DCOrange

Chargers say how are you?

They've been decimated by injuries and have probably the worst offensive line in the NFL.

I'm rooting for a tie or Raiders loss in terms of the Bills playoff chances. Though I must admit it makes me happy seeing Gruden have success after the way he's been trashed so much.

For me, my skills probably peaked in high school (just because I was going into school an hour or two early to train with my coach as well as school and AAU practices after school). I shot roughly 50% from 3 in high school. That definitely dropped off in college, but I became a lot more aggressive once I got to college which I think made me a much better player despite my shooting dropping off a little bit. Realistically I'm hoping for an NIT birth and I don't think we can take that for granted.

I think in time this team will prove to be a good shooting team, but there's so many other issues with it. I just happened to be a very good shooter in my own right so I do think I could hang with the lesser shooters on our team. The ball-handling part is more about how poor our ball-handlers are than anything else haha. FWIW, I'm still in my mid-20s and I do realistically think I could have walked on at Syracuse if I had wanted to. I played against a couple of our recent players when we were in high school (note: none of our good players) and I held my own pretty well back then.

? I'm honestly pretty convinced that if you gave me a couple weeks to dedicate to training again, I would be a better ball-handler than most of the people on our team and could at least hold my own shooting-wise (not with Boeheim and Girard, but I'm confident I could shoot as well as guys like Carey and Guerrier).

Well that was a very very bad not good game.

I'm not expecting a win tonight, but with the amount of shooting we have this year, we should end up surprising a couple teams on nights where we just get hot; maybe this will be one of those. Certainly a major test for the development of Jalen Carey right away which I'm happy to see (though I've been hearing he's looked pretty rough in practices, but fingers crossed it comes together in live action). It'll be available on WatchESPN.

My guess is that there's probably too much pride both from San Diego and from the Chargers for them to make up now.

The 4% is weighted based on win probability for the remaining games. Yes, we're only one game behind New England right now, but the Sagarin team ratings that the projection is based off of has New England as the 2nd best team in the NFL and Buffalo as the 22nd best team. Long story short, they don't think Buffalo has pretty much any chance of closing the gap.

What does Wembley have to do with this?

I don't know how to tell you this, but London is one city.

Picking only the games I'm pretty much entirely certain about (ex: any game against the Jets, Bengals, and Dolphins), I come away with a 61% chance of making the playoffs with the Broncos and Steelers games being the two left. Splitting those games results in roughly a 60% chance. Win both and we're in. Lose both and we're almost certainly out.

It all looks super promising until you start plugging in results for the other likely wild card contenders. With the Bills losing to Cleveland, Dallas, and Baltimore, while beating Miami and Denver, I have Buffalo at a 50% chance with 3 games to go. And assuming we beat the Jets and lose to the Steelers, we're left with a 91% chance if we beat Pittsburgh or a 35% chance if we lose. If god forbid they drop that Denver game (which I'm decently nervous about), it's basically over. at that point. Edit: Picking some more of the Week 15-17 games for AFC opponents, the chances end up at 63% if we beat Pittsburgh and 31% if we lose.

The Navy offense almost literally doesn't throw the ball at all. Lamar is a better passer than a lot of other starters right now.

Their passing game is outproducing 12 other teams, including ours, and Lamar has more total yards by himself than 5 teams have.

I wouldn't go that far, but I do think that they're distanced themselves from the rest of the AFC along with New England and KC.

Floating right into his receiver's hands for some yards after the catch, yeah.

There's a reason Baltimore has been arguably the #1 offense in the league this year...they're going to be very difficult to stop.

Wow, that's a huge tip off if what Collinsworth said about Lamar is true.

He's shifty, but with Allen it's more about powering through arm tackles. Lamar is as elusive as any running back in the league.

Wow I've watched so much of Lamar and I still can't believe he escaped that one and made it look so easy.

and the eye test

More accurate, better pocket presence, much better reading coverage. Vick and Lamar are really only comparable in terms of running ability.

Lamar's a better passer than Allen.