GoBills808

So you'd agree with calling his performance 'horrible' in that game then, all things considered

^oh and if you had really watched the game you would have mentioned Knox dropping that huge 3rd down play in the red zone, McKenzie dropping a TD along the sideline, Brown dropping the tying TD as time expired...not to mention iirc that was the game he got his foot rolled up on by Feliciano and couldn't move Almost positive that's the game that Beasley dropped a 40 yarder in a one score game too

What game have the Bills won with Allen at QB that they had no business winning? He wasn't horrible against Baltimore lmao. That's a top defense playing lights out at the time...Allen was average. The offensive line was getting abused and he took some shots. Be honest...you didn't watch the game, you looked @his stat line and a couple highlights.

No offense cause I know you are not a Bills fan but this does not describe Allen's game even a little.

Yes, strangely enough there appears to be a correlation between high drop rate and low completion percentage.

Which ones?

It's not obviously flawed. EPA is a non-proprietary equation, albeit calculated slightly differently by different stat aggregators, and it's well understood and used by everyone from teams analytics depts to gamblers. What is unclear is whether it's predictive or not. But it is not obviously flawed. It doesn't surprise me tbh. For one, the difference in EP between a drop and a completion is always going to be higher than you might expect for a team like the Bills w/fewer attempts than league average, and when you consider propensity to run in red zone vs throw, drops in areas that would allow for FGs instead of punts etc I don't see anything that doesn't jive with what I'm seeing in terms of dropped passes

Next on PFF- who would you rather have at QB: Aaron Rodgers or Jameis Winston?

You calculate the difference in yards/field position/time left on clock etc between the drop and completion to get diffEP% for each play, then total for EPA

Oh don't worry, I'm sure they'll be here before too long.

Stands for Expected Points Added- https://www.advancedfootballanalytics.com/index.php/home/stats/stats-explained/expected-points-and-epa-explained

I will leave you two at it, suffice to say we have different definitions of 'torched'

10 wins is all you can imagine when we are going to be favored in at least 11?

It was 11-7 at half. You want to call that torched go ahead

Meh i don't consider that torched in the slightest, we were leading at one point...it was competitive

Go find the last time the Bills got torched

Honestly of those options I only care about #1

He’s like the A Williams prototype, he’ll find his way into the field one way or another imo

Cassel lmfao dude is ass Brissett same and Garoppolo was a second rounder

I can try to answer a few of these- Yes there are a few capable options right now. I expect whichever of Norman/Wallace show better to slide into that spot, my guess is Norman will start but we will see a lot of Wallace to spell him esp on run downs. IIRC Wallace played injured last year and should hopefully bounce back to form I don't know much about the rookies but they have been making it a point to bring along Neal in the big nickel package plus he's a ST staple, I do not know if they are trying to carve out a larger role for him but they seem to trust him. Taron Johnson however imo is a stud. The staff plays him in big spots, he understands the system and where he fits in, he is a very solid tackler in run support for his size...he does a TON every time he goes in. I really like Johnson and even though I think he probably lacks some of the elite athleticism to play outside (not quite smooth/fluid enough lower body transitions etc) the dude is GAME. And easily smart enough to make a starting spot for himself depending on the % of time they run base I think they Norman will start at CB2 and he will enjoy the Edmunds shading w/safety help and will play off LOS majority of the time. He is still quick enough but doesn't have the same physical edge to engage and throw wideouts off timing-wise which is just what happens when DBs get older. I think he can still be effective and is a wholly different player at this point than Wallace which is what makes it such an interesting signing to me

No kidding. How many units where the Jets gain an obvious edge? I have zero, at best they push at LB and safety plus QB and that is IT...maybe offensive line? Top to bottom the Bills have more talent. Not really debatable imo

I was going to post a clip of the GIants game 3rd and 9 in the late second quarter as example...we are in nickel and bring Hyde down to LOS and Manning recognizes it and calls for snap (vet move), you see Hyde having to bail backwards because wideout gets behind White who played man until the sticks and then sinks into zone Hyde breaks up the pass with a great hit and sometimes it just comes down to who has the more talented players, and the defensive side there's no doubt we have a ton...you add the scheme to it and they are always hard to beat

Palms basically quarters It has a lot to do with the look the offense comes out in dictating the coverage, and how that can get mistimed or miscommunicated when presnap gets compressed For example if they bring Poyer down he knows his read is vertical and the DB takes outside flat, but if the ball is snapped while he's still moving toward LOS he can be unbalanced and either gets beat vertical or isn't in position to cover double move for DB on the switch