
Billsatlastin2018
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Everything posted by Billsatlastin2018
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‘CULTURE’ is actually a yuuuuuge factor in NFL success, let alone life. Everyone should listen weekly to the Lombardi podcasts, a modern day genius on nailing aspects of various NFL orgs and a pretty decent prognosticator ATS (26-13-2) . They are very, very funny as well! He has worked for a couple of legends of the game and is friends with Billy B. The ‘Culture’ excerpt from his book:’ Gridiron Genius’. CULTURE COMES FIRST. You can have the best game plan (or strategy or tactics) , the best team (or product or service) and the best players (or engineers or salespeople) and you may achieve short term success. But if you haven’t created an underlying ecosystem of excellence, short term success is all that it will be. Lombardi’s other critical points: PRESS EVERY EDGE ALL THE TIME, BECAUSE ANY EDGE MAY MATTER ANYTIME SYSTEM OVER STARS LEADERSHIP IS A LONGTERM PROPOSITION YOU’RE NEVER DONE GETTING BETTER (Of Course, whether any of these bullets reside at OBD- is the ONLY question!)
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Pre Season? NO misses, thus far. WK1 @ Jets. WIN (1-0) WK2 @ Giants WIN (2-0) WK3 Bengals WIN (3-0) WK4 Patriots LOSS (3-1) WK5 @ Titans WIN (4-1) WK6 BYE (4-1) WK7 Dolphins WIN (5-1) WK8 Eagles LOSS (5-2) WK9 Redskins WIN (6-2) WK10 @ Browns LOSS (6-3) WK11 @ Dolphins WIN (7-3) WK12 Broncos WIN (8-3) WK13 @ Cowboys LOSS (8-4) WK14 Ravens WIN (9-4) WK15 @ Steelers LOSS (9-5) WK16 @ Patriots LOSS (9-6) WK17 Jets WIN (10-6) I am now sceptical of beating the Ravens- obviously. After that horrible loss last week, likely to be 9-7 & possibly miss the Playoffs.
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I’m assuming this is a real question. This is the answer. Football can be bet multiple ways (in legal betting bricks and mortar places + on line) through a myriad of options. The two most common are Point Spread OR Money Line. In this scenario, IF you bet the Bills -6.5 on the Point Spread, you need to put up $110 to win $100! For you to cash, the Bills must win by 7. The extra $10 (10%) is the charge (juice, vig) for making the bet. NOBODY does this out of the goodness of their hearts! It’s a biz. OR, you bet the Money Line. In my own example at the Bills being favoured by 6, you need to put up $260 to win $100! (I don’t ever do that- some do) Conversely, if you want the Fish, you get the +6.5, but it still costs you $110. OR, you take the Fish on the M.L. for $100 and can win...$215 (with my line) That’s your 100 + 215= $315. Capiche?
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This game is not a MUST win situation, in the event you think the Bills are gonna make the Playoffs! THAT was last week, because 9-7 won’t cut it and there are too many deficiencies at: the OC position, the eedgit Kicker, Josh Allen’s painfully slow, 1 TD per Half, Offensive production to believe that Bills are going to steal one at Home v.s. Top 4 Ravens or Away on Thanksgiving in D or @ Dallas. However, Losing to the Fish would simply be embarrassing.
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Bills at Browns Post Game Post Mortem
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
What it means, is that if he can’t even throw ONE deep one, he’s never, ever gonna achieve the present day, modest marker for NFL QB success- 300 yards! Why? Because, only superlative QBs can throw for at least 20 completions of 15 or more or 25 of slightly shorter variety. Allen is not that guy! Waaaaaay to inconsistent and lacking the ability to find open receivers. -
Bills at Browns Post Game Post Mortem
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Takes from yesterday. * Allen is merely an adequate QB. His strength (Running) can be his undoing, as once again- he fumbled in a critical situation-albeit being bailed out. His Passing ability (the reason Beane Boy went down to get him) is very, average. He obviously lacks the ability to EVER be within five yards of any intended Receiver on a long Go route and he lacks consistency on the short stuff! THAT is a deal breaker. In addition, he simply cannot read open Receivers after the primary one. If progress is not seen, the Bills need to get back to the Draft Board! * The WRs are Smurfs. As I’ve said for a Millenium, Buffalo needs huge men for targets- especially in the cold, rain and snow of the back half of the Season. These are not good enough. * The OC is once again- substandard. Can anyone point to more than 1-2 of the nine and say- Daboll nailed the game plan? It is boring and inept- a killer in the NFL. * When that buffoon Hitchens outcoaches McD, that is a real cause for concern. McD is good, but by good, I mean in the 2nd. Tier of NFL HCs. Again... not good enough. * The idiot kicker? Can anyone explain why he is still here? If you can’t kick from 50 yards in the NFL, you are a liability. If you can’t make them from 30, you need to be out the door! * The D is sound, but not even close to being a monstah. It will effectively handle the stiffs, but anyone with talent- NO chance. * My realistic and just slightly optimistic 10-6 record is more likely 9-7, with a loss to the far superior Ravens. If they banana skin on one of the stiffs, it’s the same old, Millenium siren song of mediocrity & ineptitude! THAT IS NEITHER PROGRESS OR PROCESS! -
Around the League Week 10
Billsatlastin2018 replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It’s who you play and who you beat! Simple as that. Winning against all the stiffs is important. Virtually, this entire millennium the Bills could not do this. But, it has nada to do with whether the team is in the top echelon of the league. It’s not- even if they stumble on to the 10-6 I predicted, which may get them into the Playoffs. Nothing else. -
Where does the 10th win come from?
