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Everything posted by hondo in seattle
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I know this is a popular take but I don't get it. McD and his coaches have a routine. They study film a certain way, run meetings and practices a certain way, build teamwork a certain way, develop game plans in a certain way, etc. It's a "process" based on years of wisdom and experience that has been proven to work. The Bills follow the same process in the postseason that they follow in the regular season. Reid has his own process that's probably very similar. It also works - Reid and McD are the winningest coaches over the past few years. So what happens in the playoffs? Does Reid have a "turbo boost" button that's only available to him in the playoffs that magically makes his way of preparing a team better? Did Reid's secret button make Bass miss that FG or Diggs drop that long ball last year? You need a sample size of at least 30 for an analysis to be scientifically valid. Reid and McD haven't played each other that many times. Most of the games are close and often determined by a few feet or seconds or injuries here or there. I'm not convinced KC is playoff-better. It could very well be just random gridiron luck.
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I've been a vocal critic of Brady at times in the past. But it's hard to criticize him for this game. KC excels at run defense and their DL is better than our OL. So you'd expect us to pass a lot. The problem here, though, is that their DL was pressuring Josh. (At halftime someone said on air the Chiefs were pressuring Josh on 50% of pass plays). The other problem is that our receivers don't excel at separation and 2 of our 3 best receivers were out with injuries. No holes for our backs. No time for our QB. Receivers struggling to get open. Sounds like an offensive catastrophe yet we were the first team to hang 30 on a strong Chiefs D all year. Brady did something right.
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Xavier Worthy: So far, not much more than a gadget guy
hondo in seattle replied to Logic's topic in The Stadium Wall
This was too important a game for Reid to worry about trolling anyone. -
No Swift at Highmark thanks to Bills Mafia!
hondo in seattle replied to JPL7's topic in Off the Wall
I want the Bills to win as badly as anyone. But I don't believe in treating anyone poorly, regardless of who they may root for. The world will become a better a place when we finally decide to treat everyone with respect and loving kindness.- 90 replies
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Patriots Waiving WR Tyquan Thornton
hondo in seattle replied to ChevyVanMiller's topic in The Stadium Wall
Decades ago, this kid from Iowa with an impressive bushy black beard joined my 'high level' flag football team as a receiver. He had been a championship sprinter in high school and was blazing fast. But his speed was all straight-line. Weirdly, to cut he'd slow down to something like half-speed and then still perform a wide badly rounded cut. As much as we tried to teach him, we could never get him to run sharp routes. On top of that, his hands were carved from stone. Once in a while, we'd trot him onto the field to run past all the opposing DBs just to force them to play a little deeper. But he never caught a single pass. I get the temptation but NFL speed doesn't make you an NFL receiver. -
Who’s the best Left Tackle you have ever watched?
hondo in seattle replied to njbuff's topic in The Stadium Wall
Blocking rules have changed, too. I remember being taught to block in high school. Our coaches instructed us to hold onto our own jersey's with our hands to avoid illegally using hands on the defender. In the mid 1970s and before, NFL lineman had to keep their hands to their chest in closed fists when blocking. In 1978, the NFL began allowing blockers to extend their arms and use open hands. While this was a huge win for offensive linemen in general, it was especially helpful for pass pro and contributed to the NFL becoming a "passing league." -
Week 11, Chefs v. Bills, PREDICT THE SCORE!
hondo in seattle replied to Freddie's Dead's topic in The Stadium Wall
In another thread, I said I expected to lose this weekend. But now I'm having trouble living with myself so, against all reason, I need to change directions... I was at Arrowhead a few years ago when we drubbed them 38-20. History repeats itself on Sunday. Bills: 38 Chiefs: 20 -
I lived in KC for a year. Overall, I didn't find the food scene there as diverse or appealing as the food scene in major west coast cities. BBQ in KC, however, was awesome. Burnt ends were my favorite thing to order at KC's many excellent BBQ restaurants. I'm too lazy and untalented to make them myself and not sure if I can find good burnt ends where I now live. I'll have to look. If you can operate a microwave... burnt ends from Costco.
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Thanks for this @Buffalo716 Let me ask: Is this why some elite QBs (like Mahomes) sometimes have good games against us? Here's what I'm thinking... A smart QB with good coaching will decipher all of McD's complicated stuff and know where to throw. At the point, it isn't about X's and O's anymore so much as it is about execution. And, athletically, the other teams sometimes have advantages/mismatches since our DBs are heady but not necessarily Olympic athletes. Our advantage is we disguise coverage well and confuse QBs with a zone that morphis into man (or vice versa) and so on. Take away that advantage (i.e. the QB isn't confused) and we're vulnerable.
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I don't trust stats on receiver separation because I don't trust the methodology. But I do think it's true that our guys struggle. I also think it affects how some advanced metric sites might measure QB accuracy. Maybe it's my imagination, but I think Allen rarely throws to his primary and goes through his reads more than most other QBs. Maybe this is an Allen issue but I think it's because his primary is often covered. So either (A) Brady is designing and dialing up bad plays, and/or (B) our wideouts aren't as good as the wideouts on other teams. In either case, I would guess accuracy generally goes down when going to a second, third, or fourth option. When evaluating Allen's accuracy, I think this needs to be taken into consideration.
