Kirby Jackson

I think either/both are possible. If one of the big 3 WRs slips to 9, I believe that the Bills are going to try to move all of the way up. If Thomas slips, I could see them trying to go up 7-8 spots. Otherwise I think they stay or go back in the 1st. I think in the 2nd it will be a defensive player. It could be on the DL or a safety. Depending on the board, they may slide up depending on who slips. If someone like Chop Robinson is on the board in the early ‘40’s, the Bills will be looking to go up. They have 11 picks. They won’t pick more than 7-8 guys at this point. They also won’t hesitate to use future capital to get a potential star. They don’t have enough top of the roster talent.

I think that is fair. I too think that is where most of the attrition will come from as a lot of them are long term people. I think your numbers are fair too. With 10 years to finance them, those will get snatched up in no time. We are hearing from the vocal minority now. If you have seats, in the lower level, at like the goal line, and they tell you it’s $7500 PSL, what percentage is REALLY walking away? It’s less than 15%. They can easily replace that. We aren’t hearing from the 85% that are buying them immediately. (Those are conservative guesses by the way. It could easily be north of 90%). Also, if you do the math and the Bills goal is to raise $200M(ish) from PSLs those estimates are high. Let’s assume that they raise $25M from the clubs ($20k-$50k). They need to raise $175M from the rest of the stadium. Let’s say that 20,000 seats average $2500 for PSL. That’s another $50M. Let’s say another 20,000 seats average $5000 for a PSL. That’s $100M more. That still leaves 10,000-15,000 seats for the other $25M. There’s your $200M. Play around with the numbers. The point being, these people terrified of the $50K PSLs don’t need to worry. The math doesn’t support there being many.

I’m not sure what we think is changing? Yeah, there will be some changes in the seats with the $50k PSLs. That’s probably 1,000 seats total and 70% will be people currently there. The stadium will be filled with the same people that are filling it now. The PSLs will all be sold. In a decade, after Josh, maybe some people start selling some of their seats but it’ll be full. That’s just what happens in the NFL now (and into the future). The Bills are hot and get big numbers on the resale market. This era of Bills football has created a new generation(s) of fans. People that are 35 and under were not around for the glory years. People 25 and under never saw the Bills competent until this era. Now, both of those groups are “in.” I’m 42 and my weekly group is anywhere from 10-55(ish). I’m on the older side of the group. Most everyone is in their 30’s. These people aren’t going away. The stadium will remain packed for many, many, many years.

Tickets are on the resale market for every team, in every league and every event in sports. Yes, there will be resale tickets available in the new stadium. There will also be tickets available on the resale market for the Super Bowl, Olympics, the Masters, the World Cup, the World Series, etc… Um, yes, I’d consider myself a fan. I’ve attended roughly 300 Bills games and seen them in 1/2 of the stadiums in the league. I followed them to London and would follow them to the moon if necessary. I’m not sure what my fandom has to do with this conversation?

I’m not speaking from “hope.” I’m speaking from experience working on a similar project. I’m not trying to be that guy but that’s not what’s happening here. Since before Pegula owned the team, I’ve laid out what would happen on this message board. I said things would happen a decade ago that are playing out just as I described. I know a little bit more on the topic than most others. This isn’t a “feeling” that I have. The Bills will be in WNY for AT LEAST 30 more years.

The PSLs will all be sold before the new stadium opens. I don’t mean to come across as so dismissive but holy 🤬. This isn’t a scenario that “might” happen. The seats will be sold and the Bills will be here for a generation. If anyone wants to have a deeper discussion on it, I’m open for it.

Basically it is working off Pegula’s portion.

The PSLs won’t be an issue. The waiting list will continue into the new stadium. That’s why they haven’t released the pricing on everything. It’s a moving target to meet demand. We may not ever see a time again where the Bills offer single game tickets to the public. The timing couldn’t be better for the Bills. They have Josh Allen in his prime.

I haven’t read the actual agreement but it is likely the latter.

I’m not trying to be dismissive but I worked on a lease negotiation for a team that people thought was going to “leave town.” It’s WAY, WAY, WAY, WAY, WAY more difficult than stroking an $850M check. Maybe I am being dismissive but I feel that I can speak to the topic from experience. They aren’t going anywhere for AT LEAST 30 years. Raising the price of season tickets doesn’t make up for it. That revenue is shared amongst the other teams in the league. It doesn’t work that way. I can’t believe that we are back to the “doom and gloom” team is moving nonsense. This is going on while the stadium is under construction. CLEARLY there are still some that do not understand the economics of the NFL. Everyone can take a deep breath, the Bills will be here for at least 30 more years. Uncle Kirby promises

Parody? If not, no the Bills aren’t going anywhere. This locks them in for a generation. They’ve never been more valuable than they are today. The NFL has never been hotter than right now. I’m 42 years-old and the Bills will be in WNY for my entire lifetime. “Selling fast” means that they are getting a high percentage of people saying “yes” not that the inventory is almost gone. This bodes well for those people hoping for lower PSLs. The higher the percentage of people that say “yes” at $20k or $50k, the better off it is for people that will be like $2k.

Okay, then he shouldn’t be cheering for Ankou either. He should be cheering for the draft pick(s) and UDFAs then to be DTs 5 and (maybe) 6. If we are out on Ankou & Williams competing for the 5th and (maybe) 6th spots because they are 30 & 31. We should probably have a separate thread on “What to look for in a 6th defensive tackle.”

Well, then they will be signing 3 more. They’ll bring AT LEAST 8 to camp of the 90. If this 31 year-old DT competing for the 5th or 6th DT, cheer for Ankou, draft pick(s) and rookie free agents.

Well they’ll draft 2 guys there. If you’re that concerned about the age of our 5th and 6th DTs (being under 31), advocate for Ankou and our 6th round pick over Williams.

He competing for the 5th (or 6th) DT spot for 1 year. They’ll draft (at least) 1 guy to rotate in the top 4 with Jones, Oliver and Johnson. This guy will have a shot at the next spot with guys like Eli Ankou and some other late round pick. This isn’t the signing to get upset about.

I just referenced CJ Ah You in another thread 😂

Russ actually had a decent year last year. He was once great and still may go to the HOF. Ironically, if they run the ball, he’s probably already in the HOF. He may have a year or 2 left. I like Fields a lot. He has elite traits. It hasn’t fully translated but there have been glimpses. If it ever does fully translate, they found their QB for basically nothing. In a world where teams trade 3 1sts for Trey Lance or Bryce Young, Fields for the cost of CJ Ah You is a steal. I LOVE the idea of buying talented young QBs who didn’t work out in their first stop. They’re dirt cheap. It’s like someone hands you a power ball ticket but the odds of you winning are like 1 out of 10.

To take it a step further, when you have a franchise QB, the cap needs to be allocated to certain positions. You pay your LT (Dawkins), top WR (Diggs), pass rush (Oliver, Von) and top CB (was Tre’s contract). You don’t spend on your 3rd & 4th DT (Settle & Ford) or ST guys (Neal and Matakevich).

Probably a vet minimum deal to compete for the 5th DT role. He’s a guy that’s played a bunch in the NFL. What’s not to like? Who would you prefer as the 5th (or 6th DT)?

Fair I just think of Legette as a late bloomer (age aside). I’d be surprised if he liked Coleman because of the lack of separation. He likes guys that get space. AD Mitchell absolutely fits the description but his George Pickens level effort may turn him off. He probably loves Thomas but I think he is gone in the top 15. My guess is if one of the top 3 are on the board at 9, he’s on the phone. He can get a stud that CAN be a number 1 on a rookie deal for 5 years. The Bears only have like 4 picks. You could do something like 28, 2025 1st, pick 128 and pick 133. I think that’s close on the trade chart. You’d still have 60 and a whole bunch of late round picks to fill out your depth with.

When I hear Beane talk about WRs it sounds like McConkey to me. When I think about the athletic profiles that Beane has gone after early (Josh, Edmunds, Rousseau, Oliver, Elam) he loves physical talent with upside. His actions make me think it’s Legette.

As a bit of a sleeper, I’d take a shot on the talent of Xavier Thomas in the middle rounds.

I was responding to the part that said, “I don’t think that long term fans should be priced out of the best locations.” The “people can choose to pay what they want” is an easy topic. The part that I’m struggling with is a solution for the fans that have had the best locations for 50+ years. Why should they be excluded from the market value? It’s because of the way that revenue is shared in the NFL.