Billsatlastin2018 replied to letsgoteam's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
In Order: 1) Ravens 2) Pitt That’s it. Bad, bad loss. -
Bills at Browns Post Game Post Mortem
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Nothing more revealing about Allen’s progress than that clip! ?? -
Bills at Browns Post Game Post Mortem
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yet again, the Bills are just not good enough. They are good enough to beat the stiffs in 2019, but whenever there is a sniff of quality- can’t get it done! Who to blame? Well, it’s not the D, who was, by all measures, heroic! Could be the GM, who traded up for an also ran QB, who simply cannot throw a completion for 30 yards, ergo sealing his gate, that he will never throw for 300 yards- a Millennial standard for any winning team! Not much help for him- again on the GM. And who is satisfied with the OC? He must have none the 0 for 50 Stat for the eedgit kicker! Yet, on the critical POG, he does NOT call a time out to get more or a First Down. Easily spikeable with what... 36 ticks? Making the Playoffs is still possible. Is this the low 1 & out bar we’re seeking? Sure as hades hope not. -
Bills at Browns Post Game Post Mortem
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Again, I have a perfect Pre Season Record... WK1 @ Jets. WIN (1-0) WK2 @ Giants WIN (2-0) WK3 Bengals WIN (3-0) WK4 Patriots LOSS (3-1) WK5 @ Titans WIN (4-1) WK6 BYE (4-1) WK7 Dolphins WIN (5-1) WK8 Eagles LOSS (5-2) WK9 Redskins WIN (6-2) WK10 @ Browns LOSS (6-3) WK11 @ Dolphins WIN (7-3) WK12 Broncos WIN (8-3) WK13 @ Cowboys LOSS (8-4) WK14 Ravens WIN (9-4) WK15 @ Steelers LOSS (9-5) WK16 @ Patriots LOSS (9-6) WK17 Jets WIN (10-6) unforunately. -
Bills at Browns Post Game Post Mortem
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Allen was useless! He cannot hit ONE... ONE Deep Pass! Daboll was worse! And why does Hauschka still have a job? Bills drafting, yet again, a new QB in 2020! -
Game Thread 2nd Half Bills vs Browns
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
All true, but the eedgit Kicker is now 0 for 5! -
Game Thread 2nd Half Bills vs Browns
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
KILLER! d Plays it’s arse off and Daboll & Allen & Hauschka FUBAR it! -
Game Thread 2nd Half Bills vs Browns
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Hauska 0 for! ?? STIFF! -
Game Thread 2nd Half Bills vs Browns
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
BRUTAL COACHING DECISION ON THIRD DOWN! BRUTAL! -
Game Thread 2nd Half Bills vs Browns
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
A moron misses a chip shot FG! loser! -
Game Thread 2nd Half Bills vs Browns
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
When? 2020? 2021? He won’t last that long. Freaking terrible. -
Game Thread 2nd Half Bills vs Browns
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yeah, WE are! This is a skill, Allen doesn’t possess! -
Game Thread 2nd Half Bills vs Browns
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
BRUTAL! Horrific throw..like the previous 20! This buffoon is not within TEN yards! cannot, ever throw a deep ball properly! And why was he doing it on 3rd. & 3 Daboll, you clown? -
Game Thread 2nd Half Bills vs Browns
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
False Start... Leading the League! ?? -
Game Thread 2nd Half Bills vs Browns
Billsatlastin2018 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Come on Josh!