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y2zipper

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Everything posted by y2zipper

  1. I think reports of Jackson's demise are a little exaggerated here. Largely, the difference between him last year and this year is he isn't tossing TD's 9 percent of the time.
  2. They've also played a TON of teams that are going to end up good.
  3. Burrow is a high volume, low efficiency passer this year. He's 25th in rating and 27th in Y/A. The rookie that's impressing me this year is Herbert, but LAC is this years bad random variance team with 7 one possession losses.
  4. Hill looks fairly good as a passer.
  5. Yeah I watch the entire league basically so I'll be watching games.
  6. Between injuries, change and covid, there's just too many guys getting too many snaps they shouldn't be getting. The last couple of years they've had pretty good luck with health and acquisitions, but that doesn't always happen. Functionally, they just don't have the bodies at defensive tackle. star and Jordan Phillips where the two players at the front of the rotation last year with Oliver, and neither of those two guys are here. Combine that with Phillips playing below expectation and not a lot of depth, and there's issues there, especially at one tech. It's hard to fault them when you expect star to be here and you expect Phillips to play better. This is the type of issue that takes an off season to fix. A defensive end I think they're okay. Hughes is getting a little older, but Addison has been good. Murphy clearly has to go and we will see what we get out of AJ who's a rookie, who by the way got injured yesterday. At linebacker the top two guys have been hurt pretty much all year. AJ Klein has played better with time. In the defensive backfield, they've been pretty much decimated at corner. White has been banged up, Wallace has missed a bunch of games, Norman has been injured, and yesterday they had to put a practice squad player on the field because even Dane Jackson got hurt. So there's a lot going on. It needs to get healthier, which hopefully the buy helps with. But there are also some positions where they need to retool the talent a little bit. This is largely why they didn't make a big trade and go all in this year.
  7. Actually he has a pretty high floor. A lot of very good years with some mediocre QBs but what you get out of him is the best rushing attack in the league. His only below average year in points was 2014 with SFO.
  8. If it takes a hail mary like that to win a game when we aren't having our best day out there, I can tip my hat and live with that play and it says some pretty good stuff about our team. The hail Mary is not the real issue. The Bills are a good team mostly driven by excellent QB play but are missing elements that probably aren't going to be completely fixed this season but we should enjoy the ride.
  9. That pick was a pass Allen had no business throwing.
  10. They did stick it to GB. I think GB, NO and TB are the best teams in the NFC.
  11. Brady is there largely because he doesn't want to work as hard as he did under BB. Arians is largely known as a laid-back guy and it causes the issues often seen here in TB. The NFC largely doesn't have great teams, though.
  12. Where this whole experiment comes up short is that Arians is mediocre and easy to figure out.
  13. Buffalo is still in good position here. Pittsburgh and Arizona are the hard games left for Buffalo, and Miami hasn't played KC or Vegas yet. Outside of that, the schedule is largely common opponents and the head to head matchup. Miami is also 2 games behind in the Division tiebreaker.
  14. The tweet here is exactly why reports of the offense's demise was greatly exaggerated. The Jets game was something like a 40 year anomaly where Buffalo didn't score at TD or punt but drove into position 8 times. Then they ran for 200 yards vs NE. underneath the somewhat lack of points, the yardage and first downs indicate that Buffalo is still moving the ball.
  15. Pittsburgh is probably the best team going so far. The NFC West plays a lousy schedule this year, so I don't know exactly what these NFC West teams are, but Arizona does look good.
  16. Yeah I can def see why he's here.
  17. Murray is an electric runner and I'd prioritize taking that away next week.
  18. Hard count and the punt is the right call there.
  19. That's very clearly pass interference.
  20. The issue is that Tua is a high risk pick because Drew Brees is the only comp. Guys without ideal size that succeed are largely electric athletes like Wilson and Murray, and Brees is a historical outlier in terms of accuracy and precision. So drafting Tua is basically betting that he's a historical outlier. Maybe he is and he's a good prospect, but with Houston's high pick going to Miami and their likely position to be able to get into the QB market again, Tua isn't going to get time.
  21. No chance for Jones there.
  22. The answer is largely that they don't, you just watch the Bills more than you watch other teams. We've seen defenses take deep passes away from teams a lot. team synthetic against Kansas City so much that Patrick mahomes is 20th and intended air yards per attempt. Russell Wilson's deep ball accuracy this year is a historical outlier, so the answer to the question is that Seattle has a historical outlier that no other team has Thanks to Advanced stats, we can actually analyze air yards now to actually see who's throwing the ball down the field the most. Would you look at the air yards per passing attempt, you largely got it mixed bag. Carson Wentz and Drew lock are the two guys that throw the deepest per attempt, and neither of them are good at it. Beyond that you have cousins Wilson Ryan Stafford Watson and Allen ranks 10th. But that tells you is that Buffalo is still taking their shots, and we saw that on a few drives in the Patriots game.
  23. Yeah I couldn't agree more with this.
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