I think the Browns will be competing with the lesser of Colts/Texans for that 6th seed. The Bills will be either #1 or #5, depending on how things go with the Patriots.
The two teams with a shot at the #1 seed appear to be the Patriots and Bills...
Kansas City is going to take more lumps with Mahomes out
Houston and Indianapolis will continue to grind in that division with the winner being 9-7 or 10-6
Baltimore will win the division but probably finish 10-6 or so
The #2 seed could really be 10-6 this year. It's crazy. The Bills could be 12-4 and be stuck with the 5 seed despite a better record than the 4, 3, and 2 seeds.
But here's the interesting thing... We are one New England injury away from being the favorite for the #1 seed, folks, and we have a fighting chance for it even without that. Beane needs to go all in to put the pieces in place to secure that #1 seed! It's ALL about New England. Jets beat them tonight and the race for #1 is officially ON...