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That they have. The Diggs issue gave Beane an unsolvable problem. He got rid of Diggs and ate $30 million in salary which meant he was cash-strapped and shopping for wideouts at the Dollar Store where he found Samuel, Claypool, and MVS. Given lemons, Brady has been making lemonade. Hopefully with Coop onboard and players getting healthy, we'll see more downfield passing and chunk plays going forward while playing situational football.
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Week 11 - Chiefs at Bills Game Week Thread
hondo in seattle replied to BillsFan619's topic in The Stadium Wall
We have a trend of winning the regular season Super Bowl against KC but then not making it to the actual SB because of KC. I want the Bills to win this game for the confidence it will give the players when they face KC - or another powerhouse team - in the playoffs. (Not that this logic has been helpful in previous seasons). -
The logic is only odd if you believe the oft-repeated-never-verified story that McD pushed Daboll to pass less and run more. Who knows that McD and Daboll talked about privately? I suspect that McD pushed Daboll to play situational football which means running the ball when running the ball is the smart choice given score, down-and-distance, and defense. I think McD loves when the offense produces chunk plays through the air as much as anyone. And understands their importance (vis-a-vis analytics).
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Kincaid update? (now declared OUT for Sunday)
hondo in seattle replied to JMM's topic in The Stadium Wall
I like an exciting passing attack with 4 wideouts too but you already explained why we don't see that more with the "kinda suck" remark. I think 12 personnel has a place in the Bills offense. Here's why... You can run a variety of run and pass plays from 12. You can keep Kincaid in tight or send him wide depending on the needs of the play. You don't have to substitute to go into a run or pass formation. Because of the flexibility of 12, the opposing DC doesn't know whether to go heavy and load the box, or go light and play the pass. Often the D will send out bigger personnel to counter the possibility of run when facing 12, creating mismatches in the passing game. There's the old dictum that you should 'put your best 11 on the gridiron.' Knox and Kincaid are both arguably among our best 11, particularly when we have injured wideouts. While 12 is often considered a run formation, last year the Bills were 6th in pass EPA when using 12 personnel (and 8th in total EPA). -
Bills are 8-2 for the first time in over 30 years
hondo in seattle replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
Your resume puts mine to shame and I'm jealous. Besides my time in the States, I did a year in Korea and then Desert Shield/Storm. When I joined the army in '86, none of us expected to do anything exciting. The few Nam vets still in uniform were treated like unicorns. But after 9/11 - your time - the world became a much more interesting place for our service men and women. And the work you did is appreciated! -
the Daboll/Schoen regime - on the brink, it seems
hondo in seattle replied to dave mcbride's topic in The Stadium Wall
Agree. Stats and trophies won't back me up, but I've seen Archie, Payton, and Eli all play and thought Eli was the worst of the three. Yet others seemed to believe Eli would still play at HOF level into his 40s. -
Week 11 - Chiefs at Bills Game Week Thread
hondo in seattle replied to BillsFan619's topic in The Stadium Wall
Thanks for reasons for hope. Injuries are part of the game. But I'd love to witness a game this season where all our key players (Milano, Cooper, Coleman, Johnson...) are healthy. Maybe this roster - if the playmakers are healthy - is better than I give it credit for. And I'd be particularly happy if all the playmakers were healthy for the playoffs. -
Bills are 8-2 for the first time in over 30 years
hondo in seattle replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
I was a cavalry troop XO during the first Gulf War. One evening, deep in the Arabian desert before the shooting started, a bunch of soldiers were hanging out by the MKT (mobile kitchen trailer), drinking the coffee the mess sergeant had just made and shooting the breeze. Then one soldier asked me about an article had seen written by a retired colonel saying that he expected American troops to suffer a 25%+ casualty rate in the upcoming war. "Since we're cavalry and the first ones in, what's our casualty rate going to be? 50%? 75%?" So we discussed the prospects of the coming war. No one wanted to admit they were afraid. No one directly said out loud what they were really worried about: bleeding out in the sand in this alien environment and never seeing their loved ones again. But I understood what those fears were and did my best to reassure them without whitewashing the situation. But here are the vital facts: No one complained. I mean, there was always the normal soldier b*tching about the dust, flies, food, MOPP gear, and so on. No one actually complained about the war itself or its dangers. No one shirked. No one held back. They all did what they had to do. My service was nothing special. But I'll always love and respect the guys I served with - and all those who serve. A belated Happy Veterans Day! -
He gained 690 yards one season when he played a lot on a team with a legit passing attack. I though he might equal that here, given the opportunity: little competition at the position; great QB. He won't, and that leaves me disappointed. But he's a good team-player.
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Bills are 8-2 for the first time in over 30 years
hondo in seattle replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
A long time ago when Frazier was Minnie's DC, I wanted him for our HC. Then the Vikes promoted him to HC, he failed, and I reassessed. Afterwards, Frazier did a short stint at Tampa and wasn't asked to return. He seemed to do mostly good work with Buffalo and the players seemed to like and respect him. But it's hard to say how much of that D was Frazier's and how much was McD's. Everything considered, I'd take Spags.
