I think the chiefs chiefs got to overtime only because of two phases of the game.

Below is the complete set of scenarios for the recieve and kick team: There are 22 permutations of outcomes on the first two drives. Not all are equally likely. But aside from a safety it covers all possibilties. There are seven scenarios where the receive team scores first. Six of the outcomes are favorable to the recieve team. One of the seven is score FG, other team scores TD. Its is not obvious that this 7th scenario is so much likelier than the other 6 combined that it is a compelling reason to not receive. There are 15 scenarios where the receive team does not score. Six of those scenarios are result in the receive team losing. If the receive team does not score on its first possession, the odds of them winning drop significantly. In this sitution, the scenario of the kick team kicking a FG strikes me as a bigger possibility than all of the other scenarios combined. But it is not inevitable. My personal conclusion is that it is a push to receive or kick. Which is as it should be. In a game where the opponent has been held to 19 points through 4 quarters, and my team had only scored 19 point I probably would lean towards receive. My other conclusions are that if you don't score on your first possession, whether you are the receive team or kick team you are likely to lose the game. And if you score a TD on your first possession as the receive team, you are very likely to win the game. Note : the grey scenarios would never happen, because they would be same as simply conceding the game.

The OP clearly is speaking to the current roster. Where do you disagree?

If the niners scored a td, the biggest advantage at that point is first crack at sudden death. Since TDs are inevitable when you go for it on all fourth downs (as I have learned in this thread) the niners simply needed to go for it on fourth down and get the inevitable TD.