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QCity

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Everything posted by QCity

  1. For a tie on Fanduel they simply void that leg and would recalculate the odds without that -295 leg so you would still hit a massive payout. You're getting good value too as SF is now -330 😉
  2. I feel like the state gaming commissions need to investigate or ban these "Cash Out" options. It would take like $2,800 at -295 to hit that payout and they're offering you only $2,000? That's criminal. Anyways grats on that hit.
  3. I'm not sure what you mean by generic value? But of course it accounts for results so far (i.e. their record) and future matchups (division teams play each other more at the end of the season), opponents record, home field advantage, etc. It's not an exact science by any means but what everyone should takeaway from this is the difference between 3 wins and 4 wins. Going 3-3 is less than a 10% shot, while 4-2 gives them a pretty good chance at 63%.
  4. 10-7 gives them a 63.5% chance which is not considered statistically unlikely. 9-8 drastically drops them to around 9% which, yes, is unlikely. No, they certainly do not. It should be obvious that division and conference games weigh more.
  5. I agree that 10-7 gets us in.
  6. No I fumbled in the red zone babe.
  7. They have like 4 Gabe Davis problems
  8. Scantling pulled a Stevie Johnson.
  9. Made it look easy.
  10. Weather favors Philly
  11. Yeah, he really told him.
  12. I don't see any of those players listed on Fanduel or MGM, more likely that Vegas Insider website is stale.
  13. The books haven't moved after the Thursday night injuries, still have the Bills at about 35% playoff chance which feels about right.
  14. If your ultimate goal is a wildcard spot then, sure. Season saved.
  15. lol how is a Joe Burrow injury going to save our season?
  16. Josh is Mary Poppins? And Michael Scott did what?
  17. If there was no 12th man on the field there would be 1,000+ posts here saying "A win is a win" with many still pretending nothing is wrong. But there was a 12th man out there. And Dorsey is gone. And a win is only a win until it isn't.
  18. Analysis: Five plays that explain why Matt Rhule and the Panthers fired Joe Brady "Simply put, the Panthers’ runs do not resemble their dropback game, which makes dissecting post-snaps plays easier for defenders. Brady’s designs did not put the Panthers in enough advantageous situations either. Instead, he repeatedly asked receivers to win their respective matchup rather than scheming them open. Deceitful tools like play-action throws were a limited part of his offense as well." I hope you don't expect too much. When you have Joe Burrow, Ja'Maar Chase and Justin Jefferson at LSU, you don't have to be a scheme genius I suppose.
  19. "they are far too dependent on execution level being a 10 for the play to be successful" Bingo. That's what I've been seeing as well.
  20. I was expecting at least one "Sell the team" thread.
  21. The average odds across all major books is about +175 or around 35%. These are the realistic odds, not the cries from homers or fans melting down. Nobody cares however, because it's crystal clear that this team is going nowhere this year and playoffs were never the goal.
  22. Honestly surprised McD had the stones to do this midseason.
  23. Early morning and not one thread about selling the team. Kinda disappointed.